Wed, Apr 5, 2023·Madison Square Garden, New York
Tampa Bay Lightning 3, New York Rangers 6
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, New York Rangers win this game 63% of the time.
55%
30%
NYR winsTBL wins
Tampa Bay Lightning
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −3 | 1 | 22:30 | 0.01 | 54.9% | +11.4 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 22:11 | 0.15 | 47.5% | +6.7 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 1 | 21:46 | 0.13 | 57.7% | +6.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 20:52 | 0.02 | 70.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 3 | 20:21 | 0.44 | 58.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 20:03 | 0.28 | 53.9% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 4 | 19:02 | 0.47 | 86.5% | +25.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 18:36 | 0.22 | 65.2% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 17:34 | 0.19 | 58.4% | +13.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 16:01 | 0.00 | 39.0% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 1 | 15:28 | 0.11 | 83.1% | +20.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:39 | 0.06 | 52.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 3 | 14:25 | 0.12 | 44.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 12:25 | 0.22 | 27.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 10:34 | 0.43 | 97.8% | +11.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 9:11 | 0.19 | 39.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 9:00 | 0.00 | 28.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7:30 | 0.21 | 48.1% | 0.0 |
| L | 37 | 31 | 6 | .838 | 4.06 | −1.9 | 60:00 |
New York Rangers
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 22:24 | 0.02 | 39.7% | +12.3 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 3 | 22:05 | 0.29 | 18.2% | +2.4 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 21:51 | 0.12 | 34.0% | +15.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 20:07 | 0.01 | 33.0% | 0.0 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 20:04 | 0.94 | 44.2% | +28.6 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 0 | 20:00 | 0.00 | 13.2% | +15.4 | |
| 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 18:56 | 0.57 | 44.3% | +31.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 18:48 | 0.01 | 36.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 18:39 | 0.00 | 69.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15:20 | 0.07 | 53.1% | +8.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 15:09 | 0.32 | 24.7% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 5 | 14:56 | 0.59 | 25.4% | +12.3 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 14:46 | 0.03 | 49.2% | +14.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 1 | 13:34 | 0.23 | 74.0% | +22.1 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 13:24 | 0.20 | 30.5% | +12.3 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | +2 | 7 | 11:55 | 0.67 | 83.7% | +22.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:23 | 0.00 | 63.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2:41 | 0.00 | – | 0.0 |
| W | 31 | 28 | 3 | .903 | 3.26 | +0.3 | 59:46 |