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Ice Lab

Sat, Nov 11, 2023·Canadian Tire Centre, Ottawa

Calgary Flames 1, Ottawa Senators 4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Ottawa Senators win this game 53% of the time.

OTT winsCGY wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

OTT forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against CGY's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Backlund–Coleman–PospisilKadri–Sharangovich–ZaryHuberdeau–Lindholm–MangiapaneGreer–Dube–RuzickaWeegar–AnderssonTanev–HanifinZadorov–DeSimoneTanev–ZadorovHanifin–AnderssonWeegar–ZadorovWeegar–Hanifin
Tarasenko–Norris–Tkachuk3:080.09–0.071:140.02–0.004:220.04–0.120:300.02–0.092:580.05–0.163:020.10–0.002:050.00–0.110:520.02–0.000:310.01–0.00
Giroux–Joseph–Stützle2:200.01–0.003:180.38–0.002:090.09–0.211:190.00–0.015:010.34–0.222:570.24–0.001:190.00–0.00
Kubalik–Batherson–Jarventie0:550.00–0.001:430.00–0.002:120.03–0.221:030.03–0.211:080.00–0.002:290.00–0.01
Kubalik–Chartier–Batherson0:550.00–0.251:240.11–0.001:100.01–0.001:330.00–0.211:580.12–0.040:320.00–0.00
Chartier–Highmore–Kelly1:390.00–0.031:100.00–0.000:300.00–0.001:040.00–0.031:280.00–0.000:520.00–0.00
Tarasenko–Tkachuk–Stützle0:450.05–0.000:510.05–0.00
Tarasenko–Kubalik–Norris0:380.00–0.00
Batherson–Tkachuk–Stützle0:400.00–0.38
Giroux–Tkachuk–Stützle
Chychrun–Bernard-Docker4:490.01–0.484:040.14–0.030:520.00–0.004:120.04–0.607:120.14–0.704:360.08–0.213:120.13–0.201:160.00–0.38
Sanderson–Zub1:200.05–0.041:590.34–0.006:350.13–0.281:010.01–0.003:130.12–0.173:050.23–0.003:230.12–0.150:410.05–0.00
Hamonic–Brannstrom3:400.08–0.272:580.05–0.000:510.00–0.002:370.05–0.092:070.15–0.093:110.08–0.132:540.00–0.001:070.00–0.141:130.04–0.000:330.00–0.000:400.00–0.00
Chychrun–Zub0:360.00–0.000:420.01–0.000:430.00–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndTkachuk FNorris FTarasenko FJoseph FStützle FGiroux FBatherson FHighmore FKelly FChartier FKubalik FJarventie FZub DSanderson DChychrun DBernard-Docker DHamonic DBrannstrom DKorpisalo GHuberdeau FLindholm FMangiapane FColeman FBacklund FPospisil FSharangovich FZary FKadri FRuzicka FGreer FDube FAndersson DWeegar DHanifin DTanev DZadorov DDeSimone DWolf G
OTTCGYFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Jakob ChychrunOTT2125:111:122:2541
Tim StützleOTT2522:430:552:0832
Rasmus AnderssonCGY2922:200:461:2753
Noah HanifinCGY2922:140:462:0857
Chris TanevCGY3022:110:443:3737
Brady TkachukOTT2521:010:502:2954
Artem ZubOTT2420:130:511:5624
Jake SandersonOTT2620:130:471:4436
Mikael BacklundCGY2419:350:492:0449
Claude GirouxOTT2418:540:472:1156
Elias LindholmCGY2318:390:491:2456
Jacob Bernard-DockerOTT1818:331:021:3911
MacKenzie WeegarCGY2617:590:421:1623
Nikita ZadorovCGY2517:390:421:1723
Mathieu JosephOTT2517:320:421:1735
Vladimir TarasenkoOTT2617:250:401:0453
Josh NorrisOTT2617:150:401:1944
Drake BathersonOTT2217:040:471:3041
Nazem KadriCGY1816:360:551:5350
Connor ZaryCGY1916:220:521:2960
Blake ColemanCGY2115:270:441:1315
Dominik KubalikOTT2115:220:441:1650
Erik BrannstromOTT2214:500:401:2924
Andrew MangiapaneCGY1914:320:461:0532
Travis HamonicOTT2014:000:421:3034
Yegor SharangovichCGY1713:550:491:5042
Adam RuzickaCGY2013:510:421:2842
Jonathan HuberdeauCGY1913:280:431:1042
Rourke ChartierOTT2112:200:351:0522
Dillon DubeCGY1812:180:411:0604
Nick DeSimoneCGY1711:580:421:1612
Martin PospisilCGY1711:220:401:0034
A.J. GreerCGY1611:060:421:0503
Matthew HighmoreOTT127:570:401:3722
Parker KellyOTT137:180:341:3811
Roby JarventieOTT96:090:411:2120