Wed, Dec 27, 2023·Amalie Arena, Tampa
Florida Panthers 3, Tampa Bay Lightning 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Florida Panthers win this game 56% of the time.
34%
10%
48%
TBL winsFLA wins
Florida Panthers
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 24:42 | 0.02 | 31.1% | +15.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 22:07 | 0.01 | 24.3% | +15.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21:12 | 0.03 | 65.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 20:19 | 0.04 | 72.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 3 | 3 | +3 | 3 | 19:04 | 0.56 | 70.3% | +47.3 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | +3 | 5 | 19:03 | 0.63 | 74.1% | +32.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 17:46 | 0.41 | 40.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 16:48 | 0.22 | 42.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 16:15 | 0.04 | 43.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 16:00 | 0.25 | 40.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 15:58 | 0.02 | 56.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 15:38 | 0.28 | 61.4% | +15.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14:13 | 0.19 | 48.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 13:26 | 0.01 | 38.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12:56 | 0.34 | 46.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 11:45 | 0.00 | 35.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8:16 | 0.02 | 57.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6:32 | 0.01 | 39.8% | 0.0 |
| W | 29 | 27 | 2 | .931 | 2.72 | +0.7 | 60:00 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 26:47 | 0.02 | 54.6% | +16.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 21:08 | 0.29 | 40.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 21:00 | 0.04 | 44.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 19:57 | 0.40 | 40.6% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 19:31 | 0.39 | 38.2% | +16.3 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 18:44 | 0.21 | 70.4% | +16.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 18:33 | 0.01 | 21.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 4 | 18:00 | 0.50 | 71.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 17:08 | 0.12 | 68.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 16:26 | 0.00 | 51.1% | +16.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:32 | 0.05 | 78.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 15:29 | 0.02 | 57.1% | +16.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:37 | 0.12 | 48.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:45 | 0.06 | 52.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:32 | 0.04 | 35.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 10:29 | 0.00 | 56.9% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 9:43 | 0.22 | 41.1% | +16.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7:40 | 0.24 | 49.3% | 0.0 |
| L | 31 | 28 | 3 | .903 | 3.10 | +0.1 | 59:43 |