Mon, Dec 11, 2023·UBS Arena, Elmont
Toronto Maple Leafs 3, New York Islanders 4 (OT)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 59% of the time.
32%
9%
52%
NYI winsTOR wins
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −2 | 5 | 24:05 | 0.28 | 39.4% | +45.4 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 11 | 21:05 | 1.28 | 56.6% | +14.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 19:57 | 0.00 | 60.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 19:53 | 0.04 | 48.1% | +13.1 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 0 | 19:32 | 0.18 | 34.6% | +14.8 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 19:32 | 0.32 | 54.4% | +60.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19:05 | 0.00 | 32.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17:57 | 0.10 | 38.1% | +13.1 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 4 | 17:49 | 0.71 | 36.7% | +58.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 17:05 | 0.00 | 51.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 17:00 | 0.00 | 27.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 16:10 | 0.07 | 39.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 4 | 15:43 | 0.54 | 55.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12:51 | 0.02 | 28.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:19 | 0.00 | 28.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 12:06 | 0.06 | 35.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12:05 | 0.20 | 32.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7:59 | 0.11 | 21.9% | 0.0 |
| O | 29 | 25 | 4 | .862 | 3.24 | −0.8 | 58:51 |
New York Islanders
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 3 | 3 | +3 | 1 | 26:03 | 0.05 | 65.2% | +73.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 4 | 24:17 | 0.09 | 71.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 22:41 | 0.00 | 49.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19:49 | 0.10 | 51.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 19:19 | 0.35 | 64.7% | +44.9 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 18:08 | 0.47 | 66.7% | +44.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16:17 | 0.44 | 66.7% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 1 | 16:12 | 0.07 | 42.8% | +28.6 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 4 | 15:47 | 0.43 | 43.1% | +28.6 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15:26 | 0.14 | 69.6% | +18.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 15:16 | 0.05 | 49.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 15:06 | 0.05 | 61.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14:43 | 0.43 | 72.7% | +18.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:25 | 0.02 | 56.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 13:40 | 0.00 | 71.8% | +18.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:29 | 0.11 | 56.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:33 | 0.03 | 69.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10:04 | 0.40 | 55.6% | 0.0 |
| W | 40 | 37 | 3 | .925 | 3.92 | +0.9 | 60:46 |