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Ice Lab

Sat, Oct 28, 2023·Bridgestone Arena, Nashville

Toronto Maple Leafs 2, Nashville Predators 3 (OT)

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 52% of the time.

NSH winsTOR wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:45Shot by Evangelista, saved by Samsonov
  3. P1 3:54Shot by Nylander, saved by Saros
  4. P1 7:09Shot by Nylander, saved by Saros
  5. P1 7:10Shot by Nylander, saved by Saros
  6. P1 7:32Shot by Jarnkrok, saved by Saros
  7. P1 7:59Shot by Giordano, saved by Saros
  8. P1 8:36Shot by Barrie, saved by Samsonov
  9. P1 10:16Shot by Tavares, saved by Saros
  10. P1 12:43Shot by Matthews, saved by Saros
  11. P1 12:46Forsberg: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: NSH McDonagh, Nyquist, O'Reilly, Forsberg, Carrier · TOR Giordano, Jarnkrok, Marner, Matthews, Liljegren

  12. P1 13:09Shot by Matthews, saved by Saros4v5
  13. P1 13:32Goal by Nylander (Matthews, Marner)4v5+16 pts WP

    On ice: NSH McDonagh, O'Reilly, Trenin, Carrier · TOR Tavares, Klingberg, Nylander, Marner, Matthews

  14. P1 14:09Shot by Sherwood, saved by Samsonov
  15. P1 14:11Brodie: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: NSH Barrie, Novak, Lauzon, Sherwood, Evangelista · TOR Brodie, Rielly, Domi, Kampf, Knies

  16. P1 15:05Goal by O'Reilly (Josi, Forsberg)5v4+17 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Josi, O'Reilly, Barrie, Forsberg, Evangelista · TOR Giordano, Rielly, Gregor, Knies

  17. P1 16:59Shot by Gregor, saved by Saros
  18. P1 17:23Klingberg: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: NSH Josi, Fabbro, Foudy, Tomasino, Parssinen · TOR Reaves, Klingberg, Lagesson, Gregor, Holmberg

  19. P1 18:39Shot by Matthews, saved by Saros5v4
  20. P1 18:48Shot by Forsberg, saved by Samsonov5v4
  21. P1 19:17Shot by Josi, saved by Samsonov5v4
  22. P1 19:58Shot by Rielly, saved by Saros
  23. P1 0:00Period end
  24. P2 0:00Period start
  25. P2 0:55Shot by McDonagh, saved by Samsonov
  26. P2 1:10Shot by Marner, saved by Saros
  27. P2 1:47Shot by Lagesson, saved by Saros
  28. P2 2:12Shot by Kampf, saved by Saros
  29. P2 2:32Shot by Gregor, saved by Saros
  30. P2 2:50Shot by Parssinen, saved by Samsonov
  31. P2 4:09Shot by Rielly, saved by Saros
  32. P2 5:39Shot by Gregor, saved by Saros
  33. P2 6:37Shot by Nylander, saved by Saros
  34. P2 7:00Shot by Sissons, saved by Samsonov
  35. P2 8:29Shot by Carrier, saved by Samsonov
  36. P2 9:00Shot by Trenin, saved by Samsonov
  37. P2 11:46Shot by Josi, saved by Samsonov
  38. P2 12:25Shot by Klingberg, saved by Saros
  39. P2 12:46Goal by Giordano (Kampf)+22 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Barrie, Lauzon, Foudy, Tomasino, Parssinen · TOR Giordano, Klingberg, Domi, Kampf, Knies

  40. P2 13:19Shot by Forsberg, saved by Samsonov
  41. P2 14:06Jarnkrok: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: NSH Josi, Sissons, Trenin, Fabbro, Smith · TOR Brodie, Jarnkrok, Rielly, Marner, Matthews

  42. P2 15:08Goal by O'Reilly (Forsberg, Evangelista)5v4+22 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Josi, O'Reilly, Barrie, Forsberg, Evangelista · TOR Giordano, Brodie, Kampf, Knies

  43. P2 15:15Shot by Bertuzzi, saved by Saros
  44. P2 15:30Sissons: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: NSH Sissons, Lauzon, Trenin, Fabbro, Smith · TOR Tavares, Rielly, Bertuzzi, Nylander, Lagesson

  45. P2 16:32Shot by Nylander, saved by Saros4v5
  46. P2 17:56Shot by Domi, saved by Saros
  47. P2 18:11Shot by Trenin, saved by Samsonov
  48. P2 19:26Shot by Tavares, saved by Saros
  49. P2 0:00Period end
  50. P3 0:00Period start
  51. P3 0:59Shot by Jarnkrok, saved by Saros
  52. P3 1:44Shot by Sherwood, saved by Samsonov
  53. P3 2:18Reaves: Too many men on the ice (2 min)

    On ice: NSH Josi, Barrie, Novak, Sherwood, Smith · TOR Klingberg, Rielly, Domi, Holmberg, Knies

  54. P3 3:56Shot by Gregor, saved by Saros5v4
  55. P3 4:39Shot by Josi, saved by Samsonov
  56. P3 4:44Shot by Smith, saved by Samsonov
  57. P3 5:40Shot by Matthews, saved by Saros
  58. P3 7:47Shot by Tavares, saved by Saros
  59. P3 7:53Carrier: Delaying game puck over glass (2 min)

    On ice: NSH McDonagh, O'Reilly, Forsberg, Sissons, Carrier · TOR Jarnkrok, Klingberg, Rielly, Marner, Matthews

  60. P3 10:13Bertuzzi: Too many men on the ice (2 min)

    On ice: NSH Josi, Barrie, Novak, Carrier, Sherwood · TOR Giordano, Brodie, Jarnkrok, Gregor, Holmberg

  61. P3 10:22Shot by Barrie, saved by Samsonov5v4
  62. P3 11:19Shot by Nylander, saved by Saros
  63. P3 11:22Barrie: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: NSH Josi, O'Reilly, Barrie, Forsberg, Evangelista · TOR Jarnkrok, Rielly, Nylander, Lagesson, Matthews

  64. P3 11:47Shot by Josi, saved by Samsonov4v4
  65. P3 12:52Shot by Trenin, saved by Samsonov4v5
  66. P3 13:14Shot by Tavares, saved by Saros4v5
  67. P3 13:23Shot by Giordano, saved by Saros
  68. P3 15:05Shot by Rielly, saved by Saros
  69. P3 16:19Shot by Trenin, saved by Samsonov
  70. P3 17:09Shot by Rielly, saved by Saros
  71. P3 18:46Shot by Bertuzzi, saved by Saros
  72. P3 19:17Shot by Forsberg, saved by Samsonov
  73. P3 0:00Period end
  74. OT 0:00Period start
  75. OT 2:13Goal by Josi (Evangelista, Novak)3v3+45 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Josi, Novak, Evangelista · TOR Klingberg, Nylander, Matthews

  76. OT 2:13Period end4v3
  77. OT 2:13Final4v4