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Ice Lab

Right wing · #27

Matt Coronato

Calgary Flames
Age
23
Shoots
Right
Height
178 cm
Weight
83 kg
Born
Greenlawn, USA
Draft
2021, round 1, #13 (CGY)

Career · 2022–23 to 2026–27

Games
196
Goals
46
Points
102
TOI per game
16:19
xGF% (5v5)
47.2%
Goals above expected
−6.4

Season by season

The regular-season line for each season, with the total, by team for traded players.

2022–23CGY1000+114:3840.0%00.369.4%
2023–24CGY34369−1512:37585.2%16.444.6%
2024–25CGY77242347+617:3518013.3%1722.750.0%
2025–26CGY80182745−2916:391979.1%1522.545.2%
2026–27CGY4101−817:12714.3%10.546.9%
Total1 team1964656102−4516:1944610.3%3452.447.2%

Form

Rolling averages smooth out single games so the trend shows.

Form, ten-game rolling

Points and individual expected goals per game (left scale), averaged over the previous ten games. Ice time is on the second chart.

Points per gameixG per gameTOI per game (minutes)
00.20.40.60.811.220406080100120140160180
10m12m14m16m18m20m20406080100120140160180Game

Player card

Model-based

How 2022–23 to 2026–27 compares with everyone else at the position over the same seasons, and the players with the most similar profile.

Overall rating

2nd line

66th percentile among qualified forwards, blending scoring 40%, play-driving 40%, usage 20%.

  1. 1st line
  2. 2nd line
  3. 3rd line
  4. 4th line
  5. Extra / AHL

Scoring

2nd line
  • Goals /600.8665th pct
  • Assists /601.0562nd pct
  • ixG /600.9880th pct
  • Goals above expected−6.419th pct

Play-driving

3rd line
  • xGF% (5v5)47.2%35th pct
  • CF% (5v5)51.3%73rd pct
  • Relative xGF%−0.652nd pct
  • Penalty diff /600.0951st pct

Usage

1st line
  • TOI per game16:1974th pct
  • PP time share51.8%81st pct
  • Offensive zone starts59.7%62nd pct
  • Quality of competition25.1%82nd pct

Percentiles among forwards with 200+ minutes at 5-on-5 and 20+ games. Ratings rank each column's average percentile among the same players and read it as a role on a depth chart (how).

Most similar players this season

  1. Kirill MarchenkoCBJ0.87
  2. Kyle PalmieriNYI0.87
  3. Tyler ToffoliCGY/NJD/WPG/SJS0.85
  4. Jaden SchwartzSEA/COL0.85
  5. Matt BoldyMIN0.85
  6. Alex DeBrincatDET0.84

Faceoffs

How often Coronato wins the draw over 2022–23 to 2026–27, against whom and where, and what a win leads to. Ranked among players with 832+ draws over the same seasons.

Win rate

42.0%

159–220 · below the 832 draws of a regular

Against an average centre

42.9%

Opponents won 51.0% of their draws; an average centre would have won 49.0% against them.

Wins above average

−27

Draws won beyond what an average centre facing the same opponents would have won.

Draws per game

2.6

379 draws in all.

By dot, attacking to the right

46%56 · +2.118%11 · +4.343%212 · +0.7100%1 · –41%39 · +1.039%18 · +0.50%1 · –39%41 · −2.9Attacking zone →← Defending zone

Win rate at each dot; the small numbers are draws and the xG swing (×100) of winning rather than losing there.

By zone

  • Offensive zone41.7% 93–130
  • Neutral zone43.9% 50–64
  • Defensive zone38.1% 16–26

By strength

  • Even strength40.9% 121–175
  • Power play46.9% 38–43
  • Shorthanded0.0% 0–2

What a win leads to

Shot attempts in the next 20 seconds, for minus against, per 100 draws: +29 after a win, −7 after a loss. Each win was worth 0.6 expected goals per 100 draws more than a loss.

Most-faced opponents

Season by season

SeasonDrawsWin rateAgainst average
2023–241926.3%25.4%
2024–2515942.8%44.3%
2025–2617639.8%40.4%
2026–272564.0%64.9%

Finishing

Model-based

Did the goals match the chances?

Goals against expected goals

Cumulative goals (solid) and individual xG (dashed) through the season. The gap is finishing: above the dashed line, the player scored more than an average shooter would from the same chances.

−6.4 goals above expected

010203040506050100150Game

Goals above expected, everyone at the same position with 20+ games

−40−200+20+40+60

Speed and tracking

From the NHL's EDGE tracking system (2021–22 on): skating speed, shot speed, distance and zone time, for the selected seasons and then every tracked season, to show improvement or decline.

Tracking data (NHL EDGE)

Values from the NHL's puck and player tracking, with the NHL's own league percentile for each. Missing values mean the player wasn't tracked enough.

Tracking

  • Top skating speed32.0 km/h7th pct
  • Speed bursts over 20 mph00th pct
  • Hardest shot136.1 km/h85th pct
  • Distance skated14 km64th pct
  • Offensive-zone time47.2%87th pct
Tracking, season by season

Each season against the other forwards that season with 20+ games. A season in progress appears once half its games are played, as provisional: season bests only grow. Bursts and distance are per 60 minutes of ice time, so seasons with fewer games still compare. Percentiles are on these rates, so they can differ from the NHL's, which are on season totals.

This playerMedian forwardMiddle half (25th–75th percentile)Hollow dot: too few games to rank, or a season in progress (*, dashed). Dotted line: no NHL games that season.

Top skating speed

36.5 km/h65th pct

▼ −0.5 km/h since 2024–25

33343536373822–2323–2424–2525–262022–23: 33.6 km/h, 1st percentile (1 games, too few to rank reliably)2023–24: 35.7 km/h, 40th percentile (34 games)2024–25: 37.0 km/h, 78th percentile (77 games)2025–26: 36.5 km/h, 65th percentile (80 games)

Bursts over 20 mph per 60

4.541st pct

▼ −1.0 since 2024–25

24681022–2323–2424–2525–262022–23: 8.2, 79th percentile (1 games, too few to rank reliably)2023–24: 5.3, 53rd percentile (34 games)2024–25: 5.5, 53rd percentile (77 games)2025–26: 4.5, 41st percentile (80 games)

Distance skated per 60

15.5 km49th pct

▼ −0.1 km since 2024–25

14.51515.51616.51722–2323–2424–2525–262022–23: 16.5 km, 95th percentile (1 games, too few to rank reliably)2023–24: 15.2 km, 27th percentile (34 games)2024–25: 15.6 km, 50th percentile (77 games)2025–26: 15.5 km, 49th percentile (80 games)

Hardest shot

141.5 km/h61st pct

▲ +5.0 km/h since 2024–25

12013014015016022–2323–2424–2525–262022–23: 129.0 km/h, 4th percentile (1 games, too few to rank reliably)2023–24: 129.4 km/h, 7th percentile (34 games)2024–25: 136.6 km/h, 29th percentile (77 games)2025–26: 141.5 km/h, 61st percentile (80 games)

Offensive-zone time

43.2%69th pct

▼ −1.0 points since 2024–25

38%40%42%44%46%48%50%22–2323–2424–2525–262022–23: 48.8%, 99th percentile (1 games, too few to rank reliably)2023–24: 42.9%, 64th percentile (34 games)2024–25: 44.2%, 80th percentile (77 games)2025–26: 43.2%, 69th percentile (80 games)