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Ice Lab

Wed, Dec 27, 2023·KeyBank Center, Buffalo

Boston Bruins 4, Buffalo Sabres 1

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Boston Bruins win this game 62% of the time.

BUF winsBOS wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

BUF forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against BOS's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Marchand–Coyle–DeBruskvan Riemsdyk–Heinen–FredericPastrnak–Zacha–GeekieBrown–Lauko–BeecherMcAvoy–LohreiLindholm–CarloShattenkirk–WotherspoonShattenkirk–LohreiCarlo–LohreiLindholm–McAvoy
Cozens–Quinn–Peterka1:210.01–0.004:000.29–0.263:190.11–0.015:240.26–0.161:040.00–0.082:470.18–0.10
Okposo–Olofsson–Krebs1:330.00–0.101:040.05–0.082:370.05–0.000:400.00–0.002:190.00–0.002:370.09–0.18
Skinner–Tuch–Mittelstadt0:510.00–0.050:470.00–0.000:470.00–0.171:370.33–0.011:500.32–0.112:180.01–0.12
Greenway–Mittelstadt–Benson1:310.05–0.001:390.04–0.220:440.00–0.001:220.04–0.001:180.05–0.000:500.00–0.00
Okposo–Greenway–Krebs0:310.00–0.001:250.00–0.001:400.00–0.160:510.00–0.000:340.00–0.00
Skinner–Tuch–Jost0:490.00–0.001:130.00–0.070:540.00–0.001:110.00–0.070:470.00–0.00
Krebs–Quinn–Peterka0:310.00–0.00
Olofsson–Jost–Benson0:430.00–0.120:380.00–0.12
Samuelsson–Dahlin4:150.01–0.282:460.34–0.103:180.02–0.120:520.23–0.014:090.42–0.003:510.02–0.263:410.18–0.25
Clifton–Power2:230.05–0.001:070.00–0.222:340.09–0.011:300.03–0.003:240.09–0.012:380.05–0.001:450.03–0.000:400.00–0.00
Johnson–Johnson0:580.00–0.102:040.05–0.002:010.00–0.072:410.02–0.001:390.00–0.071:170.05–0.10
Johnson–Power1:350.11–0.000:520.00–0.000:410.10–0.001:550.21–0.001:050.00–0.08
Clifton–Johnson0:360.00–0.001:120.00–0.001:320.00–0.000:390.09–0.00
Clifton–Samuelsson0:560.00–0.160:330.00–0.001:000.00–0.16
Dahlin–Johnson0:350.00–0.161:160.00–0.16
Johnson–Power0:390.00–0.081:090.02–0.12
Clifton–Dahlin0:330.00–0.00
Dahlin–Power
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndBenson FGreenway FMittelstadt FQuinn FPeterka FCozens FJost FTuch FSkinner FOkposo FKrebs FOlofsson FPower DClifton DSamuelsson DDahlin DJohnson DJohnson DLevi GCoyle FMarchand FDeBrusk Fvan Riemsdyk FFrederic FHeinen FZacha FPastrnak FGeekie FLauko FBeecher FBrown FCarlo DLindholm DMcAvoy DLohrei DShattenkirk DWotherspoon DSwayman G
BUFBOSFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Rasmus DahlinBUF2625:521:002:4230
Hampus LindholmBOS3123:580:461:35111
Charlie McAvoyBOS2823:260:501:5486
Brandon CarloBOS3021:360:431:25010
Owen PowerBUF2721:230:481:2372
Mattias SamuelssonBUF2620:050:461:3623
Jack QuinnBUF2319:580:521:3341
Alex TuchBUF2319:580:522:08130
Mason LohreiBOS2619:420:451:1964
Casey MittelstadtBUF2219:400:542:50110
JJ PeterkaBUF2218:500:511:2962
Brad MarchandBOS2317:570:471:2454
Charlie CoyleBOS2417:520:451:5136
Dylan CozensBUF2617:400:411:1256
David PastrnakBOS2017:140:521:5153
Connor CliftonBUF1917:110:541:5222
Pavel ZachaBOS2316:530:441:3133
Morgan GeekieBOS1816:360:552:1123
Jake DeBruskBOS2216:190:451:4623
Peyton KrebsBUF1915:460:501:4032
Jeff SkinnerBUF2115:330:441:42140
Victor OlofssonBUF1815:260:511:2480
Danton HeinenBOS2014:580:451:2301
Parker WotherspoonBOS2414:580:371:0902
Jordan GreenwayBUF1913:470:441:1733
Kevin ShattenkirkBOS2113:410:391:1211
Trent FredericBOS2113:180:381:1702
Kyle OkposoBUF1613:140:501:4440
Ryan JohnsonBUF1512:490:511:3930
James van RiemsdykBOS1812:420:421:1211
Erik JohnsonBUF1812:140:411:0024
John BeecherBOS1711:440:411:4708
Zach BensonBUF1410:550:471:1931
Jakub LaukoBOS137:420:360:5315
Patrick BrownBOS137:240:340:5606
Tyson JostBUF106:530:411:0430