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Ice Lab

Tue, Dec 5, 2023·Canadian Tire Centre, Ottawa

New York Rangers 2, Ottawa Senators 6

Away

New York Rangers

2

Final

Home

Ottawa Senators

6

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Ottawa Senators win this game 75% of the time.

OTT winsNYR wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:26Shot by Sanderson, saved by Shesterkin
  3. P1 3:47Shot by Lafrenière, saved by Forsberg
  4. P1 4:36Shot by Norris, saved by Shesterkin
  5. P1 6:08Shot by Schneider, saved by Forsberg
  6. P1 7:05Shot by Miller, saved by Forsberg
  7. P1 7:06Shot by Trocheck, saved by Forsberg
  8. P1 7:09Shot by Panarin, saved by Forsberg
  9. P1 7:42Panarin: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Chartier, MacEwen, Brannstrom, Kelly, Zub · NYR Trocheck, Gustafsson, Panarin, Schneider, Lafrenière

  10. P1 10:43Shot by Zub, saved by Shesterkin
  11. P1 11:00Goal by Tkachuk (Zub, Giroux)+18 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Giroux, Norris, Brannstrom, Tkachuk, Zub · NYR Trocheck, Gustafsson, Brodzinski, Schneider, Lafrenière

  12. P1 11:20Shot by Lindgren, saved by Forsberg
  13. P1 12:51Shot by Giroux, saved by Shesterkin
  14. P1 13:21Trouba: Holding the stick (2 min)6v5

    On ice: OTT Giroux, Tarasenko, Joseph, Brannstrom, Stützle, Zub · NYR Trocheck, Trouba, Panarin, Miller, Lafrenière

  15. P1 13:28Shot by Fox, saved by Forsberg5v4
  16. P1 14:39Shot by Chychrun, saved by Shesterkin5v4
  17. P1 15:10Shot by Chychrun, saved by Shesterkin5v4
  18. P1 15:18Shot by Vesey, saved by Forsberg5v4
  19. P1 15:47Shot by Kelly, saved by Shesterkin
  20. P1 17:31Shot by Gustafsson, saved by Forsberg
  21. P1 18:33Shot by Giroux, saved by Shesterkin
  22. P1 18:34Goal by Giroux (Bernard-Docker, Norris)+13 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Giroux, Norris, Tkachuk, Bernard-Docker, Sanderson · NYR Kreider, Zibanejad, Trouba, Brodzinski, Miller

  23. P1 19:44Kubalik: Interference goalkeeper (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Kubalik, Joseph, Bernard-Docker, Greig, Sanderson · NYR Bonino, Pitlick, Vesey, Fox, Lindgren

  24. P1 19:56Shot by Panarin, saved by Forsberg4v5
  25. P1 0:00Period end4v5
  26. P2 0:00Period start
  27. P2 0:39Goal by Panarin (Fox, Zibanejad)4v5+12 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Chartier, Joseph, Sanderson, Zub · NYR Kreider, Trocheck, Zibanejad, Panarin, Fox

  28. P2 1:02Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Shesterkin
  29. P2 2:35Shot by Joseph, saved by Shesterkin
  30. P2 3:29Shot by Trouba, saved by Forsberg
  31. P2 3:48Shot by Pitlick, saved by Forsberg
  32. P2 4:27Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Shesterkin
  33. P2 5:13Goal by Tarasenko (Batherson, Stützle)+13 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Tarasenko, Batherson, Bernard-Docker, Sanderson, Stützle · NYR Wheeler, Bonino, Gustafsson, Schneider, Cuylle

  34. P2 5:33Shot by Lafrenière, saved by Forsberg
  35. P2 5:35Goal by Miller (Lafrenière, Panarin)+13 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Kubalik, Joseph, Brannstrom, Greig, Zub · NYR Trocheck, Trouba, Panarin, Miller, Lafrenière

  36. P2 5:48Shot by Miller, saved by Forsberg
  37. P2 6:04Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Shesterkin
  38. P2 6:57Shot by Trocheck, saved by Forsberg
  39. P2 7:16Shot by Tarasenko, saved by Shesterkin
  40. P2 7:18Goal by Batherson (Tarasenko)+13 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Tarasenko, Chychrun, Batherson, Sanderson, Stützle · NYR Trocheck, Panarin, Fox, Lindgren, Lafrenière

  41. P2 8:27Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Shesterkin
  42. P2 10:49Shot by Trocheck, saved by Forsberg
  43. P2 10:57Shot by Giroux, saved by Shesterkin
  44. P2 11:25Shot by Bonino, saved by Forsberg
  45. P2 11:26Shot by Bonino, saved by Forsberg
  46. P2 11:47Shot by Batherson, saved by Shesterkin
  47. P2 13:56Shot by Trocheck, saved by Forsberg
  48. P2 14:17Shot by Giroux, saved by Shesterkin
  49. P2 14:24Shot by Lafrenière, saved by Forsberg
  50. P2 14:37Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Shesterkin
  51. P2 14:44Shot by Lafrenière, saved by Forsberg
  52. P2 14:55Shot by Cuylle, saved by Forsberg
  53. P2 16:03Shot by Kreider, saved by Forsberg
  54. P2 17:43Goal by Tkachuk (Zub, Brannstrom)+6 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Giroux, Chartier, Brannstrom, Tkachuk, Zub · NYR Trocheck, Trouba, Panarin, Miller, Lafrenière

  55. P2 18:00Shot by Joseph, saved by Shesterkin
  56. P2 19:19Batherson: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Tarasenko, Batherson, Bernard-Docker, Sanderson, Stützle · NYR Trocheck, Gustafsson, Panarin, Schneider, Lafrenière

  57. P2 19:31Shot by Panarin, saved by Forsberg4v5
  58. P2 19:51Shot by Joseph, saved by Shesterkin4v5
  59. P2 0:00Period end4v5
  60. P3 0:00Period start
  61. P3 0:45Shot by Zibanejad, saved by Forsberg4v5
  62. P3 0:56Shot by Fox, saved by Forsberg4v5
  63. P3 3:09Shot by Vesey, saved by Forsberg
  64. P3 3:17Shot by Panarin, saved by Forsberg
  65. P3 3:28Norris: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Giroux, Norris, Tkachuk, Bernard-Docker, Sanderson · NYR Trocheck, Panarin, Fox, Lindgren, Lafrenière

  66. P3 4:03Stützle: Tripping (2 min)4v5

    On ice: OTT Kelly, Sanderson, Stützle, Zub · NYR Kreider, Trocheck, Zibanejad, Panarin, Fox

  67. P3 4:15Shot by Trocheck, saved by Forsberg3v5
  68. P3 5:39Shot by Giroux, saved by Shesterkin4v5
  69. P3 6:10Shot by Sanderson, saved by Shesterkin
  70. P3 8:03Gustafsson: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Hamonic, Kubalik, Chartier, Joseph, Chychrun · NYR Kreider, Zibanejad, Gustafsson, Schneider, Lafrenière

  71. P3 8:03Kubalik: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: OTT Hamonic, Kubalik, Chartier, Joseph, Chychrun · NYR Kreider, Zibanejad, Gustafsson, Schneider, Lafrenière

  72. P3 8:03Gustafsson: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: OTT Hamonic, Kubalik, Chartier, Joseph, Chychrun · NYR Kreider, Zibanejad, Gustafsson, Schneider, Lafrenière

  73. P3 8:28Shot by Sanderson, saved by Shesterkin5v4
  74. P3 8:57Shot by Stützle, saved by Shesterkin5v4
  75. P3 9:04Shot by Sanderson, saved by Shesterkin5v4
  76. P3 11:27Shot by Panarin, saved by Forsberg
  77. P3 12:32Shot by Trouba, saved by Forsberg
  78. P3 13:26Shot by Vesey, saved by Forsberg
  79. P3 13:53Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Shesterkin
  80. P3 15:40Shot by Panarin, saved by Forsberg5v6
  81. P3 17:10Goal by Tarasenko (Batherson, Brannstrom)5v60 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Tarasenko, Brannstrom, Batherson, Bernard-Docker, Stützle · NYR Kreider, Vesey, Brodzinski, Panarin, Miller, Cuylle

  82. P3 18:05Shot by Zub, saved by Shesterkin
  83. P3 19:09Shot by Greig, saved by Shesterkin
  84. P3 19:37Shot by Brannstrom, saved by Shesterkin
  85. P3 19:38Shot by Greig, saved by Shesterkin
  86. P3 0:00Period end
  87. P3 0:00Final