Sat, Oct 28, 2023·Bridgestone Arena, Nashville
Toronto Maple Leafs 2, Nashville Predators 3 (OT)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 52% of the time.
38%
10%
9%
44%
NSH winsTOR wins
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 27:48 | 0.26 | 59.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 25:33 | 0.00 | 47.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 4 | 21:50 | 0.34 | 62.6% | +16.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 21:23 | 0.02 | 65.5% | +16.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 7 | 20:48 | 0.68 | 64.9% | +16.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 20:29 | 0.19 | 63.1% | +21.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20:03 | 0.03 | 66.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 18:31 | 0.29 | 65.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16:06 | 0.09 | 63.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16:04 | 0.18 | 57.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 15:05 | 0.19 | 44.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 14:58 | 0.01 | 41.6% | +21.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 14:18 | 0.00 | 37.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:45 | 0.00 | 63.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10:56 | 0.06 | 35.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8:53 | 0.31 | 58.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7:48 | 0.00 | 67.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6:33 | 0.00 | 31.3% | 0.0 |
| O | 24 | 21 | 3 | .875 | 2.61 | −0.4 | 62:05 |
Nashville Predators
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 5 | 25:45 | 0.44 | 52.0% | +61.7 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 23:03 | 0.33 | 30.5% | +38.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21:21 | 0.09 | 35.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19:16 | 0.01 | 30.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 19:14 | 0.08 | 37.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 19:04 | 0.23 | 37.9% | +38.7 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 1 | 18:59 | 0.32 | 57.3% | +66.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18:38 | 0.02 | 45.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 17:19 | 0.00 | 61.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16:33 | 0.11 | 29.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 16:28 | 0.41 | 51.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 16:27 | 0.01 | 65.5% | +44.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16:16 | 0.07 | 43.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:27 | 0.10 | 57.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12:46 | 0.30 | 74.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 9:57 | 0.08 | 16.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 7:55 | 0.00 | 26.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 5:25 | 0.00 | 14.4% | 0.0 |
| W | 35 | 33 | 2 | .943 | 2.68 | +0.7 | 62:13 |