Fri, Mar 24, 2023·KeyBank Center, Buffalo
New Jersey Devils 4, Buffalo Sabres 5
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, New Jersey Devils win this game 56% of the time.
35%
9%
9%
47%
BUF winsNJD wins
New Jersey Devils
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 3 | 21:47 | 0.03 | 42.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 20:59 | 0.19 | 57.0% | +13.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 20:10 | 0.24 | 27.6% | 0.0 | |
| 2 | 1 | 3 | −1 | 4 | 20:08 | 0.40 | 35.7% | +31.7 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 3 | 19:57 | 0.34 | 63.1% | +13.5 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 0 | 19:49 | 0.00 | 54.2% | +25.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 18:50 | 0.04 | 58.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 18:28 | 0.39 | 52.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 17:23 | 0.20 | 20.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 17:01 | 0.27 | 69.0% | +5.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 16:33 | 0.00 | 48.5% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 2 | 16:07 | 0.05 | 53.9% | +18.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 14:44 | 0.31 | 76.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:17 | 0.28 | 81.6% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 11:44 | 0.09 | 48.5% | +12.4 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 11:08 | 0.00 | 43.1% | +12.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9:53 | 0.02 | 59.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 7:05 | 0.02 | 51.8% | 0.0 |
| – | 7 | 4 | 3 | .571 | 0.53 | −2.5 | 10:55 | |
| L | 19 | 17 | 2 | .895 | 1.95 | 0.0 | 47:41 |
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 25:55 | 0.00 | 44.8% | +6.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 4 | 23:51 | 0.23 | 43.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 22:53 | 0.05 | 42.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 20:32 | 0.05 | 42.7% | 0.0 | |
| 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 20:09 | 0.49 | 55.3% | +32.4 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17:48 | 0.17 | 36.7% | +6.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 16:38 | 0.08 | 55.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 5 | 16:28 | 0.20 | 60.1% | +13.9 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 16:10 | 0.12 | 34.2% | +30.6 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 15:25 | 0.15 | 41.4% | +30.6 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 14:16 | 0.05 | 41.4% | +13.9 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 13:15 | 0.06 | 36.5% | +30.6 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 13:14 | 0.56 | 55.6% | +12.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:53 | 0.07 | 40.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:42 | 0.08 | 38.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:03 | 0.09 | 55.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 0 | 11:47 | 0.00 | 58.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 2 | 9:00 | 0.03 | 71.6% | 0.0 |
| W | 31 | 27 | 4 | .871 | 2.88 | −1.1 | 59:51 |