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Ice Lab

Tue, Dec 12, 2023·Madison Square Garden, New York

Toronto Maple Leafs 7, New York Rangers 3

Away

Toronto Maple Leafs

7

Final

Home

New York Rangers

3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 62% of the time.

NYR winsTOR wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 3:52Goal by Matthews (Nylander, Gregor)5v6+15 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Wheeler, Kreider, Trocheck, Trouba, Gustafsson · TOR McCabe, Bertuzzi, Nylander, Marner, Matthews, Lajoie

  3. P1 5:02Shot by Robertson, saved by Shesterkin
  4. P1 5:07Goal by Timmins (Jarnkrok, Domi)+14 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Pitlick, Goodrow, Vesey, Jones, Schneider · TOR Jarnkrok, Domi, Timmins, Benoit, Robertson

  5. P1 5:39Shot by Kreider, saved by Jones
  6. P1 5:42Goal by Wheeler, unassisted+14 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Wheeler, Kreider, Zibanejad, Fox, Lindgren · TOR Brodie, Jarnkrok, Rielly, Kampf, McMann

  7. P1 6:00Zibanejad: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Wheeler, Kreider, Zibanejad, Fox, Lindgren · TOR Rielly, McCabe, Nylander, Matthews, Kampf

  8. P1 7:55Shot by McCabe, saved by Shesterkin4v5
  9. P1 9:52Shot by McMann, saved by Shesterkin
  10. P1 10:07Shot by McMann, saved by Shesterkin
  11. P1 10:46McCabe: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Wheeler, Kreider, Zibanejad, Fox, Lindgren · TOR Tavares, McCabe, Bertuzzi, Marner, Lajoie

  12. P1 12:18Shot by Trocheck, saved by Jones5v4
  13. P1 15:12Shot by Bertuzzi, saved by Shesterkin
  14. P1 15:15Shot by Tavares, saved by Shesterkin
  15. P1 15:16Shot by Tavares, saved by Shesterkin
  16. P1 15:20Goal by Jarnkrok (Tavares)+15 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Trocheck, Panarin, Jones, Schneider, Lafrenière · TOR Brodie, Tavares, Jarnkrok, Rielly, Bertuzzi

  17. P1 15:41Goal by Marner (Matthews, Lagesson)+10 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Wheeler, Kreider, Zibanejad, Trouba, Gustafsson · TOR McCabe, Nylander, Lagesson, Marner, Matthews

  18. P1 0:00Period end
  19. P2 0:00Period start
  20. P2 1:22Shot by Tavares, saved by Shesterkin
  21. P2 2:11Shot by Jarnkrok, saved by Shesterkin
  22. P2 2:30Shot by Trocheck, saved by Jones
  23. P2 3:03Shot by Bonino, saved by Jones
  24. P2 3:48Shot by Pitlick, saved by Jones
  25. P2 8:30Shot by Tavares, saved by Shesterkin
  26. P2 8:41Shot by Rielly, saved by Shesterkin
  27. P2 9:24Shot by Goodrow, saved by Jones
  28. P2 9:52Shot by Bonino, saved by Jones
  29. P2 10:09Shot by Cuylle, saved by Jones
  30. P2 10:22Shot by Jones, saved by Jones
  31. P2 10:25Shot by Wheeler, saved by Jones
  32. P2 10:27Kreider: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Wheeler, Kreider, Zibanejad, Jones, Schneider · TOR Jarnkrok, McCabe, Lagesson, Kampf, McMann

  33. P2 10:27Lagesson: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Wheeler, Kreider, Zibanejad, Jones, Schneider · TOR Jarnkrok, McCabe, Lagesson, Kampf, McMann

  34. P2 10:47Shot by Nylander, saved by Shesterkin4v4
  35. P2 13:35Shot by McCabe, saved by Shesterkin
  36. P2 13:37Shot by Nylander, saved by Shesterkin
  37. P2 14:56Timmins: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Trocheck, Panarin, Fox, Lindgren, Lafrenière · TOR Jarnkrok, Domi, Marner, Lajoie, Timmins

  38. P2 16:30Goal by Zibanejad (Panarin, Fox)5v4+8 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Kreider, Trocheck, Zibanejad, Panarin, Fox · TOR Brodie, McCabe, Marner, Kampf

  39. P2 16:59Shot by Pitlick, saved by Jones
  40. P2 17:06Shot by Trocheck, saved by Jones
  41. P2 17:19Shot by Panarin, saved by Jones
  42. P2 18:17Shot by McMann, saved by Shesterkin
  43. P2 18:26Goal by Wheeler (Zibanejad, Trouba)+16 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Wheeler, Kreider, Zibanejad, Trouba, Gustafsson · TOR McCabe, Nylander, Lajoie, Kampf, McMann

  44. P2 19:47Shot by Bonino, saved by Jones
  45. P2 19:49Shot by Cuylle, saved by Jones
  46. P2 0:00Period end
  47. P3 0:00Period start
  48. P3 1:00Shot by Kreider, saved by Jones
  49. P3 1:14Shot by Marner, saved by Shesterkin
  50. P3 1:22Gustafsson: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Wheeler, Kreider, Zibanejad, Trouba, Gustafsson · TOR Brodie, Tavares, Rielly, Bertuzzi, Marner

  51. P3 1:29Goal by Marner (Rielly, Matthews)4v5+17 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Zibanejad, Goodrow, Trouba, Lindgren · TOR Tavares, Rielly, Nylander, Marner, Matthews

  52. P3 2:28Shot by Robertson, saved by Shesterkin
  53. P3 5:49Shot by Trocheck, saved by Jones
  54. P3 6:06Shot by Wheeler, saved by Jones
  55. P3 6:31Shot by Trocheck, saved by Jones
  56. P3 7:40Shot by Kreider, saved by Jones
  57. P3 8:42Shot by Bertuzzi, saved by Shesterkin
  58. P3 10:11Shot by Trouba, saved by Jones
  59. P3 11:03Zibanejad: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Wheeler, Kreider, Zibanejad, Gustafsson, Lindgren · TOR Jarnkrok, McCabe, Nylander, Lagesson, Matthews

  60. P3 11:03Zibanejad: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Wheeler, Kreider, Zibanejad, Gustafsson, Lindgren · TOR Jarnkrok, McCabe, Nylander, Lagesson, Matthews

  61. P3 11:03McCabe: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Wheeler, Kreider, Zibanejad, Gustafsson, Lindgren · TOR Jarnkrok, McCabe, Nylander, Lagesson, Matthews

  62. P3 12:48Shot by Domi, saved by Shesterkin4v5
  63. P3 12:53Shot by Domi, saved by Shesterkin4v5
  64. P3 12:55Shot by Jarnkrok, saved by Shesterkin4v5
  65. P3 13:41Shot by McMann, saved by Shesterkin
  66. P3 14:51Shot by Wheeler, saved by Jones
  67. P3 15:33Shot by Fox, saved by Jones
  68. P3 15:35Shot by Trocheck, saved by Jones
  69. P3 16:09Shot by Gustafsson, saved by Jones
  70. P3 16:57Shot by Matthews, saved by Shesterkin
  71. P3 17:11Goal by Matthews (Nylander, McCabe)+1 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Zibanejad, Trouba, Brodzinski, Lindgren, Cuylle · TOR Brodie, Rielly, Bertuzzi, Nylander, Matthews

  72. P3 17:21Shot by Panarin, saved by Jones
  73. P3 17:41Shot by Zibanejad, saved by Jones6v5
  74. P3 18:33Goal by Kampf (Brodie, Marner)6v50 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Wheeler, Kreider, Trocheck, Zibanejad, Gustafsson, Panarin · TOR Brodie, McCabe, Marner, Gregor, Kampf

  75. P3 19:22Shot by Pitlick, saved by Jones
  76. P3 0:00Period end
  77. P3 0:00Final