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Ice Lab

Wed, Dec 27, 2023·Amalie Arena, Tampa

Florida Panthers 3, Tampa Bay Lightning 2

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Florida Panthers win this game 56% of the time.

TBL winsFLA wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:20Shot by Stamkos, saved by Bobrovsky
  3. P1 4:16Goal by Ekblad (Forsling, Barkov)+15 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Stamkos, Fleury, Cernak, Cirelli, Hagel · FLA Barkov, Ekblad, Reinhart, Forsling, Rodrigues

  4. P1 4:57Kulikov: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: TBL de Haan, Glendening, Raddysh, Eyssimont, Jeannot · FLA Ekman-Larsson, Kulikov, Cousins, Luostarinen, Lundell

  5. P1 5:19Shot by Stamkos, saved by Bobrovsky5v4
  6. P1 5:22Shot by Kucherov, saved by Bobrovsky5v4
  7. P1 5:40Shot by Point, saved by Bobrovsky5v4
  8. P1 5:52Shot by Kucherov, saved by Bobrovsky5v4
  9. P1 7:05Shot by Lundell, saved by Vasilevskiy
  10. P1 9:37Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Vasilevskiy
  11. P1 9:48Shot by Montour, saved by Vasilevskiy
  12. P1 9:50Shot by Bennett, saved by Vasilevskiy
  13. P1 11:03Shot by Ekblad, saved by Vasilevskiy
  14. P1 11:44Shot by Paul, saved by Bobrovsky
  15. P1 12:30Shot by Cousins, saved by Vasilevskiy
  16. P1 12:42Shot by Lundell, saved by Vasilevskiy
  17. P1 13:18Barkov: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Stamkos, Fleury, Cernak, Cirelli, Hagel · FLA Barkov, Reinhart, Montour, Rodrigues, Mikkola

  18. P1 13:43Shot by Point, saved by Bobrovsky5v4
  19. P1 13:44Shot by Hagel, saved by Bobrovsky5v4
  20. P1 15:01Shot by Cirelli, saved by Bobrovsky5v4
  21. P1 17:04Shot by Verhaeghe, saved by Vasilevskiy
  22. P1 18:43Shot by Ekman-Larsson, saved by Vasilevskiy
  23. P1 0:00Period end
  24. P2 0:00Period start
  25. P2 0:22Shot by Bennett, saved by Vasilevskiy
  26. P2 0:42Shot by Kucherov, saved by Bobrovsky
  27. P2 1:24Goal by Reinhart (Rodrigues, Barkov)+16 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Stamkos, Fleury, Cernak, Cirelli, Hagel · FLA Barkov, Ekblad, Reinhart, Forsling, Rodrigues

  28. P2 1:55Shot by Kulikov, saved by Vasilevskiy
  29. P2 2:27Shot by Montour, saved by Vasilevskiy
  30. P2 4:41Shot by Kucherov, saved by Bobrovsky
  31. P2 4:43Shot by Paul, saved by Bobrovsky
  32. P2 6:17Shot by Lundell, saved by Vasilevskiy
  33. P2 7:30Shot by Paul, saved by Bobrovsky
  34. P2 9:39Shot by Watson, saved by Bobrovsky
  35. P2 12:16Shot by Kucherov, saved by Bobrovsky
  36. P2 14:15Shot by Cirelli, saved by Bobrovsky
  37. P2 14:35Shot by Cernak, saved by Bobrovsky
  38. P2 14:38Hagel: Interference goalkeeper (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Stamkos, de Haan, Cernak, Cirelli, Hagel · FLA Ekblad, Bennett, Forsling, Lomberg, Tkachuk

  39. P2 14:38Bennett: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Stamkos, de Haan, Cernak, Cirelli, Hagel · FLA Ekblad, Bennett, Forsling, Lomberg, Tkachuk

  40. P2 16:30Point: Tripping (2 min)4v4

    On ice: TBL Hedman, Kucherov, Point, Perbix · FLA Ekman-Larsson, Kulikov, Luostarinen, Lundell

  41. P2 16:33Shot by Reinhart, saved by Vasilevskiy3v4
  42. P2 17:23Shot by Motte, saved by Bobrovsky4v5
  43. P2 17:53Shot by Verhaeghe, saved by Vasilevskiy4v5
  44. P2 19:11Shot by Cousins, saved by Vasilevskiy
  45. P2 19:23Shot by Point, saved by Bobrovsky
  46. P2 19:51Shot by Barkov, saved by Vasilevskiy
  47. P2 0:00Period end
  48. P3 0:00Period start
  49. P3 0:29Goal by Kucherov (Hedman, Perbix)+16 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Hedman, Kucherov, Paul, Point, Perbix · FLA Verhaeghe, Bennett, Montour, Mikkola, Tkachuk

  50. P3 1:15Shot by Hagel, saved by Bobrovsky
  51. P3 1:27Ekman-Larsson: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Stamkos, Hedman, Cirelli, Hagel, Perbix · FLA Ekman-Larsson, Kulikov, Cousins, Luostarinen, Lundell

  52. P3 1:27Cousins: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Stamkos, Hedman, Cirelli, Hagel, Perbix · FLA Ekman-Larsson, Kulikov, Cousins, Luostarinen, Lundell

  53. P3 1:27Cirelli: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Stamkos, Hedman, Cirelli, Hagel, Perbix · FLA Ekman-Larsson, Kulikov, Cousins, Luostarinen, Lundell

  54. P3 2:58Shot by Stamkos, saved by Bobrovsky5v4
  55. P3 3:11Goal by Reinhart (Barkov)5v4+17 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Stamkos, Hedman, Kucherov, Paul, Point · FLA Kulikov, Barkov, Reinhart, Mikkola

  56. P3 3:31Goal by Eyssimont (Hagel, Raddysh)+16 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Sheary, Fleury, Raddysh, Hagel, Eyssimont · FLA Ekman-Larsson, Ekblad, Forsling, Stenlund, Luostarinen

  57. P3 4:00Shot by Mikkola, saved by Vasilevskiy
  58. P3 4:30Shot by Stamkos, saved by Bobrovsky
  59. P3 4:45Shot by de Haan, saved by Bobrovsky
  60. P3 4:56Shot by Barkov, saved by Vasilevskiy
  61. P3 6:45Shot by Barkov, saved by Vasilevskiy
  62. P3 8:25Shot by Lomberg, saved by Vasilevskiy
  63. P3 9:14Shot by Fleury, saved by Bobrovsky
  64. P3 9:57Shot by Raddysh, saved by Bobrovsky
  65. P3 10:14Shot by Point, saved by Bobrovsky
  66. P3 12:46Shot by Reinhart, saved by Vasilevskiy
  67. P3 14:14Shot by Raddysh, saved by Bobrovsky
  68. P3 14:23Stamkos: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Stamkos, de Haan, Raddysh, Cirelli, Hagel · FLA Cousins, Ekblad, Forsling, Luostarinen, Lundell

  69. P3 14:23Stamkos: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Stamkos, de Haan, Raddysh, Cirelli, Hagel · FLA Cousins, Ekblad, Forsling, Luostarinen, Lundell

  70. P3 14:23Ekblad: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Stamkos, de Haan, Raddysh, Cirelli, Hagel · FLA Cousins, Ekblad, Forsling, Luostarinen, Lundell

  71. P3 15:05Shot by Reinhart, saved by Vasilevskiy4v5
  72. P3 15:18Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Vasilevskiy4v5
  73. P3 15:19Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Vasilevskiy4v5
  74. P3 15:24Shot by Verhaeghe, saved by Vasilevskiy4v5
  75. P3 16:04Shot by Forsling, saved by Vasilevskiy4v5
  76. P3 18:44Cirelli: Tripping (2 min)6v5

    On ice: TBL Hedman, Kucherov, Paul, Point, Cirelli, Hagel · FLA Barkov, Reinhart, Montour, Mikkola, Luostarinen

  77. P3 19:58Shot by Rodrigues, saved by Vasilevskiy4v5
  78. P3 0:00Period end4v5
  79. P3 0:00Final4v5