Mon, Oct 30, 2023·PPG Paints Arena, Pittsburgh
Anaheim Ducks 4, Pittsburgh Penguins 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Pittsburgh Penguins win this game 92% of the time.
89%
PIT winsANA wins
Anaheim Ducks
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 25:03 | 0.09 | 29.2% | +18.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 22:51 | 0.04 | 44.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18:24 | 0.04 | 16.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 1 | 17:46 | 0.00 | 28.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 1 | 16:55 | 0.12 | 49.5% | +43.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 16:48 | 0.28 | 41.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 16:47 | 0.04 | 27.2% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 16:36 | 0.10 | 41.1% | +18.6 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 0 | 16:25 | 0.13 | 26.3% | +53.7 | |
| 2 | 1 | 3 | +2 | 5 | 15:54 | 0.61 | 41.2% | +98.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 15:54 | 0.03 | 26.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15:15 | 0.03 | 26.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 15:06 | 0.02 | 28.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 15:05 | 0.10 | 37.8% | +26.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12:32 | 0.10 | 27.1% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 12:28 | 0.26 | 47.6% | +17.2 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 9:38 | 0.08 | 51.0% | +17.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8:33 | 0.06 | 17.7% | 0.0 |
| W | 35 | 33 | 2 | .943 | 5.16 | +3.2 | 40:00 | |
| – | 7 | 6 | 1 | .857 | 0.69 | −0.3 | 20:00 |
Pittsburgh Penguins
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 30:56 | 0.21 | 71.4% | +40.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 24:56 | 0.17 | 54.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 11 | 23:05 | 1.21 | 65.5% | +23.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 21:51 | 0.11 | 77.3% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | −2 | 5 | 21:21 | 1.18 | 53.2% | +40.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 21:01 | 0.01 | 66.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 17:56 | 0.55 | 66.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 16:23 | 0.17 | 78.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 15:41 | 0.08 | 62.1% | +16.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 6 | 15:02 | 0.74 | 76.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 14:39 | 0.34 | 92.8% | +25.2 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 12:31 | 0.29 | 92.5% | +25.2 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 11:33 | 0.68 | 93.8% | +25.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 10:14 | 0.00 | 10.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 10:07 | 0.00 | 14.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:04 | 0.00 | 12.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9:38 | 0.07 | 16.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8:45 | 0.02 | 27.6% | 0.0 |
| L | 27 | 23 | 4 | .852 | 2.12 | −1.9 | 59:42 |