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Ice Lab

Mon, Dec 11, 2023·UBS Arena, Elmont

Toronto Maple Leafs 3, New York Islanders 4 (OT)

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 59% of the time.

NYI winsTOR wins

Toronto Maple Leafs

Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).

Morgan RiellyD · #44101−2524:050.2839.4%+45.4
Auston MatthewsC · #34101−11121:051.2856.6%+14.8
TJ BrodieD · #78000−1119:570.0060.8%0.0
Jake McCabeD · #220110119:530.0448.1%+13.1
Mitch MarnerRW · #16011−1019:320.1834.6%+14.8
William NylanderRW · #880220219:320.3254.4%+60.2
Simon BenoitD · #20000019:050.0032.5%0.0
Conor TimminsD · #250110217:570.1038.1%+13.1
John TavaresC · #91112+1417:490.7136.7%+58.5
Matthew KniesLW · #23000−1017:050.0051.8%0.0
William LagessonD · #85000−1017:000.0027.2%0.0
Tyler BertuzziLW · #59000−1316:100.0739.2%0.0
Calle JarnkrokC · #19000+1415:430.5455.4%0.0
Nick RobertsonLW · #890000212:510.0228.7%0.0
David KampfC · #640000012:190.0028.7%0.0
Max DomiC · #11000−1212:060.0635.3%0.0
Noah GregorLW · #180000212:050.2032.3%0.0
Ryan ReavesRW · #75000017:590.1121.9%0.0
Ilya Samsonov#35O29254.8623.24−0.858:51

New York Islanders

Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).

Noah DobsonD · #8033+3126:030.0565.2%+73.5
Alexander RomanovD · #28000+1424:170.0971.4%0.0
Scott MayfieldD · #24000−1022:410.0049.9%0.0
Mike ReillyD · #20000119:490.1051.8%0.0
Mathew BarzalC · #13011+1319:190.3564.7%+44.9
Bo HorvatC · #14101+1418:080.4766.7%+44.9
Anders LeeLW · #270000316:170.4466.7%0.0
Kyle PalmieriC · #21112+1116:120.0742.8%+28.6
Brock NelsonC · #29112+1415:470.4343.1%+28.6
Casey CizikasC · #531010115:260.1469.6%+18.8
Pierre EngvallLW · #18000+1115:160.0549.3%0.0
Jean-Gabriel PageauC · #44000−1115:060.0561.4%0.0
Cal ClutterbuckRW · #150110114:430.4372.7%+18.8
Samuel BolducD · #40000114:250.0256.3%0.0
Hudson FaschingRW · #20011+1013:400.0071.8%+18.8
Simon HolmstromRW · #100000112:290.1156.5%0.0
Robert BortuzzoD · #410000011:330.0369.9%0.0
Julien GauthierRW · #160000210:040.4055.6%0.0
Ilya Sorokin#30W40373.9253.92+0.960:46