Tue, Oct 17, 2023·KeyBank Center, Buffalo
Tampa Bay Lightning 2, Buffalo Sabres 3 (OT)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 50% of the time.
Play-by-play
Model-basedEvery event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.
- P1 0:00Period start
- P1 0:19Shot by Jokiharju, saved by Johansson
- P1 0:41Shot by Thompson, saved by Johansson
- P1 1:46Shot by Sheary, saved by Levi
- P1 3:16Shot by Johnson, saved by Johansson
- P1 3:50Shot by Eyssimont, saved by Levi
- P1 3:53Shot by Perbix, saved by Levi
- P1 5:33Sheary: Holding (2 min)
On ice: BUF Okposo, Girgensons, Jost, Jokiharju, Power · TBL Bogosian, Paul, Sheary, Barré-Boulet, Perbix
- P1 6:09Tuch: Hooking (2 min)5v4
On ice: BUF Skinner, Tuch, Thompson, Dahlin, Cozens · TBL Hedman, Cernak, Cirelli, Hagel
- P1 7:16Shot by Jokiharju, saved by Johansson4v4
- P1 8:36Shot by Eyssimont, saved by Levi
- P1 8:57Goal by Girgensons (Jost, Samuelsson)+17 pts WP
On ice: BUF Okposo, Girgensons, Clifton, Jost, Samuelsson · TBL Bogosian, Watson, Cirelli, Jeannot, Perbix
- P1 11:31Shot by Point, saved by Levi
- P1 11:39Shot by Tuch, saved by Johansson
- P1 12:32Shot by Clifton, saved by Johansson
- P1 14:21Shot by Greenway, saved by Johansson
- P1 15:28Goal by Skinner (Power, Tuch)+13 pts WP
On ice: BUF Skinner, Tuch, Thompson, Jokiharju, Power · TBL Point, Raddysh, Sergachev, Eyssimont, Jeannot
- P1 15:34Shot by Jost, saved by Johansson
- P1 15:58Shot by Jost, saved by Johansson
- P1 19:08Dahlin: Roughing (2 min)
On ice: BUF Okposo, Girgensons, Jost, Jokiharju, Dahlin · TBL Watson, Kucherov, Point, Raddysh, Sergachev
- P1 19:08Girgensons: Fighting (5 min)
On ice: BUF Okposo, Girgensons, Jost, Jokiharju, Dahlin · TBL Watson, Kucherov, Point, Raddysh, Sergachev
- P1 19:08Watson: Fighting (5 min)
On ice: BUF Okposo, Girgensons, Jost, Jokiharju, Dahlin · TBL Watson, Kucherov, Point, Raddysh, Sergachev
- P1 19:17Shot by Point, saved by Levi4v5
- P1 19:39Shot by Hedman, saved by Levi4v5
- P1 19:48Shot by Sergachev, saved by Levi4v5
- P1 0:00Period end4v5
- P2 0:00Period start
- P2 3:00Mittelstadt: Holding (2 min)
On ice: BUF Johnson, Greenway, Mittelstadt, Power, Benson · TBL Bogosian, Sheary, Raddysh, Cirelli, Eyssimont
- P2 6:24Shot by Dahlin, saved by Johansson
- P2 6:36Shot by Point, saved by Levi
- P2 7:07Raddysh: Hooking (2 min)
On ice: BUF Greenway, Mittelstadt, Samuelsson, Dahlin, Benson · TBL Kucherov, Point, Raddysh, Sergachev, Hagel
- P2 7:16Shot by Dahlin, saved by Johansson5v4
- P2 8:05Shot by Thompson, saved by Johansson5v4
- P2 8:32Shot by Tuch, saved by Johansson5v4
- P2 10:03Shot by Hedman, saved by Levi
- P2 10:18Shot by Kucherov, saved by Levi
- P2 12:13Shot by Thompson, saved by Johansson
- P2 12:33Shot by Benson, saved by Johansson
- P2 12:42Shot by Jokiharju, saved by Johansson
- P2 14:20Shot by Peterka, saved by Johansson
- P2 14:28Shot by Girgensons, saved by Johansson
- P2 14:41Clifton: Cross checking (2 min)
On ice: BUF Johnson, Okposo, Girgensons, Clifton, Jost · TBL Hedman, Watson, Kucherov, Glendening, Perbix
- P2 17:58Goal by Hagel (Cirelli, Jeannot)+13 pts WP
On ice: BUF Clifton, Jokiharju, Krebs, Cozens, Peterka · TBL Bogosian, Cirelli, Hagel, Jeannot, Perbix
- P2 18:23Shot by Hedman, saved by Levi
- P2 19:50Shot by Cirelli, saved by Levi
- P2 0:00Period end
- P3 0:00Period start
- P3 2:54Shot by Skinner, saved by Johansson
- P3 3:00Shot by Skinner, saved by Johansson
- P3 4:03Shot by Okposo, saved by Johansson
- P3 5:10Shot by Perbix, saved by Levi
- P3 7:58Shot by Eyssimont, saved by Levi
- P3 9:19Shot by Kucherov, saved by Levi
- P3 9:50Shot by Dahlin, saved by Johansson
- P3 10:01Barré-Boulet: Hooking (2 min)
On ice: BUF Skinner, Tuch, Thompson, Jokiharju, Power · TBL Hedman, Point, Cernak, Eyssimont, Barré-Boulet
- P3 11:37Shot by Cozens, saved by Johansson5v4
- P3 12:21Shot by Barré-Boulet, saved by Levi
- P3 12:46Shot by Sergachev, saved by Levi
- P3 13:13Shot by Jost, saved by Johansson
- P3 13:51Shot by Bogosian, saved by Levi
- P3 14:16Shot by Skinner, saved by Johansson
- P3 14:17Shot by Skinner, saved by Johansson
- P3 15:16Shot by Perbix, saved by Levi
- P3 17:09Shot by Thompson, saved by Johansson
- P3 19:47Shot by Point, saved by Levi5v6
- P3 19:48Shot by Hagel, saved by Levi5v6
- P3 19:51Shot by Hagel, saved by Levi5v6
- P3 19:53Goal by Hagel (Point)5v6+45 pts WP
On ice: BUF Skinner, Tuch, Thompson, Dahlin, Power · TBL Hedman, Kucherov, Point, Cirelli, Sergachev, Hagel
- P3 0:00Period end
- OT 0:00Period start
- OT 0:34Shot by Thompson, saved by Johansson3v3
- OT 1:46Goal by Cozens (Greenway, Dahlin)3v3+45 pts WP
On ice: BUF Skinner, Dahlin, Cozens · TBL Sheary, Point, Sergachev
- OT 1:46Period end3v3
- OT 1:46Final4v4