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Ice Lab

Mon, Dec 11, 2023·Ball Arena, Denver

Calgary Flames 5, Colorado Avalanche 6

Away

Calgary Flames

5

Final

Home

Colorado Avalanche

6

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Colorado Avalanche win this game 50% of the time.

COL winsCGY wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:15Hanifin: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: COL Manson, Wood, Colton, O'Connor, Byram · CGY Backlund, Tanev, Coleman, Huberdeau, Hanifin

  3. P1 1:36Shot by Rantanen, saved by Vladar5v4
  4. P1 2:25Shot by Colton, saved by Vladar
  5. P1 2:52Shot by Kadri, saved by Georgiev
  6. P1 3:02Shot by Johnson, saved by Vladar
  7. P1 4:51Shot by Coleman, saved by Georgiev
  8. P1 5:12Shot by Pospisil, saved by Georgiev
  9. P1 5:32Shot by Cogliano, saved by Vladar
  10. P1 5:37Shot by Cogliano, saved by Vladar
  11. P1 6:28Shot by Toews, saved by Vladar
  12. P1 7:11Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Vladar
  13. P1 7:16Shot by O'Connor, saved by Vladar
  14. P1 9:36Shot by Hanifin, saved by Georgiev
  15. P1 10:18Shot by Johnson, saved by Vladar
  16. P1 13:46Goal by Kadri (Coleman)+17 pts WP

    On ice: COL MacKinnon, Nichushkin, Toews, Rantanen, Makar · CGY Kadri, Coleman, Mangiapane, Hanifin, Andersson

  17. P1 14:17Shot by Andersson, saved by Georgiev
  18. P1 15:33Shot by Nichushkin, saved by Vladar
  19. P1 15:35Backlund: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: COL MacKinnon, Nichushkin, Toews, Rantanen, Makar · CGY Backlund, Coleman, Huberdeau, Hanifin, Andersson

  20. P1 16:05Shot by Nichushkin, saved by Vladar5v4
  21. P1 17:24Shot by Johansen, saved by Vladar5v4
  22. P1 17:30Shot by Rantanen, saved by Vladar5v4
  23. P1 18:14Goal by Tatar (Colton, Olofsson)+18 pts WP

    On ice: COL Tatar, Manson, Olofsson, Colton, Byram · CGY Backlund, Kadri, Huberdeau, Hanifin, Andersson

  24. P1 18:32Shot by Manson, saved by Vladar
  25. P1 18:44Shot by Sharangovich, saved by Georgiev
  26. P1 0:00Period end
  27. P2 0:00Period start
  28. P2 0:32Shot by O'Connor, saved by Vladar
  29. P2 0:33Hanifin: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: COL Manson, Wood, Colton, O'Connor, Byram · CGY Backlund, Coleman, Huberdeau, Hanifin, Andersson

  30. P2 1:13Shot by Rantanen, saved by Vladar5v4
  31. P2 1:18Shot by Andersson, saved by Georgiev5v4
  32. P2 1:43Goal by Makar (Rantanen, MacKinnon)5v4+19 pts WP

    On ice: COL MacKinnon, Drouin, Nichushkin, Rantanen, Makar · CGY Coleman, Weegar, Andersson, Sharangovich

  33. P2 3:29Shot by Coleman, saved by Georgiev
  34. P2 3:50Shot by Coleman, saved by Georgiev
  35. P2 4:36Shot by Rantanen, saved by Vladar
  36. P2 5:14Goal by Mangiapane (Kadri, Gilbert)+20 pts WP

    On ice: COL Tatar, Johansen, Manson, Drouin, Byram · CGY Kadri, Mangiapane, Andersson, Gilbert, Dube

  37. P2 5:51Solovyov: Cross checking (2 min)

    On ice: COL Johnson, Cogliano, Olofsson, Meyers, Malinski · CGY Weegar, Greer, Ruzicka, Pospisil, Solovyov

  38. P2 7:51Shot by Tatar, saved by Vladar
  39. P2 8:41Wood: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: COL Wood, MacKinnon, Toews, O'Connor, Byram · CGY Kadri, Hanifin, Gilbert, Sharangovich, Zary

  40. P2 10:50Shot by Andersson, saved by Georgiev
  41. P2 11:46Shot by Malinski, saved by Vladar
  42. P2 13:21Goal by Coleman (Backlund, Gilbert)+22 pts WP

    On ice: COL Wood, Colton, Makar, O'Connor, Byram · CGY Backlund, Coleman, Huberdeau, Hanifin, Gilbert

  43. P2 14:57Goal by Meyers (Cogliano, Malinski)+23 pts WP

    On ice: COL Johnson, Cogliano, Olofsson, Meyers, Malinski · CGY Hanifin, Andersson, Ruzicka, Pospisil, Sharangovich

  44. P2 16:13Shot by Coleman, saved by Georgiev
  45. P2 16:17Shot by Zary, saved by Georgiev
  46. P2 16:19Goal by Zary (Weegar)+23 pts WP

    On ice: COL MacKinnon, Nichushkin, Toews, Rantanen, Makar · CGY Weegar, Lindholm, Gilbert, Sharangovich, Zary

  47. P2 18:10Shot by Kadri, saved by Georgiev
  48. P2 18:12Shot by Mangiapane, saved by Georgiev
  49. P2 18:15Shot by Dube, saved by Georgiev
  50. P2 18:18Georgiev: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: COL Johnson, Johansen, Wood, O'Connor, Malinski · CGY Kadri, Mangiapane, Andersson, Dube, Solovyov

  51. P2 18:18Kadri: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: COL Johnson, Johansen, Wood, O'Connor, Malinski · CGY Kadri, Mangiapane, Andersson, Dube, Solovyov

  52. P2 18:34Goal by Sharangovich (Hanifin, Andersson)4v4+17 pts WP

    On ice: COL MacKinnon, Toews, Rantanen, Makar · CGY Lindholm, Hanifin, Andersson, Sharangovich

  53. P2 19:05Shot by Backlund, saved by Georgiev4v4
  54. P2 19:28Shot by Drouin, saved by Vladar4v4
  55. P2 0:00Period end4v4
  56. P3 0:00Period start
  57. P3 1:45Shot by Wood, saved by Vladar
  58. P3 3:50Shot by Rantanen, saved by Vladar
  59. P3 4:30Shot by Gilbert, saved by Prosvetov
  60. P3 5:40Shot by Manson, saved by Vladar
  61. P3 6:21Shot by Makar, saved by Vladar
  62. P3 6:35Shot by Kadri, saved by Prosvetov
  63. P3 6:38Nichushkin: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: COL MacKinnon, Nichushkin, Toews, Rantanen, Makar · CGY Kadri, Mangiapane, Hanifin, Dube, Sharangovich

  64. P3 8:38Shot by Makar, saved by Vladar
  65. P3 9:06Shot by Greer, saved by Prosvetov
  66. P3 9:25Shot by Gilbert, saved by Prosvetov
  67. P3 10:10Shot by Manson, saved by Vladar
  68. P3 11:11Shot by Wood, saved by Vladar
  69. P3 11:20Goal by Colton (Manson, Byram)+14 pts WP

    On ice: COL Manson, Wood, Colton, O'Connor, Byram · CGY Lindholm, Andersson, Sharangovich, Zary, Solovyov

  70. P3 12:00Shot by Backlund, saved by Prosvetov
  71. P3 13:29Shot by Makar, saved by Vladar
  72. P3 13:31Goal by Rantanen (Nichushkin, Makar)+37 pts WP

    On ice: COL MacKinnon, Nichushkin, Rantanen, Makar, Byram · CGY Kadri, Hanifin, Gilbert, Sharangovich, Zary

  73. P3 13:40Shot by Sharangovich, saved by Prosvetov
  74. P3 13:42Shot by Solovyov, saved by Prosvetov
  75. P3 15:00Shot by Makar, saved by Vladar
  76. P3 15:07Shot by Rantanen, saved by Vladar
  77. P3 15:30Goal by MacKinnon (Nichushkin, Rantanen)+37 pts WP

    On ice: COL MacKinnon, Nichushkin, Rantanen, Makar, Byram · CGY Backlund, Coleman, Weegar, Lindholm, Hanifin

  78. P3 17:25Shot by Backlund, saved by Prosvetov
  79. P3 17:35Shot by Rantanen, saved by Vladar
  80. P3 17:46Shot by Mangiapane, saved by Prosvetov
  81. P3 17:50Shot by Nichushkin, saved by Vladar
  82. P3 19:42Shot by Andersson, saved by Prosvetov5v6
  83. P3 19:43Shot by Kadri, saved by Prosvetov5v6
  84. P3 0:00Period end5v6
  85. P3 0:00Final5v6