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Ice Lab

Thu, Apr 6, 2023·Little Caesars Arena, Detroit

Buffalo Sabres 7, Detroit Red Wings 6 (SO)

Away

Buffalo Sabres

7

Final

Shootout

Home

Detroit Red Wings

6

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 59% of the time.

DET winsBUF wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:10Shot by Raymond, saved by Levi
  3. P1 2:45Shot by Berggren, saved by Levi
  4. P1 4:00Larkin: Penalty shot hooking on breakaway (0 min)

    On ice: DET Perron, Kubalik, Larkin, Walman, Seider · BUF Skinner, Tuch, Mittelstadt, Jokiharju, Power

  5. P1 4:21Shot by Cozens, saved by Husso
  6. P1 4:35Goal by Thompson (Cozens, Power)+14 pts WP

    On ice: DET Perron, Chiarot, Kubalik, Larkin, Edvinsson · BUF Greenway, Thompson, Jokiharju, Cozens, Power

  7. P1 4:39Shot by Stillman, saved by Husso
  8. P1 6:35Shot by Power, saved by Husso
  9. P1 7:02Walman: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: DET Copp, Walman, Suter, Seider, Raymond · BUF Skinner, Tuch, Mittelstadt, Jokiharju, Power

  10. P1 7:39Shot by Thompson, saved by Husso4v5
  11. P1 8:01Shot by Skinner, saved by Husso4v5
  12. P1 8:27Shot by Skinner, saved by Husso4v5
  13. P1 8:59Shot by Krebs, saved by Husso4v5
  14. P1 9:58Shot by Greenway, saved by Husso
  15. P1 10:38Goal by Czarnik (Berggren, Walman)+16 pts WP

    On ice: DET Chiarot, Kubalik, Czarnik, Berggren, Edvinsson · BUF Skinner, Tuch, Stillman, Mittelstadt, Lyubushkin

  16. P1 10:54Shot by Larkin, saved by Levi
  17. P1 12:37Shot by Power, saved by Husso
  18. P1 13:33Shot by Czarnik, saved by Levi
  19. P1 14:03Peterka: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: DET Maatta, Oesterle, Czarnik, Luff, Berggren · BUF Jost, Stillman, Lyubushkin, Quinn, Peterka

  20. P1 15:05Goal by Larkin (Raymond, Seider)5v4+17 pts WP

    On ice: DET Perron, Chiasson, Larkin, Seider, Raymond · BUF Tuch, Lyubushkin, Quinn, Power

  21. P1 17:06Shot by Mittelstadt, saved by Husso
  22. P1 17:10Goal by Jokiharju (Tuch, Mittelstadt)+23 pts WP

    On ice: DET Perron, Larkin, Walman, Seider, Raymond · BUF Skinner, Tuch, Mittelstadt, Jokiharju, Power

  23. P1 17:10Skinner: Cross checking (2 min)

    On ice: DET Perron, Larkin, Walman, Seider, Raymond · BUF Skinner, Tuch, Mittelstadt, Jokiharju, Power

  24. P1 17:10Larkin: Roughing (2 min)5v4

    On ice: DET Perron, Larkin, Walman, Seider, Raymond · BUF Skinner, Tuch, Mittelstadt, Jokiharju, Power

  25. P1 17:10Walman: Roughing (2 min)4v4

    On ice: DET Perron, Larkin, Walman, Seider, Raymond · BUF Skinner, Tuch, Mittelstadt, Jokiharju, Power

  26. P1 17:10Walman: Roughing (2 min)4v5

    On ice: DET Perron, Larkin, Walman, Seider, Raymond · BUF Skinner, Tuch, Mittelstadt, Jokiharju, Power

  27. P1 17:38Shot by Greenway, saved by Husso4v5
  28. P1 17:58Shot by Thompson, saved by Husso4v5
  29. P1 18:04Shot by Suter, saved by Levi4v5
  30. P1 18:34Shot by Peterka, saved by Husso4v5
  31. P1 19:08Goal by Cozens (Krebs, Power)4v5+18 pts WP

    On ice: DET Erne, Veleno, Seider, Edvinsson · BUF Mittelstadt, Krebs, Cozens, Quinn, Power

  32. P1 19:58Shot by Suter, saved by Levi4v5
  33. P1 0:00Period end4v5
  34. P2 0:00Period start
  35. P2 0:25Shot by Copp, saved by Levi4v5
  36. P2 1:01Shot by Tuch, saved by Husso4v5
  37. P2 1:20Shot by Kubalik, saved by Levi
  38. P2 1:33Goal by Girgensons (Okposo, Power)+15 pts WP

    On ice: DET Perron, Chiarot, Kubalik, Veleno, Edvinsson · BUF Okposo, Girgensons, Jokiharju, Krebs, Power

  39. P2 3:34Shot by Chiarot, saved by Levi
  40. P2 5:41Shot by Quinn, saved by Husso
  41. P2 7:13Shot by Larkin, saved by Levi
  42. P2 7:43Shot by Girgensons, saved by Husso
  43. P2 9:11Shot by Chiasson, saved by Levi
  44. P2 10:52Shot by Mittelstadt, saved by Husso
  45. P2 11:11Okposo: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: DET Perron, Oesterle, Larkin, Suter, Seider · BUF Okposo, Girgensons, Stillman, Lyubushkin, Krebs

  46. P2 11:18Shot by Perron, saved by Levi5v4
  47. P2 13:18Shot by Berggren, saved by Levi
  48. P2 14:46Shot by Perron, saved by Levi
  49. P2 15:00Jokiharju: Holding (2 min)6v5

    On ice: DET Perron, Maatta, Copp, Oesterle, Larkin, Raymond · BUF Greenway, Thompson, Jokiharju, Cozens, Power

  50. P2 16:04Goal by Chiasson (Larkin, Raymond)5v4+15 pts WP

    On ice: DET Perron, Chiasson, Larkin, Seider, Raymond · BUF Tuch, Samuelsson, Dahlin, Quinn

  51. P2 16:52Goal by Edvinsson, unassisted+26 pts WP

    On ice: DET Chiarot, Kubalik, Copp, Berggren, Edvinsson · BUF Greenway, Thompson, Jokiharju, Cozens, Power

  52. P2 17:08Shot by Czarnik, saved by Levi
  53. P2 18:44Shot by Walman, saved by Levi
  54. P2 18:52Shot by Thompson, saved by Husso
  55. P2 18:59Shot by Samuelsson, saved by Husso
  56. P2 19:33Shot by Copp, saved by Levi
  57. P2 19:52Shot by Kubalik, saved by Levi
  58. P2 0:00Period end
  59. P3 0:00Period start
  60. P3 0:26Shot by Mittelstadt, saved by Husso
  61. P3 1:59Shot by Power, saved by Husso
  62. P3 2:09Shot by Girgensons, saved by Husso
  63. P3 2:26Shot by Peterka, saved by Husso
  64. P3 3:20Goal by Greenway (Mittelstadt, Jokiharju)+29 pts WP

    On ice: DET Perron, Chiarot, Kubalik, Larkin, Edvinsson · BUF Tuch, Greenway, Mittelstadt, Jokiharju, Power

  65. P3 4:32Goal by Cozens (Thompson, Dahlin)+15 pts WP

    On ice: DET Chiasson, Erne, Walman, Veleno, Seider · BUF Greenway, Thompson, Samuelsson, Dahlin, Cozens

  66. P3 5:13Shot by Czarnik, saved by Levi
  67. P3 5:15Shot by Czarnik, saved by Levi
  68. P3 6:16Shot by Suter, saved by Levi
  69. P3 8:02Goal by Berggren (Luff)+14 pts WP

    On ice: DET Chiarot, Czarnik, Luff, Berggren, Edvinsson · BUF Jost, Stillman, Lyubushkin, Quinn, Peterka

  70. P3 9:52Shot by Berggren, saved by Levi
  71. P3 13:12Shot by Samuelsson, saved by Husso
  72. P3 13:49Shot by Seider, saved by Levi
  73. P3 14:55Shot by Thompson, saved by Husso
  74. P3 15:37Shot by Walman, saved by Levi
  75. P3 19:00Goal by Perron (Seider, Raymond)6v5+49 pts WP

    On ice: DET Perron, Chiasson, Copp, Larkin, Seider, Raymond · BUF Tuch, Mittelstadt, Samuelsson, Dahlin, Cozens

  76. P3 19:07Shot by Tuch, saved by Husso
  77. P3 19:11Shot by Skinner, saved by Husso
  78. P3 0:00Period end
  79. OT 0:00Period start
  80. OT 1:23Shot by Copp, saved by Levi3v3
  81. OT 1:47Shot by Quinn, saved by Husso3v3
  82. OT 2:24Shot by Power, saved by Husso3v3
  83. OT 4:27Shot by Dahlin, saved by Husso3v3
  84. OT 4:55Shot by Berggren, saved by Levi3v3
  85. OT 5:00Period endother
  86. SO Period start
  87. SO Shot by Thompson, saved by Hussoother
  88. SO Goal by Raymond, unassistedother
  89. SO Goal by Quinn, unassistedother
  90. SO Shot by Perron, saved by Leviother
  91. SO Goal by Tuch, unassistedother
  92. SO Shot by Larkin, saved by Leviother
  93. SO Period endother
  94. SO Final