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Ice Lab

Mon, Oct 16, 2023·Madison Square Garden, New York

Arizona Coyotes 1, New York Rangers 2

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, New York Rangers win this game 51% of the time.

NYR winsARI wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:27Shot by Hayton, saved by Shesterkin
  3. P1 1:53Shot by Gustafsson, saved by Ingram
  4. P1 2:49Shot by O'Brien, saved by Shesterkin
  5. P1 2:50Shot by O'Brien, saved by Shesterkin
  6. P1 4:23Shot by Panarin, saved by Ingram
  7. P1 5:28Shot by Kerfoot, saved by Shesterkin
  8. P1 5:39Shot by Durzi, saved by Shesterkin
  9. P1 5:57Shot by Lindgren, saved by Ingram
  10. P1 6:18Shot by Kakko, saved by Ingram
  11. P1 6:41Shot by Panarin, saved by Ingram
  12. P1 6:56Shot by Zibanejad, saved by Ingram
  13. P1 7:10Shot by Bjugstad, saved by Shesterkin
  14. P1 9:00Shot by Chytil, saved by Ingram
  15. P1 13:36Shot by Kreider, saved by Ingram
  16. P1 13:45Shot by Miller, saved by Ingram
  17. P1 14:11Goal by Kreider (Zibanejad, Kakko)+18 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Kreider, Zibanejad, Trouba, Miller, Kakko · ARI Dumba, Schmaltz, Dermott, Keller, Hayton

  18. P1 14:27Trocheck: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Wheeler, Trocheck, Fox, Lindgren, Cuylle · ARI Zucker, Kerfoot, Stecher, Välimäki, Cooley

  19. P1 14:45Shot by Keller, saved by Shesterkin4v5
  20. P1 15:06Shot by Durzi, saved by Shesterkin4v5
  21. P1 16:01Maccelli: Slashing (2 min)4v5

    On ice: NYR Bonino, Goodrow, Fox, Miller · ARI Zucker, Bjugstad, Crouse, Välimäki, Maccelli

  22. P1 17:52Shot by Panarin, saved by Ingram5v4
  23. P1 18:24Shot by Stecher, saved by Shesterkin
  24. P1 19:22Shot by Wheeler, saved by Ingram
  25. P1 19:23Shot by Wheeler, saved by Ingram
  26. P1 19:28Shot by Keller, saved by Shesterkin
  27. P1 0:00Period end
  28. P2 0:00Period start
  29. P2 3:24Schneider: Holding (2 min)5v6

    On ice: NYR Pitlick, Trocheck, Goodrow, Gustafsson, Schneider · ARI Zucker, Boyd, Schmaltz, Keller, Stecher, Moser

  30. P2 3:35Shot by Hayton, saved by Shesterkin4v5
  31. P2 4:16Shot by Hayton, saved by Shesterkin4v5
  32. P2 5:00Goal by Keller (Schmaltz, Cooley)4v5+20 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Kreider, Zibanejad, Trouba, Lindgren · ARI Schmaltz, Keller, Durzi, Hayton, Cooley

  33. P2 5:36Miller: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Panarin, Fox, Chytil, Miller, Lafrenière · ARI Boyd, O'Brien, Stecher, Välimäki, McBain

  34. P2 5:42Shot by Hayton, saved by Shesterkin4v5
  35. P2 7:38Shot by Crouse, saved by Shesterkin
  36. P2 10:40Dermott: Holding the stick (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Kreider, Zibanejad, Trouba, Miller, Kakko · ARI Dumba, Schmaltz, Dermott, Keller, Hayton

  37. P2 11:28Shot by Panarin, saved by Ingram5v4
  38. P2 11:55Shot by Trocheck, saved by Ingram5v4
  39. P2 14:34Shot by Dumba, saved by Shesterkin
  40. P2 15:11Shot by Schneider, saved by Ingram
  41. P2 15:47Shot by Cooley, saved by Shesterkin
  42. P2 18:41Lindgren: Unsportsmanlike conduct (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Panarin, Fox, Lindgren, Chytil, Lafrenière · ARI Schmaltz, Dermott, Keller, Hayton, Cooley

  43. P2 18:41Lafrenière: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Panarin, Fox, Lindgren, Chytil, Lafrenière · ARI Schmaltz, Dermott, Keller, Hayton, Cooley

  44. P2 19:10Shot by Durzi, saved by Shesterkin3v5
  45. P2 19:46Shot by Keller, saved by Shesterkin3v5
  46. P2 19:53Shot by Trouba, saved by Ingram3v5
  47. P2 0:00Period end3v5
  48. P3 0:00Period start
  49. P3 1:14Shot by Keller, saved by Shesterkin
  50. P3 2:23Shot by Wheeler, saved by Ingram
  51. P3 2:42Shot by Chytil, saved by Ingram
  52. P3 3:18Shot by Bjugstad, saved by Shesterkin
  53. P3 3:33Shot by Hayton, saved by Shesterkin
  54. P3 6:26Shot by Trouba, saved by Ingram
  55. P3 7:17Dumba: Cross checking (2 min)6v5

    On ice: NYR Zibanejad, Panarin, Fox, Lindgren, Chytil, Lafrenière · ARI Bjugstad, Dumba, Schmaltz, Dermott, Keller

  56. P3 8:07Shot by Zibanejad, saved by Ingram5v4
  57. P3 8:13Shot by Zibanejad, saved by Ingram5v4
  58. P3 8:26Goal by Trocheck (Panarin, Fox)5v4+25 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Kreider, Trocheck, Zibanejad, Panarin, Fox · ARI Crouse, Stecher, McBain, Moser

  59. P3 8:57Shot by Trouba, saved by Ingram
  60. P3 9:42Shot by Kerfoot, saved by Shesterkin
  61. P3 10:27Shot by Zucker, saved by Shesterkin
  62. P3 10:41Shot by Durzi, saved by Shesterkin
  63. P3 11:48Shot by Lindgren, saved by Ingram
  64. P3 13:12Shot by Wheeler, saved by Ingram
  65. P3 15:12Goodrow: Penalty shot holding on breakaway (0 min)

    On ice: NYR Bonino, Pitlick, Goodrow, Gustafsson, Schneider · ARI Zucker, Kerfoot, Stecher, Välimäki, Cooley

  66. P3 15:12Shot by Zucker, saved by Shesterkinother
  67. P3 17:16Shot by Trocheck, saved by Ingram
  68. P3 18:54Shot by Kreider, saved by Ingram
  69. P3 19:32Shot by Dumba, saved by Shesterkin5v6
  70. P3 0:00Hayton: Cross checking (2 min)5v6

    On ice: NYR Trocheck, Zibanejad, Goodrow, Trouba, Lindgren · ARI Bjugstad, Dumba, Schmaltz, Keller, Durzi, Hayton

  71. P3 0:00Dumba: Roughing (2 min)5v6

    On ice: NYR Trocheck, Zibanejad, Goodrow, Trouba, Lindgren · ARI Bjugstad, Dumba, Schmaltz, Keller, Durzi, Hayton

  72. P3 0:00Bjugstad: Roughing (2 min)5v6

    On ice: NYR Trocheck, Zibanejad, Goodrow, Trouba, Lindgren · ARI Bjugstad, Dumba, Schmaltz, Keller, Durzi, Hayton

  73. P3 0:00Durzi: Roughing (2 min)5v6

    On ice: NYR Trocheck, Zibanejad, Goodrow, Trouba, Lindgren · ARI Bjugstad, Dumba, Schmaltz, Keller, Durzi, Hayton

  74. P3 0:00Zibanejad: Roughing (2 min)5v6

    On ice: NYR Trocheck, Zibanejad, Goodrow, Trouba, Lindgren · ARI Bjugstad, Dumba, Schmaltz, Keller, Durzi, Hayton

  75. P3 0:00Trouba: Roughing (2 min)5v6

    On ice: NYR Trocheck, Zibanejad, Goodrow, Trouba, Lindgren · ARI Bjugstad, Dumba, Schmaltz, Keller, Durzi, Hayton

  76. P3 0:00Goodrow: Roughing (2 min)5v6

    On ice: NYR Trocheck, Zibanejad, Goodrow, Trouba, Lindgren · ARI Bjugstad, Dumba, Schmaltz, Keller, Durzi, Hayton

  77. P3 0:00Shesterkin: Goalie leave crease (2 min)5v6

    On ice: NYR Trocheck, Zibanejad, Goodrow, Trouba, Lindgren · ARI Bjugstad, Dumba, Schmaltz, Keller, Durzi, Hayton

  78. P3 0:00Dumba: Misconduct (10 min)5v6

    On ice: NYR Trocheck, Zibanejad, Goodrow, Trouba, Lindgren · ARI Bjugstad, Dumba, Schmaltz, Keller, Durzi, Hayton

  79. P3 0:00Hayton: Misconduct (10 min)5v6

    On ice: NYR Trocheck, Zibanejad, Goodrow, Trouba, Lindgren · ARI Bjugstad, Dumba, Schmaltz, Keller, Durzi, Hayton

  80. P3 0:00Bjugstad: Misconduct (10 min)5v6

    On ice: NYR Trocheck, Zibanejad, Goodrow, Trouba, Lindgren · ARI Bjugstad, Dumba, Schmaltz, Keller, Durzi, Hayton

  81. P3 0:00Trouba: Misconduct (10 min)5v6

    On ice: NYR Trocheck, Zibanejad, Goodrow, Trouba, Lindgren · ARI Bjugstad, Dumba, Schmaltz, Keller, Durzi, Hayton

  82. P3 0:00Goodrow: Misconduct (10 min)5v6

    On ice: NYR Trocheck, Zibanejad, Goodrow, Trouba, Lindgren · ARI Bjugstad, Dumba, Schmaltz, Keller, Durzi, Hayton

  83. P3 0:00Period end5v6
  84. P3 0:00Final5v6