Wed, Mar 22, 2023·Ball Arena, Denver
Pittsburgh Penguins 5, Colorado Avalanche 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Pittsburgh Penguins win this game 74% of the time.
20%
68%
COL winsPIT wins
Pittsburgh Penguins
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 29:03 | 0.13 | 34.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 21:23 | 0.02 | 44.4% | +19.3 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 4 | 20:55 | 0.08 | 62.7% | +12.9 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 5 | 19:50 | 0.29 | 35.1% | +19.3 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 3 | 19:43 | 0.75 | 30.8% | +14.9 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 4 | 19:11 | 0.93 | 36.4% | +34.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 18:53 | 0.01 | 66.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 15:28 | 0.52 | 73.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15:01 | 0.28 | 67.8% | +15.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:44 | 0.12 | 62.4% | 0.0 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | +1 | 5 | 14:41 | 0.27 | 49.8% | +27.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:30 | 0.00 | 84.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 14:00 | 0.28 | 59.6% | +14.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12:41 | 0.07 | 69.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 5 | 12:16 | 0.33 | 66.0% | +12.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11:41 | 0.07 | 69.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10:53 | 0.22 | 81.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 10:38 | 0.00 | 58.1% | 0.0 |
| W | 30 | 28 | 2 | .933 | 3.32 | +1.3 | 59:13 |
Colorado Avalanche
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 28:16 | 0.35 | 53.4% | +13.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 25:22 | 0.00 | 43.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 24:58 | 0.51 | 58.0% | +13.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 24:25 | 0.42 | 51.4% | +28.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 0 | 24:01 | 0.00 | 48.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 23:21 | 0.60 | 61.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 3 | 21:42 | 0.35 | 61.7% | +15.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 18:14 | 0.25 | 44.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17:42 | 0.00 | 41.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 3 | 15:43 | 0.33 | 28.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15:33 | 0.28 | 50.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 12:34 | 0.19 | 33.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 9:49 | 0.04 | 34.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 8:57 | 0.00 | 42.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8:47 | 0.00 | 28.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7:04 | 0.00 | 16.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6:24 | 0.01 | 2.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 5:17 | 0.00 | 23.2% | 0.0 |
| L | 44 | 40 | 4 | .909 | 3.83 | −0.2 | 55:20 |