Sat, Nov 11, 2023·PPG Paints Arena, Pittsburgh
Buffalo Sabres 0, Pittsburgh Penguins 4
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Pittsburgh Penguins win this game 91% of the time.
87%
PIT winsBUF wins
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 23:52 | 0.08 | 44.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 3 | 20:46 | 0.11 | 32.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 19:47 | 0.25 | 39.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 18:50 | 0.11 | 27.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 18:42 | 0.02 | 53.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 0 | 18:40 | 0.16 | 47.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 18:16 | 0.02 | 66.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 17:15 | 0.00 | 32.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 16:45 | 0.18 | 56.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16:21 | 0.04 | 52.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 5 | 16:15 | 0.33 | 33.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 14:30 | 0.32 | 45.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 13:51 | 0.15 | 44.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:56 | 0.00 | 34.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 12:53 | 0.24 | 27.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12:32 | 0.03 | 58.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 12:04 | 0.14 | 61.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:18 | 0.00 | 60.3% | 0.0 |
| L | 38 | 35 | 3 | .921 | 3.22 | +0.2 | 59:01 |
Pittsburgh Penguins
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 24:06 | 0.05 | 60.3% | 0.0 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | +1 | 4 | 22:50 | 0.83 | 46.0% | +5.3 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 3 | 21:44 | 0.20 | 60.3% | +32.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 19:53 | 0.00 | 53.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 19:47 | 0.93 | 60.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 19:34 | 1.00 | 56.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 4 | 18:31 | 0.25 | 64.0% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 2 | 17:07 | 0.14 | 55.0% | +24.1 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16:55 | 0.26 | 65.1% | +5.3 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 16:25 | 0.21 | 43.9% | +13.6 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 14:58 | 0.14 | 43.9% | +13.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 14:39 | 0.45 | 57.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 13:34 | 0.14 | 45.4% | +18.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13:33 | 0.13 | 46.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 13:30 | 0.00 | 60.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11:37 | 0.29 | 57.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9:54 | 0.06 | 52.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7:23 | 0.12 | 91.3% | 0.0 |
| W | 35 | 35 | 0 | 1.000 | 2.17 | +2.2 | 60:00 |