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Ice Lab

Mon, Dec 11, 2023·UBS Arena, Elmont

Toronto Maple Leafs 3, New York Islanders 4 (OT)

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 59% of the time.

NYI winsTOR wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

NYI forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against TOR's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Nylander–Matthews–KniesTavares–Bertuzzi–MarnerJarnkrok–Domi–RobertsonReaves–Gregor–KampfJarnkrok–Gregor–KampfBrodie–RiellyMcCabe–BenoitLagesson–TimminsTimmins–BenoitMcCabe–LagessonRielly–TimminsBrodie–LagessonBrodie–McCabeRielly–BenoitMcCabe–TimminsRielly–Lagesson
Lee–Horvat–Barzal2:180.09–0.164:210.39–0.102:070.23–0.151:300.19–0.111:340.05–0.033:420.15–0.172:110.12–0.002:430.39–0.071:120.00–0.110:420.00–0.100:390.00–0.000:540.07–0.080:390.23–0.00
Palmieri–Nelson–Engvall3:300.16–0.473:310.04–0.351:450.02–0.001:160.36–0.000:570.00–0.001:470.04–0.385:310.10–0.130:570.09–0.020:360.00–0.000:530.29–0.001:150.05–0.00
Clutterbuck–Cizikas–Fasching3:280.16–0.042:360.00–0.141:160.00–0.020:510.00–0.002:530.00–0.011:400.01–0.002:120.28–0.060:460.16–0.001:100.00–0.10
Pageau–Gauthier–Holmstrom2:350.24–0.120:590.18–0.001:540.01–0.011:280.00–0.003:580.24–0.251:110.00–0.001:200.00–0.011:110.01–0.000:300.18–0.000:400.00–0.01
Dobson–Romanov11:220.65–0.311:520.23–0.002:180.00–0.100:580.00–0.005:060.24–0.147:180.21–0.092:370.12–0.102:010.16–0.000:460.00–0.040:360.01–0.000:300.06–0.000:420.00–0.01
Reilly–Mayfield1:210.00–0.388:110.33–0.192:250.26–0.151:240.21–0.110:590.05–0.176:200.24–0.671:400.03–0.042:410.64–0.111:030.01–0.001:150.00–0.151:170.00–0.000:460.05–0.080:450.23–0.00
Bortuzzo–Bolduc1:340.04–0.312:530.03–0.003:060.43–0.001:230.04–0.001:470.00–0.003:140.03–0.020:360.00–0.000:580.29–0.000:320.11–0.001:150.07–0.00
Mayfield–Bolduc0:410.00–0.091:000.00–0.010:470.00–0.010:310.00–0.09
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3OTEndClutterbuck FFasching FCizikas FLee FHorvat FBarzal FPalmieri FEngvall FNelson FPageau FGauthier FHolmstrom FDobson DRomanov DReilly DMayfield DBortuzzo DBolduc DSorokin GKnies FMatthews FNylander FTavares FBertuzzi FMarner FDomi FJarnkrok FRobertson FKampf FReaves FGregor FRielly DBrodie DMcCabe DLagesson DBenoit DTimmins DSamsonov G
NYITORFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Noah DobsonNYI3126:030:501:5132
Alexander RomanovNYI3224:170:461:5326
Morgan RiellyTOR2724:050:541:5923
Scott MayfieldNYI2522:410:541:5103
Auston MatthewsTOR2421:050:532:1630
TJ BrodieTOR2719:570:441:2913
Jake McCabeTOR2919:530:411:2015
Mike ReillyNYI2519:490:481:5112
Mitch MarnerTOR2119:320:561:5833
William NylanderTOR2319:320:512:1240
Mathew BarzalNYI2219:190:532:3241
Simon BenoitTOR2519:050:461:4613
Bo HorvatNYI2318:080:471:5242
Conor TimminsTOR2317:570:471:5480
John TavaresTOR1917:490:562:0932
Matthew KniesTOR2117:050:491:2620
William LagessonTOR2117:000:491:5521
Anders LeeNYI2116:170:471:2442
Kyle PalmieriNYI2216:120:441:3850
Tyler BertuzziTOR2016:100:491:1834
Brock NelsonNYI2215:470:431:4051
Calle JarnkrokTOR1815:430:521:5542
Casey CizikasNYI2415:260:391:0706
Pierre EngvallNYI2015:160:461:3040
Jean-Gabriel PageauNYI2315:060:391:2505
Cal ClutterbuckNYI2314:430:381:0407
Samuel BolducNYI2014:250:431:1034
Hudson FaschingNYI2113:400:391:0804
Nick RobertsonTOR1512:510:511:1140
Simon HolmstromNYI1712:290:441:1003
David KampfTOR1612:190:461:1712
Max DomiTOR1512:060:481:2040
Noah GregorTOR1712:050:431:1412
Robert BortuzzoNYI1911:330:361:1123
Julien GauthierNYI1510:040:401:1002
Ryan ReavesTOR117:590:441:2211