Thu, Apr 13, 2023·Mullett Arena, Tempe
Vancouver Canucks 5, Arizona Coyotes 4 (OT)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Arizona Coyotes win this game 59% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VAN | 416 | 01 | 06 | 11 | 524 |
| ARI | 28 | 19 | 110 | 01 | 428 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 3:53VANElias PetterssonAssists: Quinn Hughes, Kyle Burroughs · Backhand, 0.20 xG1–0
- P1 5:08ARILiam O'BrienAssists: Michael Kesselring, Jack McBain · Bat, 0.19 xG1–1
- P1 8:03VANConor GarlandPPAssists: Anthony Beauvillier, Andrei Kuzmenko · Slap, 0.10 xG2–1
- P1 12:21VANJ.T. MillerPPAssists: Quinn Hughes, Phillip Di Giuseppe · Snap, 0.07 xG3–1
- P1 14:16VANConor GarlandAssists: Kyle Burroughs, Andrei Kuzmenko · Tip-in, 0.06 xG4–1
- P1 19:53ARITravis BoydAssists: Clayton Keller, Nick Schmaltz · Wrist, 0.10 xG4–2
- P2 9:54ARILiam O'BrienAssists: Michael Kesselring · Tip-in, 0.05 xG4–3
- P3 16:40ARINick SchmaltzAssists: Victor Soderstrom, Matias Maccelli · Wrist, 0.05 xG4–4
- OT 1:19VANConor GarlandGWGAssists: J.T. Miller, Quinn Hughes · Backhand, 0.23 xG5–4
Penalties (11)
- P1 2:09ARIConnor Mackey: Roughing2 min
- P1 2:09VANBrock Boeser: Cross checking2 min
- P1 6:06ARIClayton Keller: Delaying game puck over glass2 min · PPG
- P1 10:48ARITravis Boyd: Holding2 min · PPG
- P2 6:14VANEthan Bear: Hooking2 min
- P2 14:42VANTyler Myers: Interference2 min
- P3 2:42VANQuinn Hughes: Holding the stick2 min
- P3 9:17ARIJoshua Brown: Tripping2 min
- P3 9:17ARIJoshua Brown: Fighting5 min
- P3 9:17VANKyle Burroughs: Fighting5 min
- P3 12:10ARINick Schmaltz: Tripping2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Studnicka won the faceoff against Boyd
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Vancouver Canucks
Forward lines
- Garland – Dries – Kuzmenko8:45
xG 0.24–0.31 (43%)attempts 4–7goals 1–0
- Joshua – Boeser – Aman7:54
xG 0.32–0.43 (43%)attempts 9–8goals 0–2
- Miller – Di Giuseppe – Pettersson7:43
xG 0.15–0.47 (24%)attempts 5–8goals 0–1
- Beauvillier – Studnicka – McDonough10:47
xG 0.12–1.01 (10%)attempts 4–17goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- Bear – Hughes2:05
xG 0.00–0.04 (0%)attempts 0–2goals 0–0
- Myers – Hughes2:03
xG 0.05–0.12 (29%)attempts 1–4goals 0–1
- Burroughs – Hughes11:15
xG 0.31–0.41 (43%)attempts 7–7goals 1–0
Arizona Coyotes
Forward lines
- bestBoyd – Schmaltz – Keller13:09
xG 0.72–0.10 (88%)attempts 14–5goals 1–0
- Crouse – Hayton – Maccelli6:46
xG 0.82–0.26 (76%)attempts 13–7goals 0–1
- O'Brien – Fischer – McBain6:37
xG 0.27–0.08 (78%)attempts 6–2goals 1–0
- Ritchie – Jenik – Kelemen6:40
xG 0.00–0.32 (0%)attempts 1–8goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestKesselring – Mackey8:31
xG 1.00–0.36 (74%)attempts 14–8goals 2–0
- Välimäki – Moser12:25
xG 0.61–0.04 (93%)attempts 10–2goals 1–0
- Brown – Soderstrom9:26
xG 0.40–0.26 (61%)attempts 8–8goals 0–1
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
ARI's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line ARI is favoured, below it VAN. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Arizona Coyotes win this game 59% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (ARI − VAN), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).