Wed, Nov 1, 2023·Scotiabank Saddledome, Calgary
Dallas Stars 4, Calgary Flames 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Dallas Stars win this game 54% of the time.
37%
9%
48%
CGY winsDAL wins
Dallas Stars
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 1 | 25:05 | 0.11 | 80.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 22:02 | 0.00 | 22.3% | +19.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 20:39 | 0.02 | 24.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 1 | 19:23 | 0.09 | 79.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 16:59 | 0.49 | 35.8% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 16:50 | 0.21 | 41.5% | +19.9 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 16:27 | 0.41 | 40.1% | +38.9 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 16:24 | 0.13 | 85.0% | +16.7 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 16:03 | 0.36 | 82.6% | +16.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 15:51 | 0.16 | 43.6% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 3 | 14:31 | 0.32 | 30.6% | +40.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14:29 | 0.46 | 50.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13:56 | 0.29 | 44.2% | +19.9 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 0 | 13:40 | 0.00 | 41.7% | +21.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13:18 | 0.18 | 67.8% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12:28 | 0.06 | 23.9% | +21.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 12:00 | 0.72 | 74.4% | +16.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10:46 | 0.13 | 58.4% | 0.0 |
| W | 47 | 44 | 3 | .936 | 3.79 | +0.8 | 60:00 |
Calgary Flames
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 27:13 | 0.29 | 57.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 23:54 | 0.11 | 67.4% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 22:36 | 0.19 | 58.2% | +34.8 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 22:11 | 0.26 | 46.2% | +34.8 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | −1 | 6 | 20:13 | 0.43 | 72.7% | +32.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 20:02 | 0.13 | 47.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 18:03 | 0.03 | 62.7% | +16.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 17:54 | 0.23 | 67.1% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 3 | 17:35 | 0.46 | 49.0% | +19.4 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 6 | 16:11 | 0.71 | 65.5% | +16.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14:44 | 0.19 | 62.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 13:33 | 0.26 | 63.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12:40 | 0.05 | 47.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12:33 | 0.28 | 12.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:16 | 0.00 | 15.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:59 | 0.04 | 18.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7:23 | 0.00 | 12.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7:09 | 0.14 | 15.9% | 0.0 |
| L | 30 | 26 | 4 | .867 | 4.13 | +0.1 | 58:51 |