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Ice Lab

Thu, Dec 14, 2023·Rogers Place, Edmonton

Tampa Bay Lightning 7, Edmonton Oilers 4

Away

Tampa Bay Lightning

7

Final

Home

Edmonton Oilers

4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Edmonton Oilers win this game 90% of the time.

EDM winsTBL wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:52Draisaitl: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: EDM Ceci, Janmark, Draisaitl, Foegele, Bouchard · TBL Kucherov, Point, Sergachev, Barré-Boulet, Perbix

  3. P1 1:07Goal by Stamkos (Paul, Kucherov)4v5+13 pts WP

    On ice: EDM Nugent-Hopkins, Ceci, Nurse, Ryan · TBL Stamkos, Kucherov, Paul, Point, Sergachev

  4. P1 2:33Shot by Perbix, saved by Skinner
  5. P1 3:03Shot by McDavid, saved by Vasilevskiy
  6. P1 4:01Shot by Gagner, saved by Vasilevskiy
  7. P1 4:52Shot by Ceci, saved by Vasilevskiy
  8. P1 5:36Shot by Draisaitl, saved by Vasilevskiy
  9. P1 5:43Shot by Janmark, saved by Vasilevskiy
  10. P1 7:14Shot by Raddysh, saved by Skinner
  11. P1 7:17Goal by Motte (Raddysh, Eyssimont)+14 pts WP

    On ice: EDM Kane, Kulak, Brown, Desharnais, McLeod · TBL Glendening, Motte, Fleury, Raddysh, Eyssimont

  12. P1 8:32Shot by Foegele, saved by Vasilevskiy
  13. P1 9:56Shot by Bouchard, saved by Vasilevskiy
  14. P1 10:23Shot by Hamblin, saved by Vasilevskiy
  15. P1 12:27Shot by McDavid, saved by Vasilevskiy
  16. P1 14:02Shot by Draisaitl, saved by Vasilevskiy
  17. P1 14:12Shot by Bouchard, saved by Vasilevskiy
  18. P1 14:21Shot by Nugent-Hopkins, saved by Vasilevskiy
  19. P1 15:12Shot by McDavid, saved by Vasilevskiy
  20. P1 15:17Shot by Bouchard, saved by Vasilevskiy
  21. P1 15:55Shot by Kucherov, saved by Skinner
  22. P1 17:01Shot by Stamkos, saved by Skinner
  23. P1 18:15Glendening: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: EDM Gagner, Ceci, Nurse, Ryan, Hamblin · TBL Glendening, Motte, Cernak, Sergachev, Eyssimont

  24. P1 18:41Shot by Sergachev, saved by Skinner5v4
  25. P1 19:52Shot by Bouchard, saved by Vasilevskiy5v4
  26. P1 0:00Period end5v4
  27. P2 0:00Period start
  28. P2 1:07Foegele: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: EDM Ceci, Janmark, Nurse, Draisaitl, Foegele · TBL de Haan, Kucherov, Point, Hagel, Perbix

  29. P2 1:23Goal by Nurse (Nugent-Hopkins, Ryan)4v5+14 pts WP

    On ice: EDM Nugent-Hopkins, Ceci, Nurse, Ryan · TBL Stamkos, Kucherov, Paul, Point, Sergachev

  30. P2 1:45Shot by Stamkos, saved by Skinner4v5
  31. P2 1:53Shot by Janmark, saved by Vasilevskiy4v5
  32. P2 2:22Shot by Stamkos, saved by Skinner4v5
  33. P2 2:27Shot by Kucherov, saved by Skinner4v5
  34. P2 2:30Shot by Nurse, saved by Vasilevskiy4v5
  35. P2 4:38Shot by Kane, saved by Vasilevskiy
  36. P2 4:55Shot by Hagel, saved by Skinner
  37. P2 6:05Shot by Draisaitl, saved by Vasilevskiy
  38. P2 6:22Hagel: Tripping (2 min)6v5

    On ice: EDM Kane, Ekholm, Janmark, Draisaitl, McDavid, Bouchard · TBL Kucherov, Fleury, Point, Raddysh, Hagel

  39. P2 6:41Shot by Draisaitl, saved by Vasilevskiy5v4
  40. P2 6:55Shot by McDavid, saved by Vasilevskiy5v4
  41. P2 6:58Shot by Draisaitl, saved by Vasilevskiy5v4
  42. P2 7:13Shot by Draisaitl, saved by Vasilevskiy5v4
  43. P2 7:20Goal by McDavid, unassisted5v4+19 pts WP

    On ice: EDM Hyman, Nugent-Hopkins, Draisaitl, McDavid, Bouchard · TBL Paul, Cernak, Cirelli, Sergachev

  44. P2 9:12de Haan: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: EDM Gagner, Kulak, Ryan, Desharnais, Hamblin · TBL de Haan, Kucherov, Point, Raddysh, Barré-Boulet

  45. P2 10:02Goal by Hyman (Bouchard, Nugent-Hopkins)5v4+20 pts WP

    On ice: EDM Hyman, Nugent-Hopkins, Draisaitl, McDavid, Bouchard · TBL Cernak, Cirelli, Sergachev, Hagel

  46. P2 11:29Shot by Hamblin, saved by Vasilevskiy
  47. P2 12:14Shot by Janmark, saved by Vasilevskiy
  48. P2 12:56Shot by Foegele, saved by Vasilevskiy
  49. P2 12:58Shot by Foegele, saved by Vasilevskiy
  50. P2 13:23Shot by Eyssimont, saved by Skinner
  51. P2 15:46Shot by Foegele, saved by Vasilevskiy
  52. P2 17:08Shot by Eyssimont, saved by Skinner
  53. P2 17:25Shot by Hyman, saved by Vasilevskiy
  54. P2 17:31Shot by Hyman, saved by Vasilevskiy
  55. P2 18:14Shot by McDavid, saved by Vasilevskiy
  56. P2 18:15Shot by McDavid, saved by Vasilevskiy
  57. P2 18:31Shot by Hagel, saved by Skinner
  58. P2 19:21Shot by Nurse, saved by Vasilevskiy
  59. P2 19:23Shot by Brown, saved by Vasilevskiy
  60. P2 19:27Shot by Foegele, saved by Vasilevskiy
  61. P2 0:00Period end
  62. P3 0:00Period start
  63. P3 0:17Shot by Ekholm, saved by Vasilevskiy
  64. P3 3:41Shot by Cirelli, saved by Skinner
  65. P3 4:21Shot by Brown, saved by Vasilevskiy
  66. P3 4:29Shot by Brown, saved by Vasilevskiy
  67. P3 6:17Shot by Nugent-Hopkins, saved by Vasilevskiy
  68. P3 6:26Shot by Eyssimont, saved by Skinner
  69. P3 6:29Shot by Fleury, saved by Skinner
  70. P3 6:45Shot by Fleury, saved by Skinner
  71. P3 6:48Goal by Stamkos (Fleury, Sheary)+28 pts WP

    On ice: EDM Kane, Ceci, Brown, Nurse, Draisaitl · TBL Stamkos, Paul, Sheary, Fleury, Cernak

  72. P3 7:25Shot by Sergachev, saved by Skinner
  73. P3 7:48Shot by Hamblin, saved by Vasilevskiy
  74. P3 7:51Shot by Ryan, saved by Vasilevskiy
  75. P3 8:16Shot by Nurse, saved by Vasilevskiy
  76. P3 12:47Goal by Kucherov (Point, Sergachev)+36 pts WP

    On ice: EDM Ceci, Janmark, Nurse, Draisaitl, Foegele · TBL de Haan, Kucherov, Point, Raddysh, Hagel

  77. P3 14:02Goal by Stamkos (Sheary)+13 pts WP

    On ice: EDM Ekholm, Hyman, Nugent-Hopkins, McDavid, Bouchard · TBL Stamkos, Paul, Sheary, Cernak, Sergachev

  78. P3 15:26Raddysh: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: EDM Kane, Nurse, Draisaitl, Foegele, Desharnais · TBL de Haan, Glendening, Motte, Sheary, Raddysh

  79. P3 15:37Shot by Hyman, saved by Vasilevskiy6v4
  80. P3 15:39Shot by Hyman, saved by Vasilevskiy6v4
  81. P3 15:55Shot by Nugent-Hopkins, saved by Vasilevskiy6v4
  82. P3 16:11Shot by Hyman, saved by Vasilevskiy6v4
  83. P3 16:12Shot by Kane, saved by Vasilevskiy6v4
  84. P3 16:17Shot by Kane, saved by Vasilevskiy6v4
  85. P3 17:20Shot by Nugent-Hopkins, saved by Vasilevskiy6v4
  86. P3 17:21Shot by Nugent-Hopkins, saved by Vasilevskiy6v4
  87. P3 17:22Shot by Draisaitl, saved by Vasilevskiy6v4
  88. P3 17:38Goal by Nugent-Hopkins (Bouchard, McDavid)6v5+7 pts WP

    On ice: EDM Kane, Hyman, Nugent-Hopkins, Draisaitl, McDavid, Bouchard · TBL Glendening, Paul, Raddysh, Cernak, Hagel

  89. P3 17:53Shot by Bouchard, saved by Vasilevskiy6v5
  90. P3 18:27Goal by Cirelli, unassisted6v5+6 pts WP

    On ice: EDM Kane, Hyman, Nugent-Hopkins, Draisaitl, McDavid, Bouchard · TBL Stamkos, Paul, Cernak, Cirelli, Sergachev

  91. P3 19:35Shot by Foegele, saved by Vasilevskiy6v5
  92. P3 19:53Goal by Stamkos (Kucherov, de Haan)6v50 pts WP

    On ice: EDM Gagner, Kulak, Janmark, Nurse, Ryan, Hamblin · TBL Stamkos, de Haan, Kucherov, Paul, Perbix

  93. P3 0:00Period end
  94. P3 0:00Final