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Ice Lab

Sun, Apr 2, 2023·PNC Arena, Raleigh

New York Islanders 1, Carolina Hurricanes 2

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Carolina Hurricanes win this game 89% of the time.

CAR winsNYI wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:16Shot by Cizikas, saved by Andersen
  3. P1 0:26Shot by Pulock, saved by Andersen
  4. P1 2:01Shot by Martinook, saved by Sorokin
  5. P1 3:01Shot by Pageau, saved by Andersen
  6. P1 6:25Shot by Stepan, saved by Sorokin
  7. P1 7:09Shot by Burns, saved by Sorokin
  8. P1 7:40Shot by Pelech, saved by Andersen
  9. P1 7:48Shot by Martinook, saved by Sorokin
  10. P1 9:13Shot by Kotkaniemi, saved by Sorokin
  11. P1 10:12Shot by Necas, saved by Sorokin
  12. P1 11:01Shot by Skjei, saved by Sorokin
  13. P1 11:23Shot by Engvall, saved by Andersen
  14. P1 12:05Shot by Noesen, saved by Sorokin
  15. P1 12:47Stastny: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: CAR Burns, Stastny, Stepan, Slavin, Jarvis · NYI Clutterbuck, Martin, Cizikas, Pulock, Aho

  16. P1 12:53Shot by Palmieri, saved by Andersen4v5
  17. P1 13:44Shot by Aho, saved by Sorokin4v5
  18. P1 15:26Shot by Puljujarvi, saved by Sorokin
  19. P1 16:30Shot by Drury, saved by Sorokin
  20. P1 16:43Shot by Drury, saved by Sorokin
  21. P1 17:33Goal by Pageau (Engvall, Mayfield)+18 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Skjei, Martinook, Slavin, Aho, Necas · NYI Palmieri, Pageau, Mayfield, Engvall, Bolduc

  22. P1 17:37Shot by Aho, saved by Sorokin
  23. P1 17:53Shot by Aho, saved by Sorokin
  24. P1 18:27Shot by Drury, saved by Sorokin
  25. P1 0:00Period end
  26. P2 0:00Period start
  27. P2 1:11Shot by Kotkaniemi, saved by Sorokin
  28. P2 1:12Shot by Kotkaniemi, saved by Sorokin
  29. P2 1:33Shot by Puljujarvi, saved by Sorokin
  30. P2 1:40Shot by Burns, saved by Sorokin
  31. P2 2:26Shot by Parise, saved by Andersen
  32. P2 3:52Shot by Aho, saved by Andersen
  33. P2 4:25Shot by Drury, saved by Sorokin
  34. P2 4:47Shot by Burns, saved by Sorokin
  35. P2 5:16Shot by Necas, saved by Sorokin
  36. P2 5:53Shot by Pageau, saved by Andersen
  37. P2 6:22Shot by Stastny, saved by Sorokin
  38. P2 6:57Shot by Skjei, saved by Sorokin
  39. P2 8:00Shot by Pulock, saved by Andersen
  40. P2 8:46Shot by Necas, saved by Sorokin
  41. P2 9:27Goal by Kotkaniemi (Puljujarvi, Noesen)+22 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Noesen, Skjei, Pesce, Puljujarvi, Kotkaniemi · NYI Lee, Fasching, Horvat, Pulock, Aho

  42. P2 11:26Shot by Martinook, saved by Sorokin
  43. P2 12:32Shot by Horvat, saved by Andersen
  44. P2 13:39Shot by Slavin, saved by Sorokin
  45. P2 17:49Shot by Dobson, saved by Andersen
  46. P2 19:57Shot by Pageau, saved by Andersen
  47. P2 0:00Period end
  48. P3 0:00Period start
  49. P3 2:21Shot by Pelech, saved by Andersen
  50. P3 2:31Goal by Martinook (Slavin)+24 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Gostisbehere, Martinook, Aho, Chatfield, Necas · NYI Parise, Bailey, Pageau, Pelech, Dobson

  51. P3 5:04Dobson: Boarding (2 min)

    On ice: CAR Fast, Gostisbehere, Martinook, Aho, Necas · NYI Lee, Fasching, Horvat, Aho, Dobson

  52. P3 6:20Shot by Jarvis, saved by Sorokin5v4
  53. P3 6:21Shot by Noesen, saved by Sorokin5v4
  54. P3 8:23Shot by Aho, saved by Andersen
  55. P3 9:50Shot by Parise, saved by Andersen
  56. P3 11:14Shot by Martin, saved by Andersen
  57. P3 12:35Shot by Necas, saved by Sorokin
  58. P3 12:45Shot by Cizikas, saved by Andersen
  59. P3 12:50Shot by Aho, saved by Andersen
  60. P3 14:56Shot by Palmieri, saved by Andersen
  61. P3 15:24Aho: Cross checking (2 min)

    On ice: CAR Gostisbehere, Martinook, Aho, Chatfield, Necas · NYI Parise, Bailey, Pelech, Horvat, Dobson

  62. P3 16:36Shot by Horvat, saved by Andersen4v5
  63. P3 17:11Shot by Martinook, saved by Sorokin4v5
  64. P3 17:31Aho: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: CAR Burns, Staal, Martinook, Slavin, Aho · NYI Parise, Pageau, Engvall, Aho, Bolduc

  65. P3 18:32Shot by Noesen, saved by Sorokin5v4
  66. P3 18:35Shot by Skjei, saved by Sorokin5v4
  67. P3 0:00Period end5v6
  68. P3 0:00Final