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Ice Lab

Sun, Dec 31, 2023·Canadian Tire Centre, Ottawa

Buffalo Sabres 1, Ottawa Senators 5

Away

Buffalo Sabres

1

Final

Home

Ottawa Senators

5

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Ottawa Senators win this game 69% of the time.

OTT winsBUF wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:14Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Levi
  3. P1 2:05Shot by Dahlin, saved by Forsberg
  4. P1 2:57Shot by Kastelic, saved by Levi
  5. P1 3:06Shot by Peterka, saved by Forsberg
  6. P1 3:07Shot by Cozens, saved by Forsberg
  7. P1 4:23Shot by Zub, saved by Levi
  8. P1 5:15Shot by Greenway, saved by Forsberg
  9. P1 5:53Okposo: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Giroux, Chabot, Norris, Tkachuk, Bernard-Docker · BUF Okposo, Greenway, Jokiharju, Krebs, Power

  10. P1 6:11Shot by Clifton, saved by Forsberg5v4
  11. P1 6:51Goal by Chychrun (Giroux, Sanderson)5v4+17 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Giroux, Tarasenko, Kubalik, Chychrun, Sanderson · BUF Girgensons, Jokiharju, Dahlin, Krebs

  12. P1 7:57Shot by Jokiharju, saved by Forsberg
  13. P1 8:59Shot by Kastelic, saved by Levi
  14. P1 9:37Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Levi
  15. P1 10:26Shot by Tarasenko, saved by Levi
  16. P1 11:52Shot by Samuelsson, saved by Forsberg
  17. P1 12:38Goal by MacEwen (Bernard-Docker, Chabot)+12 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Chabot, MacEwen, Brannstrom, Kastelic, Bernard-Docker · BUF Clifton, Greenway, Cozens, Johnson, Peterka

  18. P1 13:02Shot by Greenway, saved by Forsberg
  19. P1 13:06Shot by Clifton, saved by Forsberg
  20. P1 13:15Shot by Giroux, saved by Levi
  21. P1 13:31Shot by Skinner, saved by Forsberg
  22. P1 13:34Shot by Skinner, saved by Forsberg
  23. P1 14:30Shot by Bernard-Docker, saved by Levi
  24. P1 15:00Shot by Norris, saved by Levi
  25. P1 15:07Shot by Kastelic, saved by Levi
  26. P1 15:09Shot by Brannstrom, saved by Levi
  27. P1 15:33Shot by Chychrun, saved by Levi
  28. P1 15:39Shot by Kastelic, saved by Levi
  29. P1 16:35Shot by Tarasenko, saved by Levi
  30. P1 17:30Shot by Chabot, saved by Levi
  31. P1 19:46Goal by Thompson (Skinner)+13 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Kubalik, Chabot, Kelly, Bernard-Docker, Stützle · BUF Skinner, Tuch, Thompson, Jokiharju, Power

  32. P1 19:51Shot by Chychrun, saved by Levi
  33. P1 0:00Period end
  34. P2 0:00Period start
  35. P2 0:55Shot by Peterka, saved by Forsberg
  36. P2 4:59Shot by Quinn, saved by Forsberg
  37. P2 5:42Shot by Okposo, saved by Forsberg
  38. P2 5:48Shot by Clifton, saved by Forsberg
  39. P2 7:04Shot by Mittelstadt, saved by Forsberg
  40. P2 7:18Goal by Kubalik (Greig, Chabot)+13 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Kubalik, Chabot, Kelly, Bernard-Docker, Greig · BUF Samuelsson, Dahlin, Cozens, Quinn, Peterka

  41. P2 7:39Shot by Skinner, saved by Forsberg
  42. P2 8:11Shot by Thompson, saved by Forsberg
  43. P2 8:58Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Levi
  44. P2 10:50Shot by Cozens, saved by Forsberg
  45. P2 10:52Chabot: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Chabot, MacEwen, Brannstrom, Sanderson, Stützle · BUF Thompson, Jokiharju, Cozens, Johnson, Quinn

  46. P2 11:35Shot by Giroux, saved by Levi4v5
  47. P2 11:36Shot by Kelly, saved by Levi4v5
  48. P2 12:03Shot by Dahlin, saved by Forsberg4v5
  49. P2 12:56Shot by Dahlin, saved by Forsberg
  50. P2 13:00Shot by Krebs, saved by Forsberg
  51. P2 13:13Shot by Johnson, saved by Forsberg
  52. P2 14:55Shot by Samuelsson, saved by Forsberg
  53. P2 16:41Batherson: Holding (2 min)5v6

    On ice: OTT Tarasenko, Chabot, Batherson, Bernard-Docker, Stützle · BUF Clifton, Thompson, Cozens, Quinn, Peterka, Power

  54. P2 18:01Shot by Dahlin, saved by Forsberg4v5
  55. P2 18:03Shot by Benson, saved by Forsberg4v5
  56. P2 18:19Shot by Peterka, saved by Forsberg4v5
  57. P2 18:37Shot by Dahlin, saved by Forsberg4v5
  58. P2 18:46Shot by Jokiharju, saved by Forsberg
  59. P2 19:44Goal by Kastelic (Brannstrom)+6 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Chabot, Chychrun, MacEwen, Brannstrom, Kastelic · BUF Samuelsson, Dahlin, Cozens, Quinn, Peterka

  60. P2 0:00Period end
  61. P3 0:00Period start
  62. P3 0:20Shot by Cozens, saved by Forsberg
  63. P3 0:57Shot by Zub, saved by Levi
  64. P3 3:46Shot by Cozens, saved by Forsberg
  65. P3 4:28Shot by Tuch, saved by Forsberg
  66. P3 5:03Shot by Greenway, saved by Forsberg
  67. P3 7:27Shot by Peterka, saved by Forsberg
  68. P3 7:28Shot by Okposo, saved by Forsberg
  69. P3 7:32Tkachuk: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Chabot, MacEwen, Kastelic, Tkachuk, Bernard-Docker · BUF Okposo, Dahlin, Krebs, Peterka, Power

  70. P3 7:32Dahlin: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Chabot, MacEwen, Kastelic, Tkachuk, Bernard-Docker · BUF Okposo, Dahlin, Krebs, Peterka, Power

  71. P3 7:44Shot by Norris, saved by Levi4v4
  72. P3 8:09Shot by Jokiharju, saved by Forsberg4v4
  73. P3 8:45Shot by Chabot, saved by Levi4v4
  74. P3 9:30Shot by Cozens, saved by Forsberg4v4
  75. P3 9:39Tkachuk: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Hamonic, Chychrun, Kelly, Tkachuk, Greig · BUF Girgensons, Dahlin, Cozens, Quinn, Power

  76. P3 9:49Shot by Mittelstadt, saved by Forsberg4v5
  77. P3 11:30Shot by Cozens, saved by Forsberg4v5
  78. P3 11:31Shot by Benson, saved by Forsberg4v5
  79. P3 12:20Shot by Stützle, saved by Levi
  80. P3 12:38Shot by Krebs, saved by Forsberg
  81. P3 12:50Shot by Girgensons, saved by Forsberg
  82. P3 13:17Shot by Krebs, saved by Forsberg
  83. P3 13:19Kastelic: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Hamonic, Chychrun, MacEwen, Brannstrom, Kastelic · BUF Okposo, Girgensons, Clifton, Krebs, Johnson

  84. P3 13:19Okposo: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Hamonic, Chychrun, MacEwen, Brannstrom, Kastelic · BUF Okposo, Girgensons, Clifton, Krebs, Johnson

  85. P3 14:24Shot by Dahlin, saved by Forsberg4v5
  86. P3 15:16Goal by Zub, unassisted4v50 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Giroux, Kelly, Sanderson, Zub · BUF Mittelstadt, Cozens, Quinn, Peterka, Power

  87. P3 15:40Krebs: Misconduct (10 min)

    On ice: OTT Hamonic, Chychrun, Norris, Tkachuk, Greig · BUF Okposo, Girgensons, Clifton, Krebs, Johnson

  88. P3 15:40Tkachuk: Misconduct (10 min)

    On ice: OTT Hamonic, Chychrun, Norris, Tkachuk, Greig · BUF Okposo, Girgensons, Clifton, Krebs, Johnson

  89. P3 16:00Shot by Clifton, saved by Forsberg
  90. P3 16:10Shot by Stützle, saved by Levi
  91. P3 16:46Shot by Brannstrom, saved by Levi
  92. P3 19:42Shot by Brannstrom, saved by Levi
  93. P3 0:00Period end
  94. P3 0:00Final