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Ice Lab

Thu, Oct 19, 2023·Amerant Bank Arena, Sunrise

Toronto Maple Leafs 1, Florida Panthers 3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Florida Panthers win this game 55% of the time.

FLA winsTOR wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 2:20Minten: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: FLA Kulikov, Cousins, Mikkola, Sourdif, Lundell · TOR Jarnkrok, Klingberg, Domi, Liljegren, Minten

  3. P1 2:36Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Samsonov5v4
  4. P1 2:51Shot by Barkov, saved by Samsonov5v4
  5. P1 3:56Shot by Gregor, saved by Bobrovsky5v4
  6. P1 4:17Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Samsonov5v4
  7. P1 4:20Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Samsonov5v4
  8. P1 6:21Shot by Matthews, saved by Bobrovsky
  9. P1 7:16Shot by Minten, saved by Bobrovsky
  10. P1 8:17Shot by Rodrigues, saved by Samsonov
  11. P1 8:58Shot by Verhaeghe, saved by Samsonov
  12. P1 9:15Shot by Liljegren, saved by Bobrovsky
  13. P1 9:25Shot by Rielly, saved by Bobrovsky
  14. P1 11:14Shot by Jarnkrok, saved by Bobrovsky
  15. P1 11:16Shot by Jarnkrok, saved by Bobrovsky
  16. P1 12:12Shot by Marner, saved by Bobrovsky
  17. P1 16:34Shot by Mahura, saved by Samsonov
  18. P1 16:43Shot by Gregor, saved by Bobrovsky
  19. P1 17:08Goal by Stenlund, unassisted+19 pts WP

    On ice: FLA Kulikov, Stenlund, Mikkola, Lorentz, Lomberg · TOR Giordano, Reaves, Klingberg, Gregor, Kampf

  20. P1 19:53Goal by Ekman-Larsson (Barkov, Reinhart)+13 pts WP

    On ice: FLA Ekman-Larsson, Barkov, Reinhart, Forsling, Rodrigues · TOR McCabe, Bertuzzi, Marner, Matthews, Liljegren

  21. P1 0:00Period end
  22. P2 0:00Period start
  23. P2 0:18Shot by Knies, saved by Bobrovsky
  24. P2 0:40Shot by Matthews, saved by Bobrovsky
  25. P2 0:57Shot by Rielly, saved by Bobrovsky
  26. P2 1:31Shot by Rodrigues, saved by Samsonov
  27. P2 2:43Cousins: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: FLA Kulikov, Cousins, Stenlund, Mikkola, Sourdif · TOR Giordano, Klingberg, Bertuzzi, Domi, Kampf

  28. P2 3:11Shot by Matthews, saved by Bobrovsky4v5
  29. P2 6:17Shot by Tavares, saved by Bobrovsky
  30. P2 7:01Shot by Reinhart, saved by Samsonov
  31. P2 8:39Gregor: Holding the stick (2 min)

    On ice: FLA Kulikov, Stenlund, Mikkola, Lorentz, Lomberg · TOR Reaves, Brodie, Rielly, Gregor, Minten

  32. P2 8:48Shot by Barkov, saved by Samsonov5v4
  33. P2 9:44Shot by Ekman-Larsson, saved by Samsonov5v4
  34. P2 10:09Shot by Ekman-Larsson, saved by Samsonov5v4
  35. P2 10:11Reinhart: Hooking (2 min)5v4

    On ice: FLA Ekman-Larsson, Barkov, Reinhart, Rodrigues, Tkachuk · TOR McCabe, Marner, Matthews, Liljegren

  36. P2 11:41Shot by Klingberg, saved by Bobrovsky4v5
  37. P2 11:50Shot by Tavares, saved by Bobrovsky4v5
  38. P2 11:52Goal by Marner (Tavares, Nylander)4v5+12 pts WP

    On ice: FLA Kulikov, Stenlund, Mikkola, Luostarinen · TOR Tavares, Klingberg, Nylander, Marner, Matthews

  39. P2 12:43Shot by Domi, saved by Bobrovsky
  40. P2 13:22Shot by Rielly, saved by Bobrovsky
  41. P2 13:37Shot by Reinhart, saved by Samsonov
  42. P2 13:42Knies: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: FLA Kulikov, Barkov, Reinhart, Rodrigues, Mikkola · TOR Giordano, Tavares, Klingberg, Nylander, Knies

  43. P2 14:34Shot by Matthews, saved by Bobrovsky5v4
  44. P2 14:38Rodrigues: Hooking (2 min)5v4

    On ice: FLA Ekman-Larsson, Barkov, Reinhart, Rodrigues, Tkachuk · TOR McCabe, Marner, Matthews, Liljegren

  45. P2 15:28Shot by Verhaeghe, saved by Samsonov4v4
  46. P2 17:35Reaves: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: FLA Kulikov, Verhaeghe, Mikkola, Tkachuk, Lundell · TOR Reaves, Klingberg, Rielly, Gregor, Minten

  47. P2 18:11Shot by Giordano, saved by Bobrovsky5v4
  48. P2 19:12Shot by Verhaeghe, saved by Samsonov5v4
  49. P2 19:33Shot by Nylander, saved by Bobrovsky5v4
  50. P2 19:59Shot by Gregor, saved by Bobrovsky
  51. P2 0:00Balinskis: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: FLA Verhaeghe, Forsling, Lomberg, Luostarinen, Balinskis · TOR Klingberg, Rielly, Gregor, Knies, Minten

  52. P2 0:00Period end4v5
  53. P3 0:00Period start
  54. P3 0:54Shot by Tavares, saved by Bobrovsky4v5
  55. P3 1:56Shot by Bertuzzi, saved by Bobrovsky4v5
  56. P3 2:38Shot by Verhaeghe, saved by Samsonov
  57. P3 3:57Shot by Reinhart, saved by Samsonov
  58. P3 5:48Shot by Lomberg, saved by Samsonov
  59. P3 7:13Shot by Matthews, saved by Bobrovsky
  60. P3 7:42Shot by Rodrigues, saved by Samsonov
  61. P3 10:04Shot by McCabe, saved by Bobrovsky
  62. P3 10:17Shot by Rodrigues, saved by Samsonov
  63. P3 13:39Shot by Marner, saved by Bobrovsky
  64. P3 15:06Shot by Mahura, saved by Samsonov
  65. P3 15:55Shot by Marner, saved by Bobrovsky
  66. P3 18:44Shot by Tavares, saved by Bobrovsky5v6
  67. P3 18:51Barkov: Tripping (2 min)5v6

    On ice: FLA Barkov, Reinhart, Forsling, Mikkola, Tkachuk · TOR Tavares, Klingberg, Rielly, Nylander, Marner, Matthews

  68. P3 19:59Goal by Reinhart (Kulikov)4v6+4 pts WP

    On ice: FLA Kulikov, Reinhart, Forsling, Luostarinen · TOR Tavares, Klingberg, Rielly, Nylander, Marner, Matthews

  69. P3 0:00Period end4v6
  70. P3 0:00Final4v6