Thu, Mar 23, 2023·FLA Live Arena, Sunrise
Toronto Maple Leafs 6, Florida Panthers 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 73% of the time.
20%
66%
FLA winsTOR wins
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 TJ BrodieD · #78 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 0 | 21:00 | 0.00 | 49.8% | 0.0 |
 Mitch MarnerRW · #16 | 1 | 1 | 2 | +3 | 3 | 20:17 | 0.93 | 61.5% | +14.2 |
 John TavaresC · #91 | 0 | 3 | 3 | +1 | 2 | 19:30 | 0.79 | 59.2% | +36.2 |
 Justin HollD · #3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 2 | 19:24 | 0.06 | 69.0% | +15.4 |
 Auston MatthewsC · #34 | 2 | 0 | 2 | +2 | 4 | 19:23 | 0.26 | 63.6% | +29.3 |
 Calle JarnkrokC · #19 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 1 | 18:32 | 0.36 | 46.8% | 0.0 |
 Jake McCabeD · #22 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 18:13 | 0.01 | 49.7% | +2.4 |
 Erik GustafssonD · #56 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17:58 | 0.00 | 55.7% | 0.0 |
 William NylanderRW · #88 | 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 3 | 17:31 | 0.57 | 67.6% | +33.8 |
 Noel AcciariC · #52 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 16:51 | 0.00 | 75.5% | 0.0 |
 Michael BuntingLW · #58 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 15:07 | 0.57 | 61.3% | +14.5 |
 Mark GiordanoD · #55 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 0 | 15:03 | 0.00 | 62.0% | +29.3 |
 David KampfC · #64 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14:55 | 0.07 | 55.9% | +0.3 |
 Alexander KerfootC · #15 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 14:20 | 0.21 | 67.9% | +2.4 |
 Sam LaffertyC · #28 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:31 | 0.00 | 23.2% | 0.0 |
 Luke SchennD · #2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 11:22 | 0.00 | 61.5% | 0.0 |
 Zachary Aston-ReeseLW · #12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 10:55 | 0.12 | 33.6% | 0.0 |
 Timothy LiljegrenD · #37 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 10:52 | 0.02 | 8.9% | 0.0 |
 Matt Murray#30 | W | 35 | 33 | 2 | .943 | 2.57 | +0.6 | 60:00 |
Florida Panthers
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Brandon MontourD · #62 | 0 | 1 | 1 | −4 | 4 | 22:55 | 0.10 | 25.2% | +15.2 |
 Sam ReinhartC · #13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 2 | 21:59 | 0.59 | 52.3% | 0.0 |
 Aleksander BarkovC · #16 | 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 1 | 21:22 | 0.16 | 47.4% | +15.5 |
 Matthew TkachukLW · #19 | 1 | 0 | 1 | −2 | 4 | 21:19 | 0.31 | 69.6% | +15.2 |
 Gustav ForslingD · #42 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 21:16 | 0.10 | 49.8% | 0.0 |
 Carter VerhaegheC · #23 | 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 4 | 20:20 | 0.38 | 25.3% | +15.2 |
 Eetu LuostarinenC · #27 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 20:04 | 0.31 | 50.0% | 0.0 |
 Aaron EkbladD · #5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20:03 | 0.18 | 45.5% | 0.0 |
 Marc StaalD · #18 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 1 | 18:59 | 0.02 | 21.9% | 0.0 |
 Radko GudasD · #7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17:18 | 0.03 | 69.1% | 0.0 |
 Eric StaalC · #12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:07 | 0.04 | 29.6% | 0.0 |
 Josh MahuraD · #28 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14:31 | 0.00 | 68.0% | +15.5 |
 Anthony DuclairLW · #10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:10 | 0.10 | 30.5% | 0.0 |
 Ryan LombergLW · #94 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12:31 | 0.14 | 28.1% | 0.0 |
 Nick CousinsC · #21 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11:03 | 0.06 | 50.0% | +15.5 |
 Anton LundellC · #15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 11:02 | 0.01 | 14.4% | 0.0 |
 Colin WhiteC · #6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 6:08 | 0.04 | 18.3% | 0.0 |
 Givani SmithRW · #54 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 5:44 | 0.00 | 38.6% | 0.0 |
 Sergei Bobrovsky#72 | L | 26 | 21 | 5 | .808 | 3.19 | −1.8 | 58:17 |