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Ice Lab

Thu, Dec 14, 2023·Rogers Place, Edmonton

Tampa Bay Lightning 7, Edmonton Oilers 4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Edmonton Oilers win this game 90% of the time.

EDM winsTBL wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

EDM forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against TBL's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Stamkos–Paul–ShearyKucherov–Point–HagelKucherov–Point–Barré-BouletGlendening–Motte–EyssimontCirelli–Hagel–JeannotCirelli–Eyssimont–JeannotPoint–Jeannot–Barré-BouletCernak–Sergachevde Haan–PerbixFleury–Raddyshde Haan–RaddyshFleury–CernakSergachev–Perbixde Haan–CernakRaddysh–SergachevFleury–Perbix
Hyman–Nugent-Hopkins–McDavid2:450.25–0.031:450.00–0.182:490.03–0.002:150.38–0.090:590.03–0.005:590.47–0.030:450.00–0.000:590.02–0.002:400.22–0.032:190.25–0.06
Janmark–Draisaitl–Foegele3:320.61–0.102:040.14–0.250:340.00–0.001:100.48–0.000:330.06–0.002:000.39–0.101:470.16–0.000:500.00–0.250:500.04–0.001:420.14–0.001:210.48–0.00
Kane–Brown–McLeod3:190.02–0.001:430.07–0.320:440.13–0.001:250.03–0.141:480.10–0.002:580.03–0.001:340.00–0.140:530.10–0.001:460.07–0.320:440.13–0.000:530.02–0.00
Gagner–Ryan–Hamblin1:360.02–0.001:270.01–0.170:550.03–0.001:460.02–0.001:430.01–0.17
Kane–Brown–Draisaitl0:380.00–0.260:490.00–0.000:300.00–0.00
Ceci–Nurse6:280.47–0.303:080.21–0.491:500.02–0.001:470.03–0.040:310.03–0.002:570.20–0.043:490.42–0.162:560.05–0.001:480.01–0.251:150.07–0.201:520.38–0.001:060.00–0.001:120.02–0.00
Ekholm–Bouchard4:240.40–0.101:570.29–0.001:040.01–0.001:460.21–0.091:120.03–0.000:570.34–0.005:120.44–0.030:540.00–0.061:570.24–0.001:240.08–0.003:310.22–0.030:500.00–0.001:130.25–0.061:180.34–0.04
Kulak–Desharnais2:580.00–0.392:260.15–0.001:300.00–0.141:190.07–0.001:160.00–0.172:590.00–0.072:310.02–0.142:310.00–0.171:220.00–0.320:440.13–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndHyman FNugent-Hopkins FMcDavid FJanmark FDraisaitl FFoegele FRyan FBrown FMcLeod FKane FHamblin FGagner FBouchard DEkholm DCeci DNurse DKulak DDesharnais DSkinner GHagel FCirelli FJeannot FPoint FBarré-Boulet FKucherov FPaul FStamkos FSheary FEyssimont FMotte FGlendening FRaddysh Dde Haan DCernak DSergachev DPerbix DFleury DVasilevskiy G
EDMTBLFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Evan BouchardEDM2225:481:103:0152
Mikhail SergachevTBL2624:510:572:2846
Erik CernakTBL2723:590:532:27010
Connor McDavidEDM2022:551:093:0161
Zach HymanEDM2022:491:083:0151
Ryan Nugent-HopkinsEDM2322:420:592:1283
Darnell NurseEDM2322:180:581:4223
Leon DraisaitlEDM2221:581:003:0873
Nikita KucherovTBL2321:510:571:4523
Brayden PointTBL2221:501:002:0532
Mattias EkholmEDM2221:020:571:3622
Nick PaulTBL2920:570:431:22411
Calvin de HaanTBL2920:030:411:2605
Cody CeciEDM2219:590:551:4423
Brandon HagelTBL2319:190:501:4434
Evander KaneEDM1917:370:562:0834
Darren RaddyshTBL2416:540:421:4710
Nick PerbixTBL2516:190:391:2624
Haydn FleuryTBL2315:440:411:1214
Mattias JanmarkEDM1815:180:511:2661
Steven StamkosTBL2214:590:411:2234
Connor BrownEDM1514:050:561:2833
Warren FoegeleEDM1713:030:461:2950
Ryan McLeodEDM1512:360:501:2231
Vincent DesharnaisEDM1812:340:421:2240
Anthony CirelliTBL1812:180:411:2305
Conor ShearyTBL1812:170:411:0721
Brett KulakEDM1612:140:461:1940
Tanner JeannotTBL1312:100:561:3812
Luke GlendeningTBL2111:100:321:32010
Alex Barré-BouletTBL1210:390:531:3710
Michael EyssimontTBL179:580:350:5103
Sam GagnerEDM139:090:421:1230
Tyler MotteTBL158:540:361:0805
Derek RyanEDM148:040:351:0222
James HamblinEDM127:430:391:1520