Wed, Oct 11, 2023·Scotiabank Arena, Toronto
Montréal Canadiens 5, Toronto Maple Leafs 6 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 80% of the time.
74%
14%
TOR winsMTL wins
Montréal Canadiens
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Mike MathesonD · #8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 26:39 | 0.11 | 15.6% | +26.5 |
 David SavardD · #58 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 24:40 | 0.04 | 32.7% | 0.0 |
 Nick SuzukiC · #14 | 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 3 | 21:47 | 0.35 | 50.4% | +26.5 |
 Kirby DachC · #77 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 3 | 21:22 | 0.16 | 52.0% | +44.3 |
 Johnathan KovacevicD · #26 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 0 | 20:03 | 0.00 | 46.0% | 0.0 |
 Kaiden GuhleD · #21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 2 | 19:24 | 0.00 | 72.8% | 0.0 |
 Cole CaufieldRW · #22 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 19:11 | 0.12 | 39.9% | +26.5 |
 Sean MonahanC · #91 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 18:51 | 0.28 | 42.6% | 0.0 |
 Jordan HarrisD · #54 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18:30 | 0.01 | 46.3% | 0.0 |
 Josh AndersonRW · #17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 17:31 | 0.41 | 48.8% | 0.0 |
 Alex NewhookC · #15 | 2 | 0 | 2 | +1 | 2 | 16:46 | 0.17 | 48.8% | +44.3 |
 Juraj SlafkovskýLW · #20 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 15:25 | 0.17 | 62.0% | +15.6 |
 Rafael Harvey-PinardLW · #49 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13:39 | 0.13 | 44.3% | +14.7 |
 Brendan GallagherRW · #11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:34 | 0.00 | 27.8% | 0.0 |
 Tanner PearsonLW · #70 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:10 | 0.01 | 11.0% | 0.0 |
 Jake EvansC · #71 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 11:22 | 0.06 | 36.3% | +14.8 |
 Jesse YlonenRW · #56 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11:01 | 0.07 | 19.4% | +14.7 |
 Arber XhekajD · #72 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 10:21 | 0.00 | 56.0% | +28.7 |
 Jake Allen#34 | O | 42 | 37 | 5 | .881 | 4.08 | −0.9 | 65:00 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Mitch MarnerRW · #16 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 25:17 | 0.24 | 76.6% | +20.8 |
 John KlingbergD · #3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 1 | 24:38 | 0.03 | 35.1% | +36.2 |
 Auston MatthewsC · #34 | 3 | 0 | 3 | +2 | 8 | 24:32 | 1.10 | 75.2% | +79.0 |
 Morgan RiellyD · #44 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 23:57 | 0.13 | 55.9% | +10.5 |
 William NylanderRW · #88 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 22:41 | 0.42 | 65.7% | +68.8 |
 Jake McCabeD · #22 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 21:27 | 0.00 | 29.4% | 0.0 |
 John TavaresC · #91 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 19:47 | 0.32 | 68.7% | +52.3 |
 Timothy LiljegrenD · #37 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 18:05 | 0.24 | 77.1% | 0.0 |
 TJ BrodieD · #78 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 18:04 | 0.00 | 62.1% | 0.0 |
 Mark GiordanoD · #55 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 15:50 | 0.01 | 81.1% | 0.0 |
 Calle JarnkrokC · #19 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:48 | 0.09 | 37.0% | 0.0 |
 Tyler BertuzziLW · #59 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 14:39 | 0.55 | 76.2% | 0.0 |
 David KampfC · #64 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:08 | 0.03 | 37.8% | 0.0 |
 Matthew KniesLW · #23 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 12:57 | 0.23 | 17.2% | 0.0 |
 Max DomiC · #11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 11:39 | 0.21 | 67.0% | 0.0 |
 Noah GregorLW · #18 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 11:38 | 0.22 | 69.5% | +15.1 |
 Fraser MintenC · #39 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 11:32 | 0.15 | 24.4% | 0.0 |
 Ryan ReavesRW · #75 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 8:03 | 0.09 | 54.4% | 0.0 |
 Ilya Samsonov#35 | W | 24 | 19 | 5 | .792 | 2.11 | −2.9 | 62:06 |