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Ice Lab

Sat, Nov 11, 2023·Bridgestone Arena, Nashville

Arizona Coyotes 7, Nashville Predators 5

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Nashville Predators win this game 71% of the time.

NSH winsARI wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:16Shot by Forsberg, saved by Ingram
  3. P1 0:24Shot by O'Reilly, saved by Ingram
  4. P1 0:45Shot by Carrier, saved by Ingram
  5. P1 0:57Shot by Keller, saved by Saros
  6. P1 1:58Shot by Barrie, saved by Ingram
  7. P1 3:44Shot by Moser, saved by Saros
  8. P1 4:37Shot by Cooley, saved by Saros
  9. P1 5:13Goal by Sherwood (Evangelista, Novak)+17 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Josi, Novak, Fabbro, Sherwood, Evangelista · ARI Zucker, Stecher, Carcone, Välimäki, Cooley

  10. P1 7:11Goal by Forsberg (Nyquist, Lauzon)+12 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Nyquist, O'Reilly, Forsberg, Lauzon, Carrier · ARI Schmaltz, Keller, Durzi, Hayton, Moser

  11. P1 7:39Shot by Zucker, saved by Saros
  12. P1 7:40Shot by Cooley, saved by Saros
  13. P1 8:02Shot by Tomasino, saved by Ingram
  14. P1 9:05Shot by Stecher, saved by Saros
  15. P1 9:29Shot by Stecher, saved by Saros
  16. P1 9:58Goal by Carcone (Cooley)+12 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Josi, Fabbro, Glass, Tomasino, Parssinen · ARI Zucker, Dumba, Carcone, Välimäki, Cooley

  17. P1 10:20Shot by Josi, saved by Ingram
  18. P1 11:29Shot by Smith, saved by Ingram
  19. P1 11:57Stecher: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: NSH Josi, Sissons, Fabbro, Foudy, Smith · ARI Brown, Schmaltz, Keller, Stecher, Hayton

  20. P1 12:29Shot by Josi, saved by Ingram5v4
  21. P1 13:25Shot by Evangelista, saved by Ingram5v4
  22. P1 13:34Shot by Josi, saved by Ingram5v4
  23. P1 13:35Shot by Evangelista, saved by Ingram5v4
  24. P1 13:44Shot by Forsberg, saved by Ingram5v4
  25. P1 14:05Goal by Stecher (Moser)+16 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Josi, Barrie, Novak, Sherwood, Tomasino · ARI Schmaltz, Stecher, Välimäki, Hayton, Moser

  26. P1 14:18Shot by Tomasino, saved by Ingram
  27. P1 15:17Shot by Brown, saved by Saros
  28. P1 15:55Shot by Carcone, saved by Saros
  29. P1 16:58Goal by Fabbro (Josi, Forsberg)+18 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Josi, Nyquist, O'Reilly, Forsberg, Fabbro · ARI Bjugstad, Dumba, Crouse, Välimäki, Maccelli

  30. P1 19:04Shot by Foudy, saved by Ingram
  31. P1 19:06Shot by Fabbro, saved by Ingram
  32. P1 0:00Period end
  33. P2 0:00Period start
  34. P2 0:36Shot by Maccelli, saved by Saros
  35. P2 2:53Kerfoot: High sticking (2 min)6v5

    On ice: NSH Josi, Forsberg, Novak, Fabbro, Sherwood, Evangelista · ARI Boyd, Kerfoot, O'Brien, Durzi, Moser

  36. P2 3:26Shot by Novak, saved by Ingram5v4
  37. P2 3:27Shot by O'Reilly, saved by Ingram5v4
  38. P2 3:28Goal by O'Reilly (Novak, Josi)5v4+12 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Josi, O'Reilly, Forsberg, Novak, Evangelista · ARI Bjugstad, Dumba, Brown, Crouse

  39. P2 6:23O'Reilly: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: NSH Josi, Nyquist, O'Reilly, Forsberg, Fabbro · ARI Zucker, Brown, Stecher, Carcone, Cooley

  40. P2 7:02Shot by Sissons, saved by Ingram4v5
  41. P2 7:19Goal by Keller (Cooley, Durzi)4v5+12 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Fabbro, Parssinen, Del Gaizo, Smith · ARI Schmaltz, Keller, Durzi, Hayton, Cooley

  42. P2 8:34Shot by Brown, saved by Saros
  43. P2 12:26Shot by Kerfoot, saved by Saros
  44. P2 12:28Goal by Kerfoot (Boyd, Dumba)+22 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Josi, O'Reilly, Fabbro, Sherwood, Evangelista · ARI Boyd, Dumba, Kerfoot, O'Brien, Välimäki

  45. P2 13:38Josi: Tripping (2 min)5v6

    On ice: NSH Josi, Nyquist, O'Reilly, Forsberg, Fabbro · ARI Dumba, Schmaltz, Keller, Välimäki, Hayton, Maccelli

  46. P2 15:52Shot by Josi, saved by Ingram
  47. P2 16:48Shot by Josi, saved by Ingram
  48. P2 17:57Shot by Barrie, saved by Ingram
  49. P2 18:06Shot by Forsberg, saved by Ingram
  50. P2 18:17Shot by Forsberg, saved by Ingram
  51. P2 19:07Goal by Carcone (Moser, Ingram)+25 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Josi, Sissons, Fabbro, Glass, Smith · ARI Zucker, Brown, Carcone, Durzi, Cooley

  52. P2 19:48Shot by Josi, saved by Ingram
  53. P2 0:00Period end
  54. P3 0:00Period start
  55. P3 0:23Shot by O'Reilly, saved by Ingram
  56. P3 0:53Moser: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: NSH Sissons, Lauzon, Carrier, Foudy, Smith · ARI Schmaltz, Keller, Välimäki, Hayton, Moser

  57. P3 1:39Shot by Josi, saved by Ingram5v4
  58. P3 1:51Shot by Evangelista, saved by Ingram5v4
  59. P3 3:18Shot by Smith, saved by Ingram
  60. P3 3:18Shot by Sissons, saved by Ingram
  61. P3 3:51Shot by Cooley, saved by Saros
  62. P3 3:51Shot by Cooley, saved by Saros
  63. P3 4:53Josi: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: NSH Josi, Nyquist, O'Reilly, Forsberg, Fabbro · ARI Schmaltz, Keller, Stecher, Durzi, Hayton

  64. P3 5:18Shot by Keller, saved by Saros4v5
  65. P3 5:19Shot by Hayton, saved by Saros4v5
  66. P3 7:20Shot by Nyquist, saved by Ingram
  67. P3 7:44Kerfoot: Delaying game puck over glass (2 min)

    On ice: NSH Josi, Nyquist, O'Reilly, Barrie, Forsberg · ARI Bjugstad, Kerfoot, O'Brien, Brown, Stecher

  68. P3 8:49Shot by Forsberg, saved by Ingram5v4
  69. P3 10:42Shot by O'Reilly, saved by Ingram
  70. P3 10:45Shot by Foudy, saved by Ingram
  71. P3 10:48Shot by Josi, saved by Ingram
  72. P3 11:40Shot by Keller, saved by Saros
  73. P3 13:57Goal by Forsberg (Nyquist, Fabbro)+37 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Nyquist, O'Reilly, Forsberg, Fabbro, Del Gaizo · ARI Bjugstad, Crouse, Stecher, Välimäki, Maccelli

  74. P3 16:02Novak: Delaying game puck over glass (2 min)

    On ice: NSH Novak, Fabbro, Glass, Del Gaizo, Evangelista · ARI Boyd, Dumba, Kerfoot, O'Brien, Välimäki

  75. P3 16:19Shot by Keller, saved by Saros4v5
  76. P3 16:33Goal by Durzi (Keller, Cooley)4v5+31 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Sissons, Lauzon, Carrier, Smith · ARI Schmaltz, Keller, Durzi, Hayton, Cooley

  77. P3 17:01Shot by Nyquist, saved by Ingram
  78. P3 18:23Shot by Evangelista, saved by Ingram6v5
  79. P3 18:33Goal by Bjugstad (Keller, Hayton)6v5+5 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Josi, Nyquist, O'Reilly, Barrie, Forsberg, Evangelista · ARI Bjugstad, Keller, Durzi, Hayton, Moser

  80. P3 19:14Shot by Glass, saved by Ingram6v5
  81. P3 0:00Period end6v5
  82. P3 0:00Final6v5