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Ice Lab

Wed, Mar 22, 2023·Ball Arena, Denver

Pittsburgh Penguins 5, Colorado Avalanche 2

Away

Pittsburgh Penguins

5

Final

Home

Colorado Avalanche

2

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Pittsburgh Penguins win this game 74% of the time.

COL winsPIT wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:52Shot by Toews, saved by Jarry
  3. P1 2:13Shot by O'Connor, saved by Georgiev
  4. P1 2:20Shot by O'Connor, saved by Georgiev
  5. P1 2:58Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Jarry
  6. P1 3:44Shot by Zucker, saved by Georgiev
  7. P1 4:18Shot by Heinen, saved by Georgiev
  8. P1 6:18Shot by Malgin, saved by Jarry
  9. P1 8:25Shot by Crosby, saved by Georgiev
  10. P1 8:38Shot by Toews, saved by Jarry
  11. P1 8:43Shot by Rantanen, saved by Jarry
  12. P1 9:53Shot by Zucker, saved by Georgiev
  13. P1 9:58Shot by Crosby, saved by Georgiev
  14. P1 10:09Shot by Eller, saved by Jarry
  15. P1 10:46Shot by Malgin, saved by Jarry
  16. P1 14:36Shot by Compher, saved by Jarry
  17. P1 14:50Shot by Rantanen, saved by Jarry
  18. P1 16:29Shot by Eller, saved by Jarry
  19. P1 17:06Shot by Fedun, saved by Georgiev
  20. P1 17:25Shot by O'Connor, saved by Georgiev
  21. P1 18:15Shot by Nichushkin, saved by Jarry
  22. P1 18:16Rust: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: COL Compher, Nichushkin, Toews, Girard, Newhook · PIT Crosby, Letang, Rust, Guentzel, Joseph

  23. P1 0:00Period end5v4
  24. P2 0:00Period start
  25. P2 1:11Goal by Crosby (Guentzel, Joseph)+19 pts WP

    On ice: COL Johnson, Compher, Nichushkin, Girard, Newhook · PIT Crosby, Letang, Rust, Guentzel, Joseph

  26. P2 1:23Shot by Eller, saved by Jarry
  27. P2 1:53Shot by Friedman, saved by Georgiev
  28. P2 2:50MacDermid: Cross checking (2 min)5v6

    On ice: COL Helm, Nieto, Hunt, Galchenyuk, MacDermid · PIT Carter, Malkin, Crosby, Fedun, Friedman, O'Connor

  29. P2 3:39Cogliano: Holding (2 min)4v5

    On ice: COL Cogliano, Toews, Girard, O'Connor · PIT Malkin, Crosby, Letang, Rakell, Guentzel

  30. P2 3:59Shot by Crosby, saved by Georgiev3v5
  31. P2 4:05Shot by Guentzel, saved by Georgiev3v5
  32. P2 4:06Goal by Guentzel (Malkin)3v5+15 pts WP

    On ice: COL Johnson, Compher, Toews · PIT Malkin, Crosby, Letang, Rakell, Guentzel

  33. P2 4:26Shot by Carter, saved by Georgiev4v5
  34. P2 5:40Shot by Guentzel, saved by Georgiev
  35. P2 6:00Shot by O'Connor, saved by Georgiev
  36. P2 6:17Shot by O'Connor, saved by Georgiev
  37. P2 6:48Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Jarry
  38. P2 7:12Shot by Granlund, saved by Georgiev
  39. P2 7:51Shot by Newhook, saved by Jarry
  40. P2 7:58Shot by Zucker, saved by Georgiev
  41. P2 8:05Shot by Friedman, saved by Georgiev
  42. P2 10:02Shot by Malkin, saved by Georgiev
  43. P2 10:16Shot by O'Connor, saved by Jarry
  44. P2 11:03Shot by Helm, saved by Jarry
  45. P2 11:11Shot by Granlund, saved by Georgiev
  46. P2 11:35Goal by Compher (Nichushkin)+16 pts WP

    On ice: COL Johnson, Compher, Nichushkin, Byram, Newhook · PIT Crosby, Letang, Rust, Guentzel, Joseph

  47. P2 12:31Shot by Rantanen, saved by Jarry
  48. P2 12:57O'Connor: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: COL Cogliano, Eller, Hunt, O'Connor, Byram · PIT Carter, Letang, Archibald, Joseph, O'Connor

  49. P2 14:12Goal by Carter (Rust, Zucker)4v5+15 pts WP

    On ice: COL Eller, Nieto, Girard, Byram · PIT Carter, Zucker, Granlund, Rust, Joseph

  50. P2 14:53Shot by Letang, saved by Georgiev
  51. P2 14:58Shot by Rust, saved by Georgiev
  52. P2 15:13Crosby: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: COL Johnson, Helm, Galchenyuk, Girard, Newhook · PIT Crosby, Letang, Rust, Guentzel, Joseph

  53. P2 15:13Helm: Holding (2 min)5v4

    On ice: COL Johnson, Helm, Galchenyuk, Girard, Newhook · PIT Crosby, Letang, Rust, Guentzel, Joseph

  54. P2 15:13Helm: Roughing (2 min)4v4

    On ice: COL Johnson, Helm, Galchenyuk, Girard, Newhook · PIT Crosby, Letang, Rust, Guentzel, Joseph

  55. P2 16:01Shot by Letang, saved by Georgiev4v5
  56. P2 16:17Shot by Carter, saved by Georgiev4v5
  57. P2 18:11Shot by Zucker, saved by Georgiev
  58. P2 18:15Shot by Dumoulin, saved by Georgiev
  59. P2 18:36Shot by Newhook, saved by Jarry
  60. P2 19:08Ruhwedel: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: COL MacKinnon, Rantanen, Malgin, Girard, Byram · PIT Dumoulin, Granlund, Ruhwedel, Poehling, O'Connor

  61. P2 19:52Shot by Rantanen, saved by Jarry5v4
  62. P2 0:00Period end5v4
  63. P3 0:00Period start
  64. P3 0:34Shot by Dumoulin, saved by Georgiev5v4
  65. P3 1:07Shot by Dumoulin, saved by Georgiev5v4
  66. P3 1:50Shot by Guentzel, saved by Georgiev
  67. P3 2:06Shot by Malkin, saved by Georgiev
  68. P3 2:56Shot by Carter, saved by Georgiev
  69. P3 3:39Shot by Granlund, saved by Georgiev
  70. P3 3:39Shot by Granlund, saved by Georgiev
  71. P3 3:58Shot by Crosby, saved by Georgiev
  72. P3 5:28Shot by Nichushkin, saved by Jarry
  73. P3 6:49Shot by Malgin, saved by Jarry
  74. P3 7:08Shot by Rust, saved by Georgiev
  75. P3 7:15Shot by Compher, saved by Jarry
  76. P3 7:39Shot by Nichushkin, saved by Jarry
  77. P3 8:21Shot by Zucker, saved by Georgiev
  78. P3 9:12Archibald: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: COL MacKinnon, Toews, Rantanen, Malgin, Byram · PIT Carter, Fedun, Archibald, Friedman, O'Connor

  79. P3 10:01Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Jarry5v4
  80. P3 10:28Goal by Toews (Compher, MacKinnon)5v4+13 pts WP

    On ice: COL Compher, MacKinnon, Nichushkin, Toews, Rantanen · PIT Letang, Granlund, Rust, Joseph

  81. P3 11:08Shot by Letang, saved by Georgiev
  82. P3 12:51Goal by Carter (Dumoulin, O'Connor)+13 pts WP

    On ice: COL Cogliano, Eller, Hunt, Galchenyuk, Girard · PIT Carter, Dumoulin, Archibald, Ruhwedel, O'Connor

  83. P3 14:49Shot by Dumoulin, saved by Georgiev
  84. P3 15:49Shot by Rantanen, saved by Jarry6v5
  85. P3 16:51Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Jarry6v5
  86. P3 17:55Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Jarry6v5
  87. P3 18:33Shot by Rantanen, saved by Jarry6v5
  88. P3 19:41Goal by Rust, unassisted6v50 pts WP

    On ice: COL Eller, Nichushkin, Girard, O'Connor, Byram, Newhook · PIT Crosby, Letang, Dumoulin, Rust, Guentzel

  89. P3 19:59Shot by Archibald, saved by Georgiev
  90. P3 0:00Period end
  91. P3 0:00Final