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Ice Lab

Wed, Oct 11, 2023·Scotiabank Arena, Toronto

Montréal Canadiens 5, Toronto Maple Leafs 6 (SO)

Away

Montréal Canadiens

5

Final

Shootout

Home

Toronto Maple Leafs

6

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 80% of the time.

TOR winsMTL wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:49Shot by Domi, saved by Allen
  3. P1 0:54Shot by Guhle, saved by Samsonov
  4. P1 1:09Shot by Klingberg, saved by Allen
  5. P1 3:01Goal by Evans, unassisted+15 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Reaves, Brodie, Rielly, Gregor, Kampf · MTL Savard, Matheson, Evans, Ylonen, Harvey-Pinard

  6. P1 3:36Shot by Guhle, saved by Samsonov
  7. P1 4:09Shot by Tavares, saved by Allen
  8. P1 4:25Shot by Nylander, saved by Allen
  9. P1 4:58Jarnkrok: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Brodie, Jarnkrok, Rielly, Knies, Minten · MTL Pearson, Evans, Harris, Ylonen, Xhekaj

  10. P1 5:00Shot by Giordano, saved by Allen4v5
  11. P1 5:27Shot by Suzuki, saved by Samsonov4v5
  12. P1 5:35Shot by Matheson, saved by Samsonov4v5
  13. P1 7:59Shot by Anderson, saved by Samsonov
  14. P1 8:20Shot by Monahan, saved by Samsonov
  15. P1 10:20Xhekaj: Instigator (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Reaves, Klingberg, McCabe, Gregor, Kampf · MTL Evans, Ylonen, Harvey-Pinard, Guhle, Xhekaj

  16. P1 10:20Reaves: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: TOR Reaves, Klingberg, McCabe, Gregor, Kampf · MTL Evans, Ylonen, Harvey-Pinard, Guhle, Xhekaj

  17. P1 10:20Xhekaj: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: TOR Reaves, Klingberg, McCabe, Gregor, Kampf · MTL Evans, Ylonen, Harvey-Pinard, Guhle, Xhekaj

  18. P1 10:20Xhekaj: Instigator misconduct (10 min)

    On ice: TOR Reaves, Klingberg, McCabe, Gregor, Kampf · MTL Evans, Ylonen, Harvey-Pinard, Guhle, Xhekaj

  19. P1 11:13Shot by Matthews, saved by Allen5v4
  20. P1 12:14Shot by Liljegren, saved by Allen5v4
  21. P1 14:48Shot by Gregor, saved by Allen
  22. P1 16:44Shot by Suzuki, saved by Samsonov
  23. P1 17:38Shot by Harris, saved by Samsonov
  24. P1 17:45Shot by Harris, saved by Samsonov
  25. P1 18:17Shot by Reaves, saved by Allen
  26. P1 19:16Shot by Rielly, saved by Allen
  27. P1 19:43Shot by Monahan, saved by Samsonov
  28. P1 0:00Period end
  29. P2 0:00Period start
  30. P2 1:10Goal by Newhook (Slafkovský, Dach)+16 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Tavares, Klingberg, McCabe, Domi, Nylander · MTL Kovacevic, Dach, Newhook, Guhle, Slafkovský

  31. P2 1:41Shot by Giordano, saved by Allen
  32. P2 2:44Shot by Anderson, saved by Samsonov
  33. P2 2:51Suzuki: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Brodie, Rielly, Kampf, Knies, Minten · MTL Savard, Anderson, Suzuki, Caufield, Guhle

  34. P2 4:12Shot by Tavares, saved by Allen5v4
  35. P2 4:41Shot by Bertuzzi, saved by Allen5v4
  36. P2 5:18Kampf: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Reaves, Brodie, Rielly, Gregor, Kampf · MTL Kovacevic, Dach, Newhook, Guhle, Slafkovský

  37. P2 5:54Shot by Brodie, saved by Allen4v5
  38. P2 7:46Goal by Gregor (Klingberg)+15 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Giordano, Jarnkrok, Klingberg, Gregor, Kampf · MTL Savard, Harris, Ylonen, Harvey-Pinard, Newhook

  39. P2 11:26Shot by Liljegren, saved by Allen
  40. P2 11:28Shot by Kampf, saved by Allen
  41. P2 12:41Shot by Bertuzzi, saved by Allen
  42. P2 13:57Newhook: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Tavares, Klingberg, McCabe, Domi, Nylander · MTL Savard, Dach, Newhook, Guhle, Slafkovský

  43. P2 14:51Goal by Matthews (Marner, Tavares)5v4+21 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Tavares, Klingberg, Nylander, Marner, Matthews · MTL Savard, Matheson, Suzuki, Ylonen

  44. P2 17:08Shot by Marner, saved by Allen
  45. P2 17:54Shot by Tavares, saved by Allen
  46. P2 17:57Shot by Nylander, saved by Allen
  47. P2 18:01Shot by Nylander, saved by Allen
  48. P2 18:34Shot by Nylander, saved by Allen6v5
  49. P2 18:38Evans: Holding (2 min)6v5

    On ice: TOR Tavares, Rielly, Domi, Nylander, Marner, Matthews · MTL Suzuki, Kovacevic, Ylonen, Harvey-Pinard, Guhle

  50. P2 19:09Shot by Marner, saved by Allen5v4
  51. P2 19:15Goal by Nylander (Klingberg, Tavares)5v4+21 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Tavares, Klingberg, Nylander, Marner, Matthews · MTL Savard, Matheson, Suzuki, Harvey-Pinard

  52. P2 0:00Period end
  53. P3 0:00Period start
  54. P3 0:10Shot by Bertuzzi, saved by Allen
  55. P3 2:25Shot by Minten, saved by Allen
  56. P3 3:50Shot by Matthews, saved by Allen
  57. P3 4:09Shot by Matthews, saved by Allen
  58. P3 4:13Bertuzzi: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Giordano, Rielly, Bertuzzi, Marner, Matthews · MTL Savard, Matheson, Anderson, Suzuki, Caufield

  59. P3 4:13Anderson: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Giordano, Rielly, Bertuzzi, Marner, Matthews · MTL Savard, Matheson, Anderson, Suzuki, Caufield

  60. P3 4:13Bertuzzi: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Giordano, Rielly, Bertuzzi, Marner, Matthews · MTL Savard, Matheson, Anderson, Suzuki, Caufield

  61. P3 4:25Goal by Caufield (Matheson, Suzuki)4v5+27 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Giordano, Brodie, Jarnkrok, Kampf · MTL Matheson, Monahan, Suzuki, Dach, Caufield

  62. P3 5:17Shot by Dach, saved by Samsonov
  63. P3 5:47Goal by Newhook (Xhekaj, Dach)+29 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Tavares, Klingberg, McCabe, Domi, Nylander · MTL Harris, Dach, Newhook, Xhekaj, Slafkovský

  64. P3 6:43Shot by Rielly, saved by Allen
  65. P3 8:16Shot by Dach, saved by Samsonov
  66. P3 8:36Shot by Slafkovský, saved by Samsonov
  67. P3 8:38Shot by Dach, saved by Samsonov
  68. P3 10:07Shot by Domi, saved by Allen
  69. P3 10:11Shot by Brodie, saved by Allen
  70. P3 11:25Shot by Bertuzzi, saved by Allen
  71. P3 11:55Goal by Ylonen (Harvey-Pinard)+15 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Jarnkrok, Rielly, Liljegren, Knies, Minten · MTL Evans, Kovacevic, Ylonen, Harvey-Pinard, Guhle

  72. P3 15:14Shot by Gregor, saved by Allen
  73. P3 15:28Goal by Matthews (Tavares, Rielly)6v5+10 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Tavares, Klingberg, Rielly, Nylander, Marner, Matthews · MTL Savard, Matheson, Evans, Ylonen, Harvey-Pinard

  74. P3 16:12Shot by Anderson, saved by Samsonov
  75. P3 18:24Shot by Bertuzzi, saved by Allen6v5
  76. P3 18:53Goal by Matthews (Nylander)6v5+48 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Tavares, Klingberg, Rielly, Nylander, Marner, Matthews · MTL Savard, Matheson, Anderson, Monahan, Suzuki

  77. P3 19:15Shot by Gregor, saved by Allen
  78. P3 19:58Shot by Matheson, saved by Samsonov
  79. P3 0:00Period end
  80. OT 0:00Period start
  81. OT 0:26Shot by Matthews, saved by Allen3v3
  82. OT 1:28Shot by Matthews, saved by Allen3v3
  83. OT 2:23Shot by Knies, saved by Allen3v3
  84. OT 2:37Shot by Monahan, saved by Samsonov3v3
  85. OT 3:13Knies: Tripping (2 min)3v3

    On ice: TOR Tavares, Rielly, Knies · MTL Monahan, Harris, Dach

  86. OT 4:09Shot by Suzuki, saved by Samsonov3v4
  87. OT 5:00Period end3v4
  88. SO Period start
  89. SO Shot by Matthews, saved by Allenother
  90. SO Goal by Marner, unassistedother
  91. SO Shot by Dach, saved by Samsonovother
  92. SO Period endother
  93. SO Finalother