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Ice Lab

Fri, Nov 17, 2023·Avicii Arena, StockholmNeutral site

Toronto Maple Leafs 3, Detroit Red Wings 2

Away

Toronto Maple Leafs

3

Final

Home

Detroit Red Wings

2

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 55% of the time.

DET winsTOR wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:06Shot by Fabbri, saved by Samsonov
  3. P1 1:30Shot by Seider, saved by Samsonov
  4. P1 1:54Shot by Bertuzzi, saved by Lyon
  5. P1 4:00Marner: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: DET Chiarot, Holl, Larkin, DeBrincat, Raymond · TOR Rielly, Marner, Matthews, Benoit, Knies

  6. P1 4:07Shot by Larkin, saved by Samsonov5v4
  7. P1 5:20Shot by Gregor, saved by Lyon5v4
  8. P1 6:27Shot by Veleno, saved by Samsonov
  9. P1 7:49Rasmussen: Slashing (2 min)5v6

    On ice: DET Walman, Sprong, Rasmussen, Kostin, Seider · TOR Nylander, Lagesson, Marner, Matthews, Benoit, Knies

  10. P1 7:57Shot by Chiarot, saved by Samsonov4v5
  11. P1 9:00Shot by Matthews, saved by Lyon4v5
  12. P1 12:31Shot by Perron, saved by Samsonov
  13. P1 15:13Shot by Domi, saved by Lyon
  14. P1 17:15Shot by Benoit, saved by Lyon
  15. P1 17:26Bertuzzi: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: DET Maatta, Gostisbehere, Larkin, DeBrincat, Raymond · TOR Brodie, Rielly, Bertuzzi, Domi, Nylander

  16. P1 17:59Shot by Sprong, saved by Samsonov5v4
  17. P1 0:00Period end
  18. P2 0:00Period start
  19. P2 0:16Compher: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: DET Perron, Chiarot, Holl, Copp, Compher · TOR Brodie, Tavares, Rielly, Bertuzzi, Nylander

  20. P2 0:45Shot by Marner, saved by Lyon4v5
  21. P2 0:59Shot by Chiarot, saved by Samsonov4v5
  22. P2 2:14Shot by Knies, saved by Lyon4v5
  23. P2 2:15Domi: Slashing (2 min)4v5

    On ice: DET Copp, Walman, Fischer, Seider · TOR Giordano, Jarnkrok, Bertuzzi, Domi, Knies

  24. P2 2:15Domi: Roughing (2 min)4v5

    On ice: DET Copp, Walman, Fischer, Seider · TOR Giordano, Jarnkrok, Bertuzzi, Domi, Knies

  25. P2 2:15Seider: Cross checking (2 min)4v5

    On ice: DET Copp, Walman, Fischer, Seider · TOR Giordano, Jarnkrok, Bertuzzi, Domi, Knies

  26. P2 2:15Seider: Roughing (2 min)4v5

    On ice: DET Copp, Walman, Fischer, Seider · TOR Giordano, Jarnkrok, Bertuzzi, Domi, Knies

  27. P2 3:03Shot by DeBrincat, saved by Samsonov
  28. P2 3:14Shot by Rasmussen, saved by Samsonov
  29. P2 3:53Shot by Fischer, saved by Samsonov
  30. P2 6:06Shot by Matthews, saved by Lyon
  31. P2 6:50Shot by Jarnkrok, saved by Lyon
  32. P2 7:20Shot by Bertuzzi, saved by Lyon
  33. P2 9:15Giordano: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: DET Larkin, Walman, DeBrincat, Seider, Raymond · TOR Giordano, McCabe, Domi, Gregor, Kampf

  34. P2 10:25Shot by Raymond, saved by Samsonov5v4
  35. P2 11:15Shot by Kampf, saved by Lyon
  36. P2 11:47Shot by Brodie, saved by Lyon
  37. P2 12:48Shot by Rasmussen, saved by Samsonov
  38. P2 12:50Shot by Kostin, saved by Samsonov
  39. P2 12:52Rielly: Penalty shot covering puck in crease (0 min)

    On ice: DET Chiarot, Sprong, Rasmussen, Kostin, Seider · TOR Brodie, Rielly, Marner, Matthews, Knies

  40. P2 12:52Goal by Sprong, unassistedother+22 pts WP

    On ice: DET Chiarot, Sprong, Rasmussen, Kostin, Seider · TOR Brodie, Rielly, Marner, Matthews, Knies

  41. P2 14:34Shot by Seider, saved by Samsonov
  42. P2 14:44Goal by Raymond (Chiarot, DeBrincat)+14 pts WP

    On ice: DET Chiarot, Larkin, DeBrincat, Seider, Raymond · TOR Brodie, Jarnkrok, Rielly, Domi, Robertson

  43. P2 15:29Robertson: Too many men on the ice (2 min)

    On ice: DET Chiarot, Holl, Fabbri, Fischer, Veleno · TOR McCabe, Lagesson, Gregor, Kampf, Robertson, McMann

  44. P2 15:41Shot by Giordano, saved by Lyon5v4
  45. P2 16:54Shot by Sprong, saved by Samsonov5v4
  46. P2 17:25Shot by Sprong, saved by Samsonov5v4
  47. P2 19:59Shot by Giordano, saved by Lyon
  48. P2 0:00Period end
  49. P3 0:00Period start
  50. P3 0:19Shot by Compher, saved by Samsonov
  51. P3 0:41Shot by Nylander, saved by Lyon
  52. P3 1:03Shot by DeBrincat, saved by Samsonov
  53. P3 2:49Shot by Kostin, saved by Samsonov
  54. P3 3:01Shot by Gostisbehere, saved by Samsonov
  55. P3 3:12Shot by Bertuzzi, saved by Lyon
  56. P3 3:50Goal by Bertuzzi (Nylander, Tavares)+13 pts WP

    On ice: DET Perron, Maatta, Gostisbehere, Copp, Compher · TOR Giordano, Tavares, McCabe, Bertuzzi, Nylander

  57. P3 7:21Shot by Bertuzzi, saved by Lyon
  58. P3 7:22Shot by Nylander, saved by Lyon
  59. P3 7:23Shot by Bertuzzi, saved by Lyon
  60. P3 7:24Shot by Bertuzzi, saved by Lyon
  61. P3 7:48Shot by DeBrincat, saved by Samsonov
  62. P3 8:20Shot by Marner, saved by Lyon
  63. P3 9:02Shot by McCabe, saved by Lyon
  64. P3 10:32Shot by Larkin, saved by Samsonov
  65. P3 11:51Shot by Matthews, saved by Lyon
  66. P3 11:52Shot by Matthews, saved by Lyon
  67. P3 12:46Seider: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: DET Chiarot, Fabbri, Fischer, Veleno, Seider · TOR Giordano, McCabe, Marner, Matthews, Knies

  68. P3 12:49Shot by Nylander, saved by Lyon4v5
  69. P3 13:03Goal by Nylander (Marner, Tavares)4v5+29 pts WP

    On ice: DET Chiarot, Holl, Copp, Compher · TOR Tavares, Rielly, Nylander, Marner, Matthews

  70. P3 14:27Goal by Tavares (Bertuzzi, Nylander)+39 pts WP

    On ice: DET Perron, Holl, Maatta, Copp, Compher · TOR Giordano, Tavares, McCabe, Bertuzzi, Nylander

  71. P3 14:51Shot by Seider, saved by Samsonov
  72. P3 16:46Shot by Gregor, saved by Lyon
  73. P3 17:36Shot by Sprong, saved by Samsonov
  74. P3 19:11Shot by Perron, saved by Samsonov6v5
  75. P3 19:25Shot by DeBrincat, saved by Samsonov6v5
  76. P3 0:00Period end6v5
  77. P3 0:00Final6v5