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Ice Lab

Wed, Apr 5, 2023·Madison Square Garden, New York

Tampa Bay Lightning 3, New York Rangers 6

Away

Tampa Bay Lightning

3

Final

Home

New York Rangers

6

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, New York Rangers win this game 63% of the time.

NYR winsTBL wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 2:18Shot by Perry, saved by Shesterkin
  3. P1 3:40Shot by Hagel, saved by Shesterkin
  4. P1 5:23Shot by Schneider, saved by Vasilevskiy6v5
  5. P1 5:29Stamkos: Slashing (2 min)6v5

    On ice: NYR Tarasenko, Trocheck, Zibanejad, Panarin, Mikkola, Schneider · TBL Stamkos, Hedman, Kucherov, Point, Perbix

  6. P1 6:13Goal by Kreider (Tarasenko, Zibanejad)5v4+15 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Kreider, Tarasenko, Zibanejad, Panarin, Fox · TBL Cole, Cernak, Cirelli, Hagel

  7. P1 7:41Goal by Kakko (Chytil, Miller)+12 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Lindgren, Chytil, Miller, Kakko, Lafrenière · TBL Perry, Hedman, Bellemare, Jeannot, Perbix

  8. P1 7:51Shot by Vesey, saved by Vasilevskiy
  9. P1 9:38Shot by Miller, saved by Vasilevskiy
  10. P1 10:10Shot by Motte, saved by Vasilevskiy
  11. P1 10:21Goal by Motte (Goodrow, Schneider)+8 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Goodrow, Vesey, Motte, Harpur, Schneider · TBL Stamkos, Hedman, Kucherov, Point, Perbix

  12. P1 10:22Shot by Colton, saved by Shesterkin
  13. P1 10:28Lafrenière: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Fox, Lindgren, Chytil, Kakko, Lafrenière · TBL Cole, Paul, Cernak, Colton, Hagel

  14. P1 10:40Goal by Killorn (Sergachev, Kucherov)4v5+7 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Kreider, Zibanejad, Fox, Lindgren · TBL Killorn, Stamkos, Kucherov, Point, Sergachev

  15. P1 12:10Shot by Sergachev, saved by Shesterkin
  16. P1 14:12Shot by Motte, saved by Vasilevskiy
  17. P1 14:14Shot by Goodrow, saved by Vasilevskiy
  18. P1 14:30Shot by Cernak, saved by Shesterkin
  19. P1 14:33Shot by Colton, saved by Shesterkin
  20. P1 17:09Harpur: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: NYR Vesey, Motte, Harpur, Mikkola, Miller · TBL Perry, Killorn, Cole, Maroon, Bellemare

  21. P1 17:09Maroon: Fighting (5 min)4v5

    On ice: NYR Vesey, Motte, Harpur, Mikkola, Miller · TBL Perry, Killorn, Cole, Maroon, Bellemare

  22. P1 17:09Maroon: Unsportsmanlike conduct (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Vesey, Motte, Harpur, Mikkola, Miller · TBL Perry, Killorn, Cole, Maroon, Bellemare

  23. P1 18:23Shot by Fox, saved by Vasilevskiy5v4
  24. P1 18:58Shot by Kakko, saved by Vasilevskiy5v4
  25. P1 19:06Shot by Kakko, saved by Vasilevskiy5v4
  26. P1 19:41Shot by Raddysh, saved by Shesterkin
  27. P1 19:54Miller: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Lindgren, Chytil, Miller, Kakko, Lafrenière · TBL Cole, Stamkos, Kucherov, Point, Raddysh

  28. P1 0:00Period end4v5
  29. P2 0:00Period start
  30. P2 1:02Shot by Kreider, saved by Vasilevskiy4v5
  31. P2 1:59Shot by Hagel, saved by Shesterkin
  32. P2 2:04Shot by Perbix, saved by Shesterkin
  33. P2 2:56Shot by Hedman, saved by Shesterkin
  34. P2 6:16Shot by Jeannot, saved by Shesterkin
  35. P2 6:48Shot by Raddysh, saved by Shesterkin
  36. P2 7:10Goal by Raddysh (Killorn, Hagel)+14 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Kreider, Zibanejad, Vesey, Harpur, Schneider · TBL Killorn, Raddysh, Cirelli, Sergachev, Hagel

  37. P2 7:25Goal by Motte (Lafrenière, Goodrow)+14 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Goodrow, Motte, Mikkola, Miller, Lafrenière · TBL Stamkos, Kucherov, Point, Raddysh, Sergachev

  38. P2 8:28Shot by Jeannot, saved by Shesterkin
  39. P2 8:47Shot by Perbix, saved by Shesterkin
  40. P2 8:50Fox: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Tarasenko, Trocheck, Panarin, Fox, Miller · TBL Perry, Hedman, Bellemare, Jeannot, Perbix

  41. P2 10:38Shot by Perry, saved by Shesterkin4v5
  42. P2 11:08Shot by Lindgren, saved by Vasilevskiy
  43. P2 11:31Shot by Cirelli, saved by Shesterkin
  44. P2 11:32Shot by Cirelli, saved by Shesterkin
  45. P2 11:34Goal by Hagel (Cirelli, Hedman)+11 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Tarasenko, Trocheck, Panarin, Fox, Lindgren · TBL Killorn, Cole, Cernak, Cirelli, Hagel

  46. P2 11:34Cirelli: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Tarasenko, Trocheck, Panarin, Fox, Lindgren · TBL Killorn, Cole, Cernak, Cirelli, Hagel

  47. P2 11:34Lindgren: Roughing (2 min)5v4

    On ice: NYR Tarasenko, Trocheck, Panarin, Fox, Lindgren · TBL Killorn, Cole, Cernak, Cirelli, Hagel

  48. P2 11:34Killorn: Slashing (2 min)5v4

    On ice: NYR Tarasenko, Trocheck, Panarin, Fox, Lindgren · TBL Killorn, Cole, Cernak, Cirelli, Hagel

  49. P2 11:54Shot by Panarin, saved by Vasilevskiy5v4
  50. P2 12:18Shot by Zibanejad, saved by Vasilevskiy5v4
  51. P2 13:13Shot by Panarin, saved by Vasilevskiy5v4
  52. P2 14:19Shot by Point, saved by Shesterkin
  53. P2 14:42Shot by Perbix, saved by Shesterkin
  54. P2 14:44Shot by Stamkos, saved by Shesterkin
  55. P2 16:13Perry: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: NYR Tarasenko, Trocheck, Panarin, Fox, Lindgren · TBL Perry, Cole, Bellemare, Cernak, Jeannot

  56. P2 16:13Trocheck: Fighting (5 min)5v4

    On ice: NYR Tarasenko, Trocheck, Panarin, Fox, Lindgren · TBL Perry, Cole, Bellemare, Cernak, Jeannot

  57. P2 17:05Shot by Stamkos, saved by Shesterkin
  58. P2 17:10Shot by Kucherov, saved by Shesterkin
  59. P2 18:26Shot by Chytil, saved by Vasilevskiy
  60. P2 18:51Shot by Motte, saved by Vasilevskiy
  61. P2 19:25Colton: Instigator (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Tarasenko, Zibanejad, Harpur, Panarin, Schneider · TBL Hedman, Paul, Cernak, Colton, Hagel

  62. P2 19:25Schneider: Fighting (5 min)5v4

    On ice: NYR Tarasenko, Zibanejad, Harpur, Panarin, Schneider · TBL Hedman, Paul, Cernak, Colton, Hagel

  63. P2 19:25Colton: Fighting (5 min)4v4

    On ice: NYR Tarasenko, Zibanejad, Harpur, Panarin, Schneider · TBL Hedman, Paul, Cernak, Colton, Hagel

  64. P2 19:25Colton: Misconduct (10 min)5v4

    On ice: NYR Tarasenko, Zibanejad, Harpur, Panarin, Schneider · TBL Hedman, Paul, Cernak, Colton, Hagel

  65. P2 19:47Shot by Zibanejad, saved by Vasilevskiy5v4
  66. P2 0:00Period end5v4
  67. P3 0:00Period start
  68. P3 0:52Shot by Kreider, saved by Vasilevskiy5v4
  69. P3 1:16Shot by Chytil, saved by Vasilevskiy5v4
  70. P3 1:39Shot by Lafrenière, saved by Vasilevskiy
  71. P3 2:28Shot by Raddysh, saved by Shesterkin
  72. P3 3:14Shot by Kreider, saved by Vasilevskiy
  73. P3 4:21Shot by Motte, saved by Vasilevskiy
  74. P3 5:16Shot by Trocheck, saved by Vasilevskiy
  75. P3 6:03Shot by Kakko, saved by Vasilevskiy
  76. P3 6:28Shot by Chytil, saved by Vasilevskiy
  77. P3 6:41Shot by Hagel, saved by Shesterkin
  78. P3 7:41Shot by Trocheck, saved by Vasilevskiy
  79. P3 10:59Shot by Stamkos, saved by Shesterkin
  80. P3 11:38Goal by Kreider (Zibanejad, Fox)+13 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Kreider, Zibanejad, Vesey, Fox, Lindgren · TBL Perry, Maroon, Hedman, Bellemare, Perbix

  81. P3 11:43Shot by Lindgren, saved by Vasilevskiy
  82. P3 12:29Shot by Kakko, saved by Vasilevskiy
  83. P3 12:41Kucherov: Tripping (2 min)6v5

    On ice: NYR Zibanejad, Harpur, Chytil, Kakko, Schneider, Lafrenière · TBL Stamkos, Kucherov, Point, Raddysh, Sergachev

  84. P3 13:40Shot by Zibanejad, saved by Vasilevskiy5v4
  85. P3 13:49Goal by Panarin (Zibanejad, Fox)5v4+2 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Kreider, Tarasenko, Zibanejad, Panarin, Fox · TBL Killorn, Hedman, Bellemare, Cernak

  86. P3 14:22Shot by Jeannot, saved by Shesterkin
  87. P3 15:25Shot by Point, saved by Shesterkin
  88. P3 17:33Shot by Paul, saved by Shesterkin
  89. P3 18:44Shot by Miller, saved by Vasilevskiy
  90. P3 18:47Shot by Motte, saved by Vasilevskiy
  91. P3 0:00Harpur: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: NYR Trocheck, Harpur, Kakko, Schneider, Lafrenière · TBL Perry, Cole, Bellemare, Cernak, Jeannot

  92. P3 0:00Perry: Fighting (5 min)4v5

    On ice: NYR Trocheck, Harpur, Kakko, Schneider, Lafrenière · TBL Perry, Cole, Bellemare, Cernak, Jeannot

  93. P3 0:00Period end
  94. P3 0:00Final