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Ice Lab

Sat, Nov 25, 2023·Madison Square Garden, New York

Boston Bruins 4, New York Rangers 7

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, New York Rangers win this game 73% of the time.

NYR winsBOS wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:09Shot by Lafrenière, saved by Ullmark
  3. P1 1:44Shot by Gustafsson, saved by Ullmark
  4. P1 5:58Goal by Bonino, unassisted+17 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Bonino, Trouba, Miller, Kakko, Cuylle · BOS Forbort, Heinen, DeBrusk, Mitchell, Beecher

  5. P1 6:14Shot by Kreider, saved by Ullmark
  6. P1 7:07Shot by Lafrenière, saved by Ullmark
  7. P1 10:10Grzelcyk: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Wheeler, Kreider, Zibanejad, Jones, Schneider · BOS van Riemsdyk, Coyle, Grzelcyk, Pastrnak, McAvoy

  8. P1 10:53Shot by Gustafsson, saved by Ullmark5v4
  9. P1 10:55Shot by Trocheck, saved by Ullmark5v4
  10. P1 10:56Goal by Kreider (Gustafsson, Panarin)5v4+12 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Kreider, Trocheck, Zibanejad, Gustafsson, Panarin · BOS Coyle, Forbort, Zacha, Carlo

  11. P1 12:35Shot by Pastrnak, saved by Quick
  12. P1 12:43Shot by Pastrnak, saved by Quick
  13. P1 12:53Shot by DeBrusk, saved by Quick
  14. P1 12:53Shot by Heinen, saved by Quick
  15. P1 13:50Goal by Coyle (Frederic, van Riemsdyk)+12 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Trocheck, Gustafsson, Panarin, Lindgren, Lafrenière · BOS van Riemsdyk, Coyle, Lindholm, Carlo, Frederic

  16. P1 14:14Goal by Geekie (Lauko, Forbort)+18 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Bonino, Kakko, Jones, Schneider, Cuylle · BOS Forbort, Geekie, Mitchell, Lauko, Beecher

  17. P1 14:21Shot by Wheeler, saved by Ullmark
  18. P1 17:25Shot by Schneider, saved by Ullmark
  19. P1 17:33Shot by Geekie, saved by Quick
  20. P1 18:08Shot by Heinen, saved by Quick
  21. P1 18:26Gustafsson: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Bonino, Goodrow, Vesey, Gustafsson, Lindgren · BOS Marchand, van Riemsdyk, Pastrnak, Zacha, McAvoy

  22. P1 18:41Goal by Kreider (Trouba)4v5+19 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Kreider, Zibanejad, Trouba, Lindgren · BOS Marchand, van Riemsdyk, Pastrnak, Zacha, McAvoy

  23. P1 18:58Shot by Zacha, saved by Quick4v5
  24. P1 19:08Shot by Pastrnak, saved by Quick4v5
  25. P1 0:00Period end4v5
  26. P2 0:00Period start
  27. P2 0:16Shot by Pastrnak, saved by Quick4v5
  28. P2 0:26Goal by Pastrnak (Zacha)4v5+19 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Kreider, Zibanejad, Trouba, Lindgren · BOS Marchand, Coyle, Pastrnak, Zacha, McAvoy

  29. P2 0:38Shot by DeBrusk, saved by Quick
  30. P2 1:09Shot by Schneider, saved by Ullmark
  31. P2 1:39Shot by Jones, saved by Ullmark
  32. P2 1:41Shot by Kakko, saved by Ullmark
  33. P2 2:12Shot by Coyle, saved by Quick
  34. P2 2:16Shot by Frederic, saved by Quick
  35. P2 4:39Shot by Poitras, saved by Quick
  36. P2 4:41Shot by DeBrusk, saved by Quick
  37. P2 4:45Heinen: Interference goalkeeper (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Trocheck, Trouba, Panarin, Miller, Lafrenière · BOS Lindholm, Heinen, DeBrusk, McAvoy, Poitras

  38. P2 4:59Shot by Coyle, saved by Quick5v4
  39. P2 5:03Trocheck: Hooking (2 min)5v4

    On ice: NYR Kreider, Trocheck, Zibanejad, Gustafsson, Panarin · BOS Marchand, Coyle, Forbort, Carlo

  40. P2 7:49Shot by Goodrow, saved by Ullmark
  41. P2 8:17Shot by Geekie, saved by Quick
  42. P2 8:39Cuylle: Too many men on the ice (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Zibanejad, Gustafsson, Miller, Kakko, Cuylle · BOS van Riemsdyk, Coyle, Grzelcyk, McAvoy, Frederic

  43. P2 10:44Shot by Grzelcyk, saved by Quick
  44. P2 12:34Shot by Mitchell, saved by Quick
  45. P2 14:03Shot by Goodrow, saved by Ullmark
  46. P2 16:24Shot by Vesey, saved by Ullmark6v5
  47. P2 16:34Shot by Trocheck, saved by Ullmark6v5
  48. P2 16:37Goal by Vesey (Trocheck, Panarin)6v5+26 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Pitlick, Trocheck, Vesey, Panarin, Jones, Schneider · BOS Forbort, Geekie, Mitchell, Lauko, Beecher

  49. P2 16:37Mitchell: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Pitlick, Trocheck, Vesey, Panarin, Jones, Schneider · BOS Forbort, Geekie, Mitchell, Lauko, Beecher

  50. P2 17:24Shot by Carlo, saved by Quick5v4
  51. P2 18:20Shot by Wheeler, saved by Ullmark5v4
  52. P2 19:08Shot by Trouba, saved by Ullmark
  53. P2 19:36Goal by Miller (Zibanejad, Kreider)+14 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Wheeler, Kreider, Zibanejad, Trouba, Miller · BOS Coyle, Lindholm, Pastrnak, McAvoy, Frederic

  54. P2 19:58Shot by Vesey, saved by Ullmark
  55. P2 0:00Period end
  56. P3 0:00Period start
  57. P3 0:54Shot by Miller, saved by Ullmark
  58. P3 0:59Shot by Lafrenière, saved by Ullmark
  59. P3 1:15Shot by Panarin, saved by Ullmark
  60. P3 1:22Shot by Vesey, saved by Ullmark
  61. P3 1:26Goal by Pitlick (Vesey, Goodrow)+6 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Pitlick, Goodrow, Trouba, Vesey, Miller · BOS Marchand, Grzelcyk, Pastrnak, Zacha, McAvoy

  62. P3 2:14Shot by Schneider, saved by Ullmark
  63. P3 2:26Shot by van Riemsdyk, saved by Quick
  64. P3 2:29Goal by Coyle (van Riemsdyk, Geekie)+5 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Wheeler, Kreider, Zibanejad, Jones, Schneider · BOS van Riemsdyk, Coyle, Lindholm, Carlo, Geekie

  65. P3 2:41Shot by Lindholm, saved by Quick
  66. P3 2:51Shot by Panarin, saved by Ullmark
  67. P3 3:39Shot by Marchand, saved by Quick
  68. P3 4:29Shot by Trocheck, saved by Ullmark
  69. P3 4:38Goal by Panarin (Schneider, Jones)+5 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Trocheck, Panarin, Jones, Schneider, Lafrenière · BOS van Riemsdyk, Grzelcyk, Frederic, Geekie, Mitchell

  70. P3 5:59Shot by Cuylle, saved by Ullmark
  71. P3 6:14Shot by Carlo, saved by Quick
  72. P3 9:52Shot by Kreider, saved by Ullmark
  73. P3 10:46Shot by Beecher, saved by Quick
  74. P3 14:02Shot by Goodrow, saved by Ullmark
  75. P3 15:54Shot by van Riemsdyk, saved by Quick
  76. P3 16:39Shot by Lafrenière, saved by Ullmark
  77. P3 18:16Shot by Pastrnak, saved by Quick
  78. P3 18:31Shot by Schneider, saved by Ullmark
  79. P3 18:33Shot by Kakko, saved by Ullmark
  80. P3 18:39Shot by Trouba, saved by Ullmark
  81. P3 18:53Shot by Poitras, saved by Quick
  82. P3 19:44Shot by Panarin, saved by Ullmark
  83. P3 0:00Period end
  84. P3 0:00Final