Tue, Dec 12, 2023·Madison Square Garden, New York
Toronto Maple Leafs 7, New York Rangers 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 62% of the time.
30%
8%
55%
NYR winsTOR wins
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 0 | 23:19 | 0.00 | 44.4% | 0.0 | |
| 2 | 1 | 3 | +3 | 3 | 22:34 | 0.44 | 46.7% | +26.9 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 22:07 | 0.10 | 47.2% | +16.8 | |
| 2 | 2 | 4 | +3 | 3 | 21:30 | 0.59 | 48.4% | +42.6 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 20:50 | 0.08 | 46.0% | +0.8 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 2 | 19:26 | 0.17 | 46.5% | +15.7 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 17:40 | 0.04 | 29.5% | +14.9 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 17:35 | 0.77 | 65.8% | +15.2 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 3 | 16:53 | 0.51 | 50.1% | +29.4 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 15:58 | 0.00 | 40.0% | +10.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 2 | 15:04 | 0.07 | 65.5% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 14:01 | 0.04 | 51.4% | +14.3 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 13:41 | 0.81 | 26.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 12:56 | 0.00 | 48.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 12:01 | 0.27 | 24.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 4 | 11:03 | 0.36 | 35.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 10:16 | 0.08 | 33.6% | +14.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7:47 | 0.00 | 35.6% | 0.0 |
| W | 31 | 28 | 3 | .903 | 3.54 | +0.5 | 59:45 |
New York Rangers
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 6 | 25:27 | 0.67 | 45.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 25:11 | 0.12 | 81.2% | +8.1 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 1 | 21:46 | 0.02 | 41.8% | +16.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 21:45 | 0.00 | 73.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 2 | 20:50 | 0.13 | 49.1% | +8.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 19:16 | 0.12 | 36.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 17:08 | 0.27 | 46.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 15:50 | 0.39 | 59.0% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | −1 | 2 | 15:31 | 0.19 | 44.3% | +24.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 14:20 | 0.00 | 78.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 14:13 | 0.23 | 90.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 13:58 | 0.00 | 35.9% | 0.0 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | −1 | 5 | 13:29 | 0.58 | 54.0% | +30.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 13:23 | 0.02 | 53.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12:22 | 0.19 | 67.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 11:35 | 0.49 | 76.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 9:36 | 0.12 | 40.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 9:24 | 0.00 | 36.6% | 0.0 |
| L | 29 | 23 | 6 | .793 | 3.55 | −2.5 | 58:49 |