Sat, Nov 25, 2023·Madison Square Garden, New York
Boston Bruins 4, New York Rangers 7
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, New York Rangers win this game 73% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BOS | 210 | 112 | 19 | 431 |
| NYR | 311 | 212 | 217 | 740 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 5:58NYRNick BoninoUnassisted · Wrist, 0.04 xG0–1
- P1 10:56NYRChris KreiderPPAssists: Erik Gustafsson, Artemi Panarin · Wrist, 0.31 xG0–2
- P1 13:50BOSCharlie CoyleAssists: Trent Frederic, James van Riemsdyk · Wrist, 0.17 xG1–2
- P1 14:14BOSMorgan GeekieAssists: Jakub Lauko, Derek Forbort · Wrist, 0.04 xG2–2
- P1 18:41NYRChris KreiderSHAssists: Jacob Trouba · Snap, 0.26 xG2–3
- P2 0:26BOSDavid PastrnakPPAssists: Pavel Zacha · Wrist, 0.06 xG3–3
- P2 16:37NYRJimmy VeseyAssists: Vincent Trocheck, Artemi Panarin · Wrist, 0.19 xG3–4
- P2 19:36NYRK'Andre MillerGWGAssists: Mika Zibanejad, Chris Kreider · Slap, 0.06 xG3–5
- P3 1:26NYRTyler PitlickAssists: Jimmy Vesey, Barclay Goodrow · Wrist, 0.17 xG3–6
- P3 2:29BOSCharlie CoyleAssists: James van Riemsdyk, Morgan Geekie · Wrist, 0.21 xG4–6
- P3 4:38NYRArtemi PanarinAssists: Braden Schneider, Zac Jones · Snap, 0.08 xG4–7
Penalties (6)
- P1 10:10BOSMatt Grzelcyk: Hooking2 min · PPG
- P1 18:26NYRErik Gustafsson: Hooking2 min · PPG
- P2 4:45BOSDanton Heinen: Interference goalkeeper2 min
- P2 5:03NYRVincent Trocheck: Hooking2 min
- P2 8:39NYRWill Cuylle: Too many men on the ice2 min
- P2 16:37BOSIan Mitchell: High sticking2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Zibanejad won the faceoff against Beecher
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Boston Bruins
Forward lines
- bestvan Riemsdyk – Coyle – Frederic8:12
xG 0.63–0.35 (64%)attempts 7–9goals 1–0
- Heinen – DeBrusk – Poitras8:54
xG 0.58–0.57 (50%)attempts 12–17goals 0–0
- Geekie – Lauko – Beecher7:04
xG 0.06–0.33 (14%)attempts 3–7goals 1–0
- Marchand – Pastrnak – Zacha12:38
xG 0.34–0.79 (30%)attempts 12–13goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestLindholm – McAvoy4:53
xG 0.17–0.07 (72%)attempts 5–2goals 0–1
- Lindholm – Carlo9:58
xG 0.70–0.74 (49%)attempts 11–16goals 2–0
- Grzelcyk – Carlo2:27
xG 0.13–0.18 (43%)attempts 1–4goals 0–0
New York Rangers
Forward lines
- bestTrocheck – Panarin – Lafrenière11:59
xG 1.11–0.42 (73%)attempts 23–10goals 1–1
- Wheeler – Kreider – Zibanejad10:19
xG 0.89–0.48 (65%)attempts 12–6goals 1–1
- Pitlick – Goodrow – Vesey9:36
xG 0.36–0.27 (57%)attempts 10–8goals 1–0
- Bonino – Kakko – Cuylle7:49
xG 0.40–0.62 (39%)attempts 9–11goals 1–1
Defence pairs
- bestTrouba – Miller15:59
xG 1.37–0.71 (66%)attempts 21–18goals 3–0
- Jones – Schneider11:20
xG 0.75–0.45 (62%)attempts 16–8goals 1–2
- Gustafsson – Lindgren16:12
xG 0.39–0.57 (41%)attempts 16–11goals 0–1
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
NYR's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line NYR is favoured, below it BOS. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, New York Rangers win this game 73% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (NYR − BOS), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).