Wed, Nov 22, 2023·Capital One Arena, Washington
Buffalo Sabres 3, Washington Capitals 4 (OT)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 57% of the time.
33%
10%
49%
WSH winsBUF wins
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 4 | 27:21 | 0.49 | 31.0% | +24.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 24:56 | 0.55 | 45.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 23:53 | 0.11 | 48.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 23:21 | 0.16 | 45.2% | +24.5 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 3 | 21:12 | 0.30 | 38.4% | +24.5 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 20:59 | 0.13 | 50.9% | +16.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 3 | 19:51 | 0.10 | 38.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 18:31 | 0.38 | 46.1% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17:21 | 0.33 | 61.1% | +15.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 16:38 | 0.15 | 42.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 14:07 | 0.06 | 63.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 0 | 13:59 | 0.00 | 54.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 13:06 | 0.12 | 49.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 12:59 | 0.00 | 68.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 0 | 12:28 | 0.02 | 73.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10:18 | 0.00 | 61.8% | +16.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10:15 | 0.04 | 41.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 1 | 9:49 | 0.17 | 40.4% | +31.2 |
| O | 30 | 26 | 4 | .867 | 2.63 | −1.4 | 64:34 |
Washington Capitals
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 7 | 30:05 | 0.42 | 51.3% | +92.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 27:02 | 0.17 | 61.6% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 1 | 21:34 | 0.11 | 70.7% | +92.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 20:19 | 0.29 | 56.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 19:24 | 0.02 | 29.3% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 17:51 | 0.19 | 51.4% | +20.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 17:23 | 0.00 | 24.4% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 17:10 | 0.73 | 92.7% | +47.8 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16:35 | 0.22 | 41.5% | +20.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 16:04 | 0.10 | 62.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 15:48 | 0.01 | 62.9% | +15.2 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 15:41 | 0.07 | 27.6% | +15.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 14:06 | 0.04 | 61.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 13:59 | 0.09 | 24.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 13:21 | 0.14 | 32.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 12:49 | 0.00 | 24.4% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 10:55 | 0.03 | 45.2% | +15.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 9:12 | 0.02 | 49.0% | 0.0 |
| W | 27 | 24 | 3 | .889 | 3.12 | +0.1 | 64:39 |