Thu, Apr 6, 2023·Little Caesars Arena, Detroit
Buffalo Sabres 7, Detroit Red Wings 6 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 59% of the time.
32%
8%
51%
DET winsBUF wins
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 30:42 | 0.19 | 39.9% | +15.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 24:19 | 0.05 | 42.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 3 | 3 | +3 | 4 | 22:58 | 0.22 | 66.4% | +47.2 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 22:11 | 0.51 | 60.9% | +22.5 | |
| 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 20:39 | 0.32 | 68.7% | +47.1 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 5 | 19:27 | 0.57 | 60.0% | +28.8 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +3 | 1 | 19:06 | 0.07 | 67.8% | +51.8 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 18:21 | 0.28 | 65.3% | +51.8 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 3 | 16:53 | 0.18 | 56.8% | +29.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16:52 | 0.21 | 64.9% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 15:25 | 0.30 | 55.1% | +15.2 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 15:21 | 0.27 | 44.0% | +18.3 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 13:53 | 0.06 | 49.6% | +15.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 12:39 | 0.19 | 28.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 11:17 | 0.00 | 35.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 11:00 | 0.00 | 37.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 10:33 | 0.21 | 25.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 9:18 | 0.03 | 25.3% | 0.0 |
| W | 32 | 26 | 6 | .813 | 3.06 | −2.9 | 65:00 |
Detroit Red Wings
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 2 | 2 | −1 | 1 | 28:22 | 0.00 | 21.9% | +66.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 | 23:04 | 0.31 | 63.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 21:51 | 0.20 | 51.0% | +81.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20:51 | 0.00 | 61.7% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | −2 | 3 | 20:33 | 0.36 | 24.5% | +32.2 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 2 | 20:16 | 0.08 | 26.5% | +15.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 20:04 | 0.09 | 66.1% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −3 | 3 | 19:23 | 0.24 | 34.3% | +49.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18:22 | 0.06 | 57.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17:01 | 0.00 | 53.9% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15:17 | 0.00 | 61.0% | +25.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 15:06 | 0.01 | 37.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 14:58 | 0.30 | 38.3% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12:59 | 0.40 | 17.8% | +14.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 12:00 | 0.02 | 17.8% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +3 | 5 | 11:38 | 0.51 | 79.0% | +30.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 5 | 9:12 | 0.40 | 86.2% | +15.6 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 9:04 | 0.08 | 85.3% | +14.4 |
| O | 36 | 30 | 6 | .833 | 3.65 | −2.4 | 64:01 |