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Ice Lab

Sat, Dec 23, 2023·Nationwide Arena, Columbus

Toronto Maple Leafs 4, Columbus Blue Jackets 1

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Columbus Blue Jackets win this game 52% of the time.

CBJ winsTOR wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

CBJ forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against TOR's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Marner–Matthews–KniesGregor–Kampf–McMannTavares–Bertuzzi–NylanderJarnkrok–Domi–RobertsonBrodie–RiellyMcCabe–LiljegrenLagesson–BenoitBrodie–LiljegrenRielly–McCabeRielly–LagessonMcCabe–BenoitRielly–LiljegrenBrodie–Benoit
Gaudreau–Danforth–Fantilli2:530.00–0.293:100.77–0.312:490.00–0.143:130.08–0.023:550.65–0.501:340.00–0.001:320.05–0.291:050.00–0.00
Marchenko–Voronkov–Chinakhov6:530.10–0.830:380.00–0.004:360.10–0.501:130.01–0.141:020.00–0.000:530.00–0.00
Bemstrom–Johnson–Sillinger3:490.25–0.192:080.05–0.001:480.22–0.081:250.05–0.002:470.14–0.10
Kuraly–Gaunce–Texier1:130.00–0.000:490.10–0.001:390.10–0.001:040.00–0.00
Gaunce–Texier–Sillinger0:480.00–0.000:340.00–0.000:500.00–0.210:520.00–0.00
Marchenko–Chinakhov–Sillinger0:420.15–0.000:390.00–0.00
Severson–Werenski0:390.00–0.003:440.10–0.290:340.00–0.000:500.00–0.001:460.00–0.051:100.00–0.001:170.00–0.000:350.10–0.000:590.00–0.291:070.00–0.00
Severson–Provorov2:570.00–0.441:440.45–0.001:040.11–0.002:480.00–0.251:520.57–0.001:300.00–0.00
Gudbranson–Werenski1:530.48–0.200:570.00–0.081:570.28–0.001:170.00–0.003:090.55–0.201:310.20–0.000:590.00–0.08
Werenski–Jiricek0:500.14–0.021:360.00–0.311:130.02–0.141:550.00–0.441:190.16–0.04
Peeke–Jiricek1:260.00–0.000:510.00–0.021:130.00–0.031:210.00–0.201:050.00–0.00
Provorov–Jiricek1:030.02–0.001:150.07–0.00
Gudbranson–Severson1:080.00–0.001:030.00–0.000:300.00–0.000:540.00–0.000:430.00–0.00
Gudbranson–Peeke0:330.00–0.040:310.00–0.000:350.00–0.041:140.16–0.00
Werenski–Provorov0:350.00–0.090:340.00–0.030:380.00–0.00
Gudbranson–Provorov0:300.00–0.000:410.00–0.000:320.00–0.00
Provorov–Peeke0:300.00–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndFantilli FGaudreau FDanforth FVoronkov FChinakhov FMarchenko FJohnson FSillinger FBemstrom FKuraly FGaunce FTexier FProvorov DSeverson DWerenski DGudbranson DJiricek DPeeke DTarasov GBertuzzi FNylander FTavares FMarner FKnies FMatthews FGregor FKampf FMcMann FDomi FJarnkrok FRobertson FMcCabe DLiljegren DRielly DBrodie DBenoit DLagesson DJones G
CBJTORFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Zach WerenskiCBJ2726:360:592:1462
Ivan ProvorovCBJ2623:200:542:2432
Mitch MarnerTOR2221:531:002:1537
Morgan RiellyTOR2521:530:532:2644
TJ BrodieTOR2921:380:451:3458
Timothy LiljegrenTOR2721:200:472:2525
Jake McCabeTOR2721:100:471:3815
Johnny GaudreauCBJ2221:040:572:1452
Kirill MarchenkoCBJ2219:300:531:3362
Justin DanforthCBJ2319:180:501:1733
Damon SeversonCBJ2219:170:531:5632
Egor ChinakhovCBJ2218:580:521:2962
William NylanderTOR2218:140:501:4842
Erik GudbransonCBJ2218:130:501:4815
Auston MatthewsTOR1917:590:572:2243
Adam FantilliCBJ2117:390:501:3522
Simon BenoitTOR2217:240:471:2412
Cole SillingerCBJ2317:000:441:0532
David KampfTOR2016:250:491:4814
David JiricekCBJ1815:310:522:3110
John TavaresTOR1914:480:471:4823
Dmitri VoronkovCBJ1814:390:491:2162
William LagessonTOR2013:540:421:2100
Noah GregorTOR1913:530:441:1012
Calle JarnkrokTOR1912:540:411:0313
Alexandre TexierCBJ1512:470:511:1922
Kent JohnsonCBJ1812:250:411:1231
Max DomiTOR1512:160:491:2512
Matthew KniesTOR1412:110:521:1132
Emil BemstromCBJ1812:070:401:0731
Tyler BertuzziTOR1812:020:401:1613
Bobby McMannTOR1310:160:471:0711
Brendan GaunceCBJ1310:060:471:1411
Andrew PeekeCBJ119:210:512:2902
Nick RobertsonTOR117:500:431:0011
Sean KuralyCBJ54:210:521:0211