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Ice Lab

Tue, Mar 14, 2023·Wells Fargo Center, Philadelphia

Vegas Golden Knights 5, Philadelphia Flyers 3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Vegas Golden Knights win this game 54% of the time.

PHI winsVGK wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:23Shot by Pietrangelo, saved by Sandstrom
  3. P1 1:06Shot by Foerster, saved by Quick
  4. P1 1:07Shot by Hayes, saved by Quick
  5. P1 1:15Shot by Provorov, saved by Quick
  6. P1 3:58Shot by Theodore, saved by Sandstrom
  7. P1 4:25Shot by Eichel, saved by Sandstrom
  8. P1 4:32Shot by Barbashev, saved by Sandstrom
  9. P1 4:48Hague: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: PHI van Riemsdyk, Seeler, DeAngelo, Cates, Farabee · VGK Marchessault, Barbashev, Eichel, Hague, Whitecloud

  10. P1 4:53Shot by Ristolainen, saved by Quick5v4
  11. P1 4:55Shot by Ristolainen, saved by Quick5v4
  12. P1 6:52Shot by Blueger, saved by Sandstrom
  13. P1 8:34Goal by Dorofeyev (Smith)+15 pts WP

    On ice: PHI Hayes, Lemieux, Provorov, York, Foerster · VGK Smith, Karlsson, Hague, Whitecloud, Dorofeyev

  14. P1 8:41Shot by Pietrangelo, saved by Sandstrom
  15. P1 10:19Shot by Seeler, saved by Quick
  16. P1 13:58Shot by Laczynski, saved by Quick
  17. P1 15:28Shot by Farabee, saved by Quick
  18. P1 18:51Shot by DeAngelo, saved by Quick
  19. P1 19:00Shot by Eichel, saved by Sandstrom
  20. P1 19:26Shot by Hague, saved by Sandstrom
  21. P1 19:35Shot by Whitecloud, saved by Sandstrom
  22. P1 19:38Shot by Whitecloud, saved by Sandstrom
  23. P1 0:00Period end
  24. P2 0:00Period start
  25. P2 0:11Shot by Stephenson, saved by Sandstrom
  26. P2 0:37Frost: Closing hand on puck (2 min)

    On ice: PHI Laughton, Ristolainen, Sanheim, Tippett, Frost · VGK Martinez, Pietrangelo, Stephenson, Amadio, Howden

  27. P2 0:44Shot by Marchessault, saved by Sandstrom4v5
  28. P2 1:58Goal by Barbashev (Theodore, Marchessault)4v5+14 pts WP

    On ice: PHI Laughton, Provorov, Cates, York · VGK Karlsson, Marchessault, Theodore, Barbashev, Eichel

  29. P2 2:33Shot by Lemieux, saved by Quick
  30. P2 3:30Shot by Cotter, saved by Sandstrom
  31. P2 5:29Shot by Barbashev, saved by Sandstrom
  32. P2 8:10Goal by Sanheim, unassisted+15 pts WP

    On ice: PHI van Riemsdyk, Ristolainen, Sanheim, Cates, Farabee · VGK Martinez, Stephenson, Amadio, Howden, Hague

  33. P2 9:53Shot by McNabb, saved by Sandstrom
  34. P2 11:03Shot by Blueger, saved by Sandstrom
  35. P2 11:04Shot by Kessel, saved by Sandstrom
  36. P2 11:05Shot by Kessel, saved by Sandstrom
  37. P2 11:06Goal by Blueger (Kessel, Cotter)+16 pts WP

    On ice: PHI van Riemsdyk, Ristolainen, Sanheim, Cates, Farabee · VGK Kessel, Martinez, Pietrangelo, Blueger, Cotter

  38. P2 11:53Shot by Tippett, saved by Quick
  39. P2 11:59Shot by Stephenson, saved by Sandstrom
  40. P2 12:12Marchessault: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: PHI Hayes, Seeler, DeAngelo, Lemieux, Foerster · VGK McNabb, Marchessault, Theodore, Barbashev, Eichel

  41. P2 12:21Shot by Foerster, saved by Quick5v4
  42. P2 14:34Shot by Hayes, saved by Quick
  43. P2 15:07Shot by Marchessault, saved by Sandstrom
  44. P2 15:31Shot by Eichel, saved by Sandstrom
  45. P2 16:52Shot by Tippett, saved by Quick
  46. P2 18:23Shot by York, saved by Quick
  47. P2 19:21Shot by Foerster, saved by Quick
  48. P2 19:57Laughton: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: PHI Hayes, Laughton, Ristolainen, Sanheim, Foerster · VGK Smith, Karlsson, Hague, Whitecloud, Dorofeyev

  49. P2 0:00Period end4v5
  50. P3 0:00Period start
  51. P3 0:26Shot by Marchessault, saved by Sandstrom4v5
  52. P3 1:21Shot by Kessel, saved by Sandstrom4v5
  53. P3 1:33Shot by Kessel, saved by Sandstrom4v5
  54. P3 2:22Shot by Laughton, saved by Quick
  55. P3 2:24Shot by Sanheim, saved by Quick
  56. P3 2:41Bellows: Too many men on the ice (2 min)

    On ice: PHI Hayes, Laughton, Sanheim, DeAngelo, Lemieux, York · VGK Stephenson, Amadio, Howden, Hague, Whitecloud

  57. P3 3:01Goal by Marchessault (Eichel, Stephenson)4v5+5 pts WP

    On ice: PHI Laughton, Ristolainen, Provorov, Tippett · VGK Marchessault, Stephenson, Theodore, Barbashev, Eichel

  58. P3 3:17Shot by van Riemsdyk, saved by Quick
  59. P3 4:34Shot by Dorofeyev, saved by Sandstrom
  60. P3 5:27Shot by Eichel, saved by Sandstrom
  61. P3 5:33Shot by McNabb, saved by Sandstrom
  62. P3 8:16Shot by Laughton, saved by Quick
  63. P3 8:24Goal by Seeler, unassisted+4 pts WP

    On ice: PHI Seeler, Laughton, DeAngelo, Cates, Foerster · VGK McNabb, Marchessault, Theodore, Barbashev, Eichel

  64. P3 10:15Goal by Frost (Lemieux, van Riemsdyk)+14 pts WP

    On ice: PHI van Riemsdyk, Seeler, DeAngelo, Lemieux, Frost · VGK Kessel, McNabb, Blueger, Theodore, Cotter

  65. P3 14:47Shot by Whitecloud, saved by Sandstrom
  66. P3 15:20Shot by Tippett, saved by Quick
  67. P3 15:27Shot by Hayes, saved by Quick
  68. P3 15:36Shot by Farabee, saved by Quick
  69. P3 15:57Shot by Farabee, saved by Quick
  70. P3 17:45Shot by DeAngelo, saved by Quick6v5
  71. P3 18:17Shot by Hayes, saved by Quick6v5
  72. P3 18:28Goal by Barbashev (Marchessault)6v5+7 pts WP

    On ice: PHI Hayes, DeAngelo, Tippett, Frost, Cates, Foerster · VGK Pietrangelo, Marchessault, Barbashev, Eichel, Whitecloud

  73. P3 19:22Shot by Hayes, saved by Quick6v5
  74. P3 19:59Hayes: Tripping (2 min)6v5

    On ice: PHI Hayes, DeAngelo, Tippett, Frost, Cates, Foerster · VGK Martinez, Pietrangelo, Stephenson, Amadio, Cotter

  75. P3 0:00Period end4v5
  76. P3 0:00Final