Fri, Nov 17, 2023·Avicii Arena, StockholmNeutral site
Toronto Maple Leafs 3, Detroit Red Wings 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 55% of the time.
35%
10%
47%
DET winsTOR wins
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 23:44 | 0.00 | 47.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 23:43 | 0.00 | 40.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 1 | 23:04 | 0.05 | 63.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 2 | 21:13 | 0.01 | 76.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 20:56 | 0.38 | 34.6% | +28.7 | |
| 1 | 2 | 3 | +2 | 4 | 20:31 | 0.29 | 82.4% | +80.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 19:14 | 0.35 | 34.6% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 2 | 3 | +2 | 1 | 16:59 | 0.29 | 83.0% | +80.4 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 7 | 15:48 | 0.63 | 82.8% | +51.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:55 | 0.36 | 57.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:17 | 0.18 | 38.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:03 | 0.00 | 77.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 13:09 | 0.26 | 37.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12:03 | 0.15 | 56.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 10:37 | 0.11 | 57.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10:09 | 0.01 | 74.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8:58 | 0.00 | 55.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 8:43 | 0.00 | 63.2% | 0.0 |
| W | 29 | 27 | 2 | .931 | 2.70 | +0.7 | 59:56 |
Detroit Red Wings
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 23:57 | 0.00 | 77.4% | +13.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 23:47 | 0.10 | 65.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 20:21 | 0.00 | 22.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 20:21 | 0.08 | 46.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 19:33 | 0.36 | 51.8% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 18:58 | 0.09 | 49.1% | +13.5 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 17:43 | 0.28 | 62.7% | +13.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 16:29 | 0.00 | 14.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 16:18 | 0.00 | 5.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:27 | 0.21 | 49.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 15:08 | 0.12 | 5.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 14:46 | 0.20 | 6.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:10 | 0.05 | 32.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:50 | 0.14 | 49.0% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 5 | 13:28 | 0.61 | 73.9% | +22.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:29 | 0.00 | 29.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10:31 | 0.25 | 69.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9:59 | 0.21 | 68.3% | 0.0 |
| L | 29 | 26 | 3 | .897 | 3.07 | +0.1 | 58:28 |