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Ice Lab

Sat, Mar 18, 2023·FLA Live Arena, Sunrise

New Jersey Devils 2, Florida Panthers 4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Florida Panthers win this game 85% of the time.

FLA winsNJD wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:11Shot by Verhaeghe, saved by Schmid
  3. P1 1:16Shot by Staal, saved by Schmid
  4. P1 1:18Shot by Luostarinen, saved by Schmid
  5. P1 1:22Shot by Barkov, saved by Schmid
  6. P1 4:17Shot by Smith, saved by Bobrovsky
  7. P1 4:45Shot by White, saved by Schmid
  8. P1 5:28Shot by Montour, saved by Schmid
  9. P1 5:45Shot by Bennett, saved by Schmid
  10. P1 7:00Shot by Hughes, saved by Bobrovsky
  11. P1 7:20Shot by Reinhart, saved by Schmid
  12. P1 7:47Shot by Lundell, saved by Schmid
  13. P1 9:08Shot by Mercer, saved by Bobrovsky
  14. P1 9:18Shot by Hischier, saved by Bobrovsky
  15. P1 9:41Shot by Hischier, saved by Bobrovsky
  16. P1 9:53Shot by Ekblad, saved by Schmid
  17. P1 12:03Shot by Ekblad, saved by Schmid
  18. P1 12:09Shot by Lundell, saved by Schmid
  19. P1 12:10Shot by Lomberg, saved by Schmid
  20. P1 12:38Shot by Gudas, saved by Schmid
  21. P1 13:13Shot by Duclair, saved by Schmid
  22. P1 14:46Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Schmid
  23. P1 15:53Shot by Haula, saved by Bobrovsky
  24. P1 16:01Shot by Haula, saved by Bobrovsky
  25. P1 16:32Shot by Meier, saved by Bobrovsky
  26. P1 16:34Shot by Meier, saved by Bobrovsky
  27. P1 16:46Shot by Severson, saved by Bobrovsky
  28. P1 18:34Verhaeghe: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: FLA Verhaeghe, Ekblad, Bennett, Forsling, Tkachuk · NJD Hamilton, Severson, Siegenthaler, Meier, Mercer

  29. P1 19:58Shot by Hamilton, saved by Bobrovsky4v5
  30. P1 0:00Period end4v5
  31. P2 0:00Period start
  32. P2 0:47Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Schmid
  33. P2 1:39Smith: Cross checking (2 min)

    On ice: FLA Staal, Gudas, Cousins, White, Mahura · NJD Smith, Graves, Lazar, McLeod, Sharangovich

  34. P2 1:56Shot by Montour, saved by Schmid5v4
  35. P2 2:16Goal by Hischier (Marino, Graves)5v4+21 pts WP

    On ice: FLA Verhaeghe, Barkov, Reinhart, Montour, Tkachuk · NJD Graves, Marino, Hischier, Sharangovich

  36. P2 2:43Shot by Barkov, saved by Schmid5v4
  37. P2 3:22Shot by Forsling, saved by Schmid5v4
  38. P2 3:44Shot by Bratt, saved by Bobrovsky
  39. P2 4:02Shot by Hughes, saved by Bobrovsky
  40. P2 4:18Shot by Hughes, saved by Bobrovsky
  41. P2 5:31Shot by Graves, saved by Bobrovsky
  42. P2 5:41Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Schmid
  43. P2 7:31Shot by Meier, saved by Bobrovsky
  44. P2 7:43Goal by Boqvist (Severson)+16 pts WP

    On ice: FLA Staal, Duclair, Barkov, Montour, Luostarinen · NJD Smith, Haula, Severson, Meier, Boqvist

  45. P2 7:52Ekblad: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: FLA Verhaeghe, Ekblad, Bennett, Forsling, Tkachuk · NJD Palat, Hamilton, Siegenthaler, Bratt, Hughes

  46. P2 8:02Shot by Hamilton, saved by Bobrovsky4v5
  47. P2 8:02Shot by Hamilton, saved by Bobrovsky4v5
  48. P2 8:32Shot by Bratt, saved by Bobrovsky4v5
  49. P2 10:41Shot by Sharangovich, saved by Bobrovsky
  50. P2 12:54Shot by Meier, saved by Bobrovsky
  51. P2 13:59Shot by Bennett, saved by Schmid
  52. P2 14:08Hamilton: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: FLA Staal, Duclair, Barkov, Montour, Luostarinen · NJD Tatar, Hamilton, Siegenthaler, Hischier, Mercer

  53. P2 14:47Shot by Barkov, saved by Schmid5v4
  54. P2 16:07Shot by Ekblad, saved by Schmid5v4
  55. P2 17:34Shot by Staal, saved by Schmid
  56. P2 17:47Shot by Cousins, saved by Schmid
  57. P2 18:45Tatar: Too many men on the ice (2 min)

    On ice: FLA Ekblad, Reinhart, Forsling, Lomberg, Lundell · NJD Haula, Graves, Meier, Marino, Boqvist

  58. P2 19:01Shot by Barkov, saved by Schmid5v4
  59. P2 19:14Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Schmid5v4
  60. P2 19:51Shot by Verhaeghe, saved by Schmid5v4
  61. P2 19:58Shot by Montour, saved by Schmid5v4
  62. P2 0:00Period end5v4
  63. P3 0:00Period start
  64. P3 0:32Shot by Montour, saved by Schmid5v4
  65. P3 1:05Shot by Mercer, saved by Bobrovsky
  66. P3 2:53Shot by Verhaeghe, saved by Schmid
  67. P3 3:14Shot by Hischier, saved by Bobrovsky
  68. P3 4:50Shot by Forsling, saved by Schmid
  69. P3 5:17Shot by Verhaeghe, saved by Schmid
  70. P3 5:39Shot by Bennett, saved by Schmid
  71. P3 6:14Goal by Barkov (Staal, Montour)+15 pts WP

    On ice: FLA Staal, Verhaeghe, Barkov, Montour, Tkachuk · NJD Haula, Hamilton, Graves, Meier, Boqvist

  72. P3 7:00Shot by Ekblad, saved by Schmid
  73. P3 7:48Severson: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: FLA Staal, Verhaeghe, Bennett, Montour, Tkachuk · NJD Smith, Severson, Bratt, Sharangovich, Hughes

  74. P3 7:54Goal by Reinhart (Montour, Verhaeghe)5v4+32 pts WP

    On ice: FLA Verhaeghe, Barkov, Reinhart, Montour, Tkachuk · NJD Haula, Graves, Marino, Mercer

  75. P3 8:44Goal by Tkachuk (Verhaeghe, Gudas)+27 pts WP

    On ice: FLA Gudas, Verhaeghe, Bennett, Tkachuk, Mahura · NJD Haula, Siegenthaler, Meier, Marino, Boqvist

  76. P3 9:01Shot by Mercer, saved by Bobrovsky
  77. P3 9:09Shot by Severson, saved by Bobrovsky
  78. P3 9:48Shot by Lazar, saved by Bobrovsky
  79. P3 9:56Shot by Hamilton, saved by Bobrovsky
  80. P3 9:59Shot by Sharangovich, saved by Bobrovsky
  81. P3 11:25Shot by Hughes, saved by Bobrovsky
  82. P3 11:33Shot by Bratt, saved by Bobrovsky
  83. P3 13:17Shot by Hamilton, saved by Bobrovsky
  84. P3 15:57Shot by Haula, saved by Bobrovsky
  85. P3 16:09Shot by Barkov, saved by Schmid
  86. P3 19:20Shot by Meier, saved by Bobrovsky5v6
  87. P3 19:39Goal by Reinhart (Barkov)5v6+3 pts WP

    On ice: FLA Barkov, Ekblad, Reinhart, Forsling, Luostarinen · NJD Palat, Severson, Meier, McLeod, Hischier, Hughes

  88. P3 0:00Period end
  89. P3 0:00Final