Thu, Oct 12, 2023·KeyBank Center, Buffalo
New York Rangers 5, Buffalo Sabres 1
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, New York Rangers win this game 82% of the time.
12%
77%
BUF winsNYR wins
New York Rangers
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 3 | 23:39 | 0.08 | 64.7% | +3.3 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 21:13 | 0.38 | 54.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 0 | 20:02 | 0.41 | 73.8% | +14.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19:50 | 0.01 | 63.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 18:32 | 0.35 | 61.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:48 | 0.11 | 55.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 3 | 15:45 | 0.29 | 92.0% | +14.9 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 3 | 15:44 | 0.23 | 87.7% | +23.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 0 | 15:33 | 0.00 | 77.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 3 | 3 | +2 | 1 | 15:30 | 0.12 | 67.3% | +18.3 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 3 | 15:29 | 0.44 | 92.1% | +14.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 15:00 | 0.31 | 53.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 14:34 | 0.18 | 72.2% | 0.0 | |
| 2 | 1 | 3 | +2 | 3 | 14:28 | 0.77 | 67.3% | +18.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 13:04 | 0.06 | 29.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 12:41 | 0.02 | 29.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:34 | 0.10 | 62.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:34 | 0.12 | 42.6% | 0.0 |
| W | 25 | 24 | 1 | .960 | 1.85 | +0.8 | 60:00 |
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 3 | 25:44 | 0.10 | 31.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 22:53 | 0.01 | 39.1% | +7.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 20:27 | 0.08 | 38.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 19:10 | 0.10 | 22.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 18:02 | 0.35 | 48.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 17:34 | 0.11 | 44.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16:56 | 0.00 | 24.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 3 | 16:54 | 0.25 | 56.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16:50 | 0.11 | 39.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 15:16 | 0.00 | 58.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15:08 | 0.00 | 39.1% | +7.7 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 14:51 | 0.20 | 39.9% | +7.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:39 | 0.09 | 21.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14:27 | 0.06 | 58.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 12:54 | 0.00 | 19.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:47 | 0.06 | 13.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 10:24 | 0.13 | 22.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 3 | 8:48 | 0.20 | 22.8% | 0.0 |
| L | 30 | 26 | 4 | .867 | 3.23 | −0.8 | 58:54 |