Mon, Oct 30, 2023·Mullett Arena, Tempe
Chicago Blackhawks 1, Arizona Coyotes 8
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Arizona Coyotes win this game 94% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CHI | 111 | 09 | 010 | 130 |
| ARI | 311 | 415 | 17 | 833 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 0:28CHIConnor BedardAssists: Kevin Korchinski, Seth Jones · Wrist, 0.08 xG1–0
- P1 2:23ARIMichael CarconeAssists: Logan Cooley, Sean Durzi · Wrist, 0.09 xG1–1
- P1 13:53ARIJoshua BrownGWGAssists: Jack McBain, Alexander Kerfoot · Slap, 0.16 xG1–2
- P1 15:55ARIMichael CarconePPAssists: Lawson Crouse, Nick Bjugstad · Slap, 0.13 xG1–3
- P2 5:00ARIMichael CarconeAssists: Travis Boyd · Wrist, 0.03 xG1–4
- P2 6:38ARIJack McBainAssists: Alexander Kerfoot, Liam O'Brien · Snap, 0.09 xG1–5
- P2 11:18ARISean DurziAssists: Michael Carcone, Travis Boyd · Wrist, 0.07 xG1–6
- P2 15:26ARILiam O'BrienAssists: Jack McBain, Matias Maccelli · Deflected, 0.92 xG1–7
- P3 10:37ARIJack McBainAssists: Alexander Kerfoot · Wrist, 0.27 xG1–8
Penalties (12)
- P1 14:37CHIConnor Murphy: Tripping2 min · PPG
- P1 15:59CHINick Foligno: Fighting5 min
- P1 15:59ARILiam O'Brien: Fighting5 min
- P1 17:31CHIConnor Bedard: Slashing2 min
- P2 9:04ARILiam O'Brien: Cross checking2 min
- P2 12:28CHIIsaak Phillips: Holding2 min
- P2 19:00CHIJarred Tinordi: Fighting5 min
- P2 19:00ARIJack McBain: Fighting5 min
- P3 5:01ARIJoshua Brown: Tripping2 min
- P3 8:07ARIJoshua Brown: Holding2 min
- P3 8:07CHICorey Perry: Roughing2 min
- P3 17:49CHIIsaak Phillips: Cross checking2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Bedard won the faceoff against Hayton
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Chicago Blackhawks
Forward lines
- Perry – Johnson – Donato5:52
xG 0.24–0.25 (49%)attempts 6–5goals 0–1
- Foligno – Kurashev – Bedard8:11
xG 0.34–0.60 (36%)attempts 13–11goals 1–1
- Kurashev – Reichel – Bedard3:06
xG 0.07–0.49 (13%)attempts 3–5goals 0–0
- Dickinson – Raddysh – Reichel7:39
xG 0.11–0.57 (16%)attempts 5–6goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- Murphy – Kaiser3:19
xG 0.03–0.00 (100%)attempts 2–1goals 0–0
- Murphy – Phillips11:31
xG 0.40–0.79 (34%)attempts 12–11goals 0–1
- Jones – Korchinski15:27
xG 0.56–1.56 (26%)attempts 24–17goals 1–3
Arizona Coyotes
Forward lines
- bestKerfoot – O'Brien – McBain6:45
xG 2.11–0.14 (94%)attempts 13–7goals 4–0
- Boyd – Carcone – Cooley9:34
xG 1.16–0.29 (80%)attempts 14–14goals 3–0
- Bjugstad – Crouse – Maccelli9:53
xG 0.64–0.17 (79%)attempts 11–10goals 0–0
- Schmaltz – Keller – Hayton10:42
xG 0.37–0.34 (52%)attempts 8–13goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestBrown – Stecher12:40
xG 2.27–0.32 (88%)attempts 16–15goals 3–0
- Dumba – Välimäki14:08
xG 1.08–0.47 (70%)attempts 11–17goals 1–0
- Durzi – Moser11:51
xG 0.71–0.36 (66%)attempts 15–15goals 2–1
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
ARI's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line ARI is favoured, below it CHI. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Arizona Coyotes win this game 94% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (ARI − CHI), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).