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Ice Lab

Mon, Mar 27, 2023·Canadian Tire Centre, Ottawa

Florida Panthers 2, Ottawa Senators 5

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Florida Panthers win this game 53% of the time.

OTT winsFLA wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 2:18Shot by Lomberg, saved by Sogaard
  3. P1 3:38Shot by Montour, saved by Sogaard
  4. P1 4:05Shot by Ekblad, saved by Sogaard
  5. P1 5:37Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Bobrovsky
  6. P1 5:41Staal: Delaying game puck over glass (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Giroux, Holden, Brannstrom, Tkachuk, Stützle · FLA Staal, Cousins, Montour, White, Smith

  7. P1 5:46Shot by Forsling, saved by Sogaard5v4
  8. P1 7:05Shot by Stützle, saved by Bobrovsky5v4
  9. P1 9:02Goal by Tkachuk (Chabot)+18 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Brown, Chabot, Kastelic, Tkachuk, Zub · FLA Staal, Montour, White, Lomberg, Smith

  10. P1 13:07Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Sogaard
  11. P1 13:36Zub: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Giroux, Tkachuk, Sanderson, Stützle, Zub · FLA Staal, Duclair, Barkov, Montour, Luostarinen

  12. P1 16:28Shot by DeBrincat, saved by Bobrovsky
  13. P1 16:30Shot by Pinto, saved by Bobrovsky
  14. P1 16:57Mahura: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Hamonic, Chabot, DeBrincat, Batherson, Pinto · FLA Gudas, Verhaeghe, Tkachuk, Mahura, Lundell

  15. P1 18:19Shot by Sanderson, saved by Bobrovsky5v4
  16. P1 18:21Shot by Pinto, saved by Bobrovsky5v4
  17. P1 18:55Goal by Brassard (Brannstrom)5v4+13 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Giroux, Brassard, Brannstrom, Pinto, Sanderson · FLA Staal, Ekblad, Forsling, Luostarinen

  18. P1 19:33Stützle: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Gambrell, Tkachuk, Sanderson, Stützle, Zub · FLA Staal, Verhaeghe, Barkov, Montour, Tkachuk

  19. P1 0:00Period end4v5
  20. P2 0:00Period start
  21. P2 0:12Shot by Watson, saved by Bobrovsky4v5
  22. P2 1:08Shot by Montour, saved by Sogaard4v5
  23. P2 1:26Shot by Joseph, saved by Bobrovsky4v5
  24. P2 1:43Shot by Duclair, saved by Sogaard
  25. P2 2:50Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Bobrovsky
  26. P2 3:01Shot by Duclair, saved by Sogaard
  27. P2 5:09Shot by Ekblad, saved by Sogaard
  28. P2 5:58Goal by Forsling (Reinhart, Staal)+14 pts WP

    On ice: OTT DeBrincat, Brannstrom, Batherson, Pinto, Sanderson · FLA Staal, Reinhart, Montour, Forsling, Lomberg

  29. P2 6:14Shot by Ekblad, saved by Sogaard
  30. P2 6:39Shot by Brassard, saved by Bobrovsky
  31. P2 6:55Chabot: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Hamonic, Chabot, DeBrincat, Batherson, Pinto · FLA Staal, Verhaeghe, Montour, Tkachuk, Lundell

  32. P2 7:00Shot by Verhaeghe, saved by Sogaard4v5
  33. P2 7:22Shot by Barkov, saved by Sogaard4v5
  34. P2 7:44Shot by Verhaeghe, saved by Sogaard4v5
  35. P2 11:11Shot by Hamonic, saved by Bobrovsky
  36. P2 11:31Shot by Staal, saved by Sogaard
  37. P2 12:26Shot by Lundell, saved by Sogaard
  38. P2 12:58Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Sogaard
  39. P2 14:24Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Sogaard
  40. P2 15:03Shot by Hamonic, saved by Bobrovsky
  41. P2 15:24Shot by Lomberg, saved by Sogaard
  42. P2 16:44Shot by Staal, saved by Sogaard
  43. P2 17:47Shot by Pinto, saved by Bobrovsky6v5
  44. P2 17:48Luostarinen: Tripping (2 min)6v5

    On ice: OTT Giroux, Brassard, Hamonic, Watson, Chabot, Pinto · FLA Gudas, Cousins, Verhaeghe, Montour, White

  45. P2 18:17Shot by Pinto, saved by Bobrovsky5v4
  46. P2 19:22Goal by DeBrincat (Batherson, Tkachuk)5v4+14 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Chabot, DeBrincat, Batherson, Tkachuk, Stützle · FLA Staal, Staal, Gudas, Reinhart

  47. P2 19:34Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Sogaard
  48. P2 0:00Period end
  49. P3 0:00Period start
  50. P3 1:09Shot by Lundell, saved by Sogaard
  51. P3 1:19Shot by Montour, saved by Sogaard
  52. P3 1:23Shot by Gudas, saved by Sogaard
  53. P3 3:37Shot by DeBrincat, saved by Bobrovsky
  54. P3 3:41Shot by Batherson, saved by Bobrovsky
  55. P3 6:09Shot by Verhaeghe, saved by Sogaard
  56. P3 6:38Shot by Hamonic, saved by Bobrovsky
  57. P3 6:53Pinto: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: OTT DeBrincat, Batherson, Pinto, Sanderson, Zub · FLA Verhaeghe, Barkov, Montour, Forsling, Tkachuk

  58. P3 7:22Shot by Verhaeghe, saved by Sogaard4v5
  59. P3 9:00Shot by Duclair, saved by Sogaard
  60. P3 9:06Shot by Ekblad, saved by Sogaard
  61. P3 9:15Goal by Forsling (Ekblad, Luostarinen)+14 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Hamonic, Joseph, Pinto, Sanderson, Stützle · FLA Duclair, Ekblad, Forsling, Tkachuk, Luostarinen

  62. P3 9:51Shot by Batherson, saved by Bobrovsky
  63. P3 10:10Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Sogaard
  64. P3 11:32Shot by Watson, saved by Bobrovsky
  65. P3 12:51Shot by Luostarinen, saved by Sogaard
  66. P3 13:44Shot by Joseph, saved by Bobrovsky
  67. P3 14:18Shot by Staal, saved by Sogaard
  68. P3 15:02Shot by Forsling, saved by Sogaard
  69. P3 15:54Lundell: Delaying game face off violation (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Giroux, Brown, Sanderson, Stützle, Zub · FLA Gudas, Verhaeghe, Barkov, Forsling, Tkachuk

  70. P3 17:18Shot by Hamonic, saved by Bobrovsky5v4
  71. P3 17:25Shot by Hamonic, saved by Bobrovsky5v4
  72. P3 17:37Goal by Stützle (Hamonic, Giroux)5v4+8 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Giroux, Hamonic, Brannstrom, Tkachuk, Stützle · FLA Staal, Gudas, Forsling, Luostarinen

  73. P3 18:30Goal by Pinto, unassisted5v60 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Holden, Hamonic, Watson, Joseph, Pinto · FLA Verhaeghe, Barkov, Ekblad, Reinhart, Montour, Tkachuk

  74. P3 19:29Shot by Forsling, saved by Sogaard
  75. P3 0:00Period end
  76. P3 0:00Final