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Ice Lab

Sun, Apr 2, 2023·PNC Arena, Raleigh

New York Islanders 1, Carolina Hurricanes 2

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Carolina Hurricanes win this game 89% of the time.

CAR winsNYI wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

CAR forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against NYI's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Palmieri–Nelson–EngvallParise–Bailey–PageauLee–Fasching–HorvatClutterbuck–Martin–CizikasBailey–Martin–CizikasPelech–DobsonPulock–AhoMayfield–BolducPelech–PulockMayfield–AhoMayfield–PelechPulock–BolducPulock–DobsonPelech–BolducDobson–BolducAho–Dobson
Noesen–Puljujarvi–Kotkaniemi6:150.43–0.171:230.00–0.020:560.07–0.000:460.11–0.001:010.00–0.011:030.11–0.002:470.18–0.000:550.35–0.002:530.00–0.161:220.04–0.030:460.00–0.00
Martinook–Aho–Necas7:290.48–0.181:360.04–0.004:570.48–0.021:360.11–0.000:560.00–0.051:350.05–0.030:410.00–0.000:490.00–0.000:310.00–0.00
Staal–Fast–Drury1:170.01–0.005:350.20–0.221:280.00–0.003:200.17–0.140:410.00–0.021:430.38–0.000:470.05–0.000:480.00–0.080:310.00–0.000:360.00–0.00
Stastny–Stepan–Jarvis1:080.01–0.006:260.42–0.060:560.09–0.001:210.08–0.011:270.00–0.031:330.09–0.001:170.00–0.000:570.00–0.021:470.25–0.000:370.09–0.00
Aho–Necas–Drury0:560.05–0.00
Burns–Slavin3:080.04–0.064:400.35–0.024:180.38–0.081:470.18–0.036:280.72–0.041:430.11–0.001:050.02–0.000:320.00–0.002:230.05–0.061:010.00–0.080:490.04–0.000:320.10–0.00
Skjei–Pesce5:380.41–0.171:180.05–0.033:180.22–0.021:040.00–0.022:180.05–0.004:100.28–0.021:010.00–0.023:180.78–0.031:320.00–0.181:030.00–0.001:010.00–0.010:390.00–0.000:350.00–0.00
Gostisbehere–Chatfield0:420.00–0.003:230.08–0.150:570.00–0.005:250.35–0.031:040.09–0.001:320.10–0.001:410.00–0.033:490.25–0.001:540.00–0.000:400.00–0.000:560.25–0.001:110.00–0.030:460.09–0.000:370.00–0.00
Slavin–Pesce1:120.00–0.000:350.00–0.000:390.00–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndStepan FJarvis FStastny FDrury FStaal FFast FAho FNecas FMartinook FNoesen FKotkaniemi FPuljujarvi FChatfield DGostisbehere DPesce DSkjei DBurns DSlavin DAndersen GClutterbuck FMartin FCizikas FPalmieri FNelson FEngvall FHorvat FLee FFasching FPageau FBailey FParise FPulock DAho DMayfield DPelech DDobson DBolduc DSorokin G
CARNYIFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Adam PelechNYI3425:280:452:0459
Brent BurnsCAR2423:090:581:4634
Brett PesceCAR2621:290:501:2825
Brady SkjeiCAR2721:290:481:2545
Ryan PulockNYI2721:220:471:3536
Jaccob SlavinCAR2421:000:531:2634
Scott MayfieldNYI2620:080:461:3308
Noah DobsonNYI2419:520:501:5272
Bo HorvatNYI2117:400:501:2962
Sebastian AhoCAR2017:250:521:5042
Brock NelsonNYI2317:030:441:3180
Martin NecasCAR2017:020:511:5052
Jean-Gabriel PageauNYI2616:540:391:2839
Shayne GostisbehereCAR2116:530:481:5022
Sebastian AhoNYI2416:490:421:3015
Stefan NoesenCAR2116:360:471:5343
Anders LeeNYI2216:180:441:2871
Jordan StaalCAR2315:550:421:2025
Kyle PalmieriNYI2315:510:411:2570
Jesperi KotkaniemiCAR2115:460:451:2653
Jordan MartinookCAR2115:180:441:1643
Jalen ChatfieldCAR2014:580:451:2312
Pierre EngvallNYI2114:560:431:0460
Zach PariseNYI2214:550:411:1926
Casey CizikasNYI2214:300:401:2025
Seth JarvisCAR1814:170:481:2761
Jack DruryCAR1914:000:441:1623
Samuel BolducNYI1813:500:462:1911
Jesse PuljujarviCAR2013:390:411:2433
Josh BaileyNYI1713:360:481:3023
Jesper FastCAR2113:340:391:2613
Matt MartinNYI1813:050:441:1712
Cal ClutterbuckNYI2112:190:351:0615
Hudson FaschingNYI1712:130:431:4932
Derek StepanCAR1612:030:451:3841
Paul StastnyCAR1511:270:461:2141