Tue, Oct 17, 2023·KeyBank Center, Buffalo
Tampa Bay Lightning 2, Buffalo Sabres 3 (OT)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 50% of the time.
41%
9%
43%
BUF winsTBL wins
Tampa Bay Lightning
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Victor HedmanD · #77 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 28:19 | 0.13 | 52.7% | 0.0 |
 Brayden PointC · #21 | 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 4 | 26:26 | 0.71 | 59.9% | +45.4 |
 Mikhail SergachevD · #98 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 26:26 | 0.11 | 35.0% | 0.0 |
 Nikita KucherovRW · #86 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 25:57 | 0.51 | 58.0% | 0.0 |
 Darren RaddyshD · #43 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 23:06 | 0.11 | 38.7% | 0.0 |
 Brandon HagelLW · #38 | 2 | 0 | 2 | +2 | 4 | 19:54 | 0.74 | 67.7% | +58.7 |
 Anthony CirelliC · #71 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 18:02 | 0.06 | 57.9% | +13.3 |
 Erik CernakD · #81 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17:57 | 0.00 | 71.6% | 0.0 |
 Alex Barré-BouletC · #12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16:57 | 0.12 | 47.7% | 0.0 |
 Nick PaulLW · #20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:38 | 0.13 | 11.3% | 0.0 |
 Tanner JeannotLW · #84 | 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 0 | 14:44 | 0.19 | 36.8% | +13.3 |
 Conor ShearyLW · #73 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 12:53 | 0.10 | 22.0% | 0.0 |
 Nick PerbixD · #48 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12:27 | 0.09 | 44.2% | 0.0 |
 Zach BogosianD · #24 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11:37 | 0.01 | 49.7% | 0.0 |
 Michael EyssimontC · #23 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 10:34 | 0.05 | 17.2% | 0.0 |
 Luke GlendeningC · #11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9:03 | 0.00 | 18.4% | 0.0 |
 Waltteri MerelaC · #39 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5:49 | 0.00 | 86.4% | 0.0 |
 Austin WatsonLW · #51 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 5:04 | 0.06 | 23.0% | 0.0 |
 Jonas Johansson#31 | O | 31 | 28 | 3 | .903 | 3.05 | 0.0 | 60:11 |
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Rasmus DahlinD · #26 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 25:54 | 0.06 | 52.8% | +44.9 |
 Owen PowerD · #25 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 22:51 | 0.16 | 54.5% | +12.5 |
 Tage ThompsonC · #72 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 21:51 | 0.47 | 58.0% | 0.0 |
 Alex TuchRW · #89 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 19:48 | 0.20 | 55.1% | +12.5 |
 Jeff SkinnerLW · #53 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 5 | 18:27 | 0.55 | 55.0% | +12.5 |
 Casey MittelstadtC · #37 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18:00 | 0.10 | 41.1% | 0.0 |
 Erik JohnsonD · #6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17:45 | 0.01 | 55.4% | 0.0 |
 Connor CliftonD · #75 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17:45 | 0.02 | 64.2% | 0.0 |
 Mattias SamuelssonD · #23 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 17:36 | 0.00 | 39.4% | +17.3 |
 Jordan GreenwayLW · #12 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16:58 | 0.15 | 56.9% | +44.9 |
 Henri JokiharjuD · #10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15:45 | 0.12 | 60.4% | 0.0 |
 Zach BensonLW · #9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:00 | 0.05 | 47.3% | 0.0 |
 Peyton KrebsC · #19 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 14:30 | 0.00 | 8.2% | 0.0 |
 JJ PeterkaRW · #77 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 12:33 | 0.05 | 31.5% | 0.0 |
 Dylan CozensC · #24 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11:36 | 0.57 | 24.8% | +44.9 |
 Tyson JostC · #17 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 11:24 | 0.18 | 65.6% | +17.3 |
 Kyle OkposoRW · #21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 10:24 | 0.12 | 67.9% | 0.0 |
 Zemgus GirgensonsC · #28 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 9:11 | 0.23 | 78.8% | +17.3 |
 Devon Levi#27 | W | 25 | 23 | 2 | .920 | 3.13 | +1.1 | 61:46 |