Mon, Dec 11, 2023·Ball Arena, Denver
Calgary Flames 5, Colorado Avalanche 6
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Colorado Avalanche win this game 50% of the time.
41%
9%
42%
COL winsCGY wins
Calgary Flames
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 29:37 | 0.08 | 60.5% | +16.6 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 25:43 | 0.05 | 30.5% | +16.6 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 25:08 | 0.01 | 55.0% | +23.3 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 2 | 20:26 | 0.02 | 62.1% | +42.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20:23 | 0.13 | 62.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 3 | 19:33 | 0.23 | 41.5% | +22.1 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 3 | 18:59 | 0.27 | 49.4% | +16.6 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 17:54 | 0.38 | 60.8% | +36.8 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 3 | 16:59 | 0.51 | 85.3% | +20.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16:44 | 0.04 | 45.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 16:18 | 0.04 | 76.6% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 5 | 15:27 | 0.30 | 55.4% | +38.9 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 14:19 | 0.34 | 41.3% | +23.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 14:06 | 0.19 | 82.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8:11 | 0.22 | 52.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 6:44 | 0.00 | 21.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 5:43 | 0.37 | 58.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:15 | 0.00 | – | 0.0 |
| L | 38 | 32 | 6 | .842 | 3.17 | −2.8 | 58:21 |
Colorado Avalanche
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 1 | 2 | 3 | −1 | 8 | 26:22 | 0.70 | 49.5% | +93.3 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | −1 | 2 | 26:19 | 0.29 | 50.7% | +56.4 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 25:50 | 0.42 | 50.0% | +74.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 1 | 23:39 | 0.07 | 26.1% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | −2 | 5 | 23:20 | 0.27 | 52.2% | +56.1 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 0 | 22:21 | 0.00 | 58.9% | +14.2 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 19:28 | 0.08 | 48.7% | +14.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 14:18 | 0.12 | 17.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 14:18 | 0.08 | 30.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14:02 | 0.10 | 27.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12:45 | 0.12 | 28.2% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 2 | 11:28 | 0.15 | 44.1% | +31.9 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 0 | 11:21 | 0.00 | 76.5% | +17.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 10:38 | 0.30 | 20.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 10:22 | 0.03 | 22.2% | +22.6 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 9:59 | 0.04 | 82.6% | +22.6 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9:58 | 0.31 | 46.4% | +17.7 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 7:32 | 0.09 | 44.9% | +22.6 |
| – | 21 | 16 | 5 | .762 | 2.27 | −2.7 | 40:00 | |
| W | 11 | 11 | 0 | 1.000 | 0.90 | +0.9 | 20:00 |