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Ice Lab

Tue, Mar 14, 2023·Bridgestone Arena, Nashville

Detroit Red Wings 1, Nashville Predators 2

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Detroit Red Wings win this game 84% of the time.

NSH winsDET wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:27Shot by Suter, saved by Saros
  3. P1 1:45Shot by Glass, saved by Husso
  4. P1 2:40Shot by Lindstrom, saved by Saros
  5. P1 3:04Shot by Afanasyev, saved by Husso
  6. P1 3:07Duchene: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: NSH Duchene, Gravel, Foote, Glass, Tomasino · DET Perron, Chiarot, Maatta, Kubalik, Copp

  7. P1 3:15Shot by Raymond, saved by Saros4v5
  8. P1 3:38Seider: Hooking (2 min)4v5

    On ice: NSH Sissons, Lauzon, Foote, Tomasino · DET Perron, Chiasson, Larkin, Seider, Raymond

  9. P1 5:32Shot by Duchene, saved by Husso5v4
  10. P1 6:15Shot by Perron, saved by Saros
  11. P1 8:57Shot by Kubalik, saved by Saros
  12. P1 9:15Sherwood: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: NSH Josi, Barrie, Sissons, Trenin, Smith · DET Perron, Chiarot, Maatta, Kubalik, Copp

  13. P1 9:47Shot by Raymond, saved by Saros4v5
  14. P1 14:15Shot by Barrie, saved by Husso
  15. P1 15:20Larkin: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: NSH Duchene, Barrie, Novak, Lauzon, Evangelista · DET Larkin, Walman, Suter, Seider, Raymond

  16. P1 17:13Shot by Josi, saved by Husso5v4
  17. P1 19:34Shot by Maatta, saved by Saros
  18. P1 19:43Shot by Seider, saved by Saros
  19. P1 19:46Shot by Larkin, saved by Saros
  20. P1 19:48Shot by Raymond, saved by Saros
  21. P1 0:00Period end
  22. P2 0:00Period start
  23. P2 1:11Perron: Too many men on the ice (2 min)

    On ice: NSH Duchene, Barrie, Lauzon, Glass, Tomasino · DET Larkin, Walman, Suter, Seider, Raymond

  24. P2 1:47Shot by Josi, saved by Husso5v4
  25. P2 5:44Josi: Holding (2 min)5v6

    On ice: NSH Josi, Jankowski, Asplund, Fabbro, Afanasyev · DET Perron, Larkin, Walman, Zadina, Seider, Raymond

  26. P2 6:00Shot by Seider, saved by Saros4v5
  27. P2 6:37Shot by Chiasson, saved by Saros4v5
  28. P2 6:44Shot by Chiasson, saved by Saros4v5
  29. P2 7:06Shot by Gravel, saved by Husso4v5
  30. P2 7:42Shot by Kubalik, saved by Saros4v5
  31. P2 8:34Hagg: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: NSH Josi, Duchene, Fabbro, Glass, Tomasino · DET Erne, Hagg, Lindstrom, Suter, Veleno

  32. P2 9:03Shot by Novak, saved by Husso5v4
  33. P2 9:09Shot by Josi, saved by Husso5v4
  34. P2 9:30Shot by Duchene, saved by Husso5v4
  35. P2 10:58Goal by Sherwood (Tomasino, Sissons)+22 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Barrie, Sissons, Lauzon, Sherwood, Tomasino · DET Copp, Walman, Suter, Berggren, Seider

  36. P2 13:07Shot by Maatta, saved by Saros
  37. P2 13:18Shot by Larkin, saved by Saros
  38. P2 13:45Shot by Novak, saved by Husso
  39. P2 14:01Shot by Suter, saved by Saros
  40. P2 16:25Shot by Barrie, saved by Husso
  41. P2 17:02Shot by Chiasson, saved by Saros
  42. P2 18:04Shot by Hagg, saved by Saros
  43. P2 18:29Shot by Suter, saved by Saros
  44. P2 18:34Shot by Larkin, saved by Saros
  45. P2 0:00Period end
  46. P3 0:00Period start
  47. P3 1:53Shot by Berggren, saved by Saros
  48. P3 2:22Goal by Novak (Foote, Sherwood)+15 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Gravel, Novak, Foote, Sherwood, Evangelista · DET Hagg, Lindstrom, Veleno, Zadina, Berggren

  49. P3 3:21Shot by Copp, saved by Saros
  50. P3 3:40Shot by Trenin, saved by Husso
  51. P3 4:47Shot by Larkin, saved by Saros
  52. P3 6:44Shot by Seider, saved by Saros
  53. P3 7:08Shot by Seider, saved by Saros
  54. P3 11:48Shot by Duchene, saved by Husso
  55. P3 11:49Walman: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: NSH Josi, Duchene, Fabbro, Glass, Tomasino · DET Larkin, Walman, Suter, Seider, Raymond

  56. P3 16:44Shot by Kubalik, saved by Saros
  57. P3 17:16Shot by Larkin, saved by Saros5v6
  58. P3 17:20Fabbro: Roughing (2 min)5v6

    On ice: NSH Sissons, Lauzon, Trenin, Fabbro, Smith · DET Perron, Chiasson, Copp, Larkin, Seider, Raymond

  59. P3 17:44Goal by Chiasson (Copp, Raymond)4v6+7 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Sissons, Lauzon, Foote, Smith · DET Perron, Chiasson, Copp, Larkin, Seider, Raymond

  60. P3 0:00Period end5v6
  61. P3 0:00Final